Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = East                   
   Nickname = Y Red Dragons          Coach  =   Kelly Licker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2278748    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Ithaca                 Liberty Leagu (17- 4, 91.9)     6-11   
 305 H Clarkson               Liberty Leagu (10- 6, 83.1)    10-11   
 311 H Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 5- 9, 77.2)    20- 9   
 316 A Messiah                MAC Commonwea (13- 6, 86.3)     8-12   
 319 A Salisbury              Coast to Coas (17- 3, 94.1)     6-19   
 326 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        ( 5- 9, 71.0)    15- 5   
 330 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 8- 9, 77.3)    15- 3   
 402 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (14- 4, 86.0)    14- 6   
 406 A St John Fisher         Empire Eight  (10- 9, 84.3)    12- 8   
 409 A Brockport              SUNYAC        (11- 6, 84.1)    12- 9   
 413 H New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 6-10, 75.6)    17- 4   
 415 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 6-11, 77.0)    17- 4   
 420 A Nazareth               Empire Eight  ( 8-10, 78.5)    18-15   
 423 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 1-15, 64.4)    21- 1   
 427 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 7- 9, 68.4)    19- 1   
 430 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 6- 9, 67.2)    23- 2   
 506 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 8- 9, 77.3)    21- 2   
 507 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (14- 4, 86.0)    16-14   
 514 H Western Connecticut    Little East   (16- 4, 80.5)    18- 8   
 515 H Roger Williams         Comm. Coast   (16- 2, 89.7)    14-11   
 521 A TCNJ                   NJAC          (18- 3, 93.1)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Ithaca                  6-11      -5    -3          -1.35
   305 H Clarkson               10-11      -1     5    ---   -6.15
   311 H Rochester              20- 9      11    11           0.00
   316 A Messiah                 8-12      -4     0    -     -3.88
   319 A Salisbury               6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.06
   326 H Plattsburgh            15- 5      10    17           0.00
   330 A Oneonta                15- 3      12     8           1.08
   402 H Geneseo                14- 6       8     2    ++     5.70
   406 A St John Fisher         12- 8       4     1    +      2.10
   409 A Brockport              12- 9       3     2           0.90
   413 H New Paltz              17- 4      13    12           0.00
   415 A Oswego                 17- 4      13     9           0.78
   420 A Nazareth               18-15       3     7    --    -4.69
   423 H Fredonia               21- 1      20    23           0.00
   427 A Potsdam                19- 1      18    17           0.00
   430 A Buffalo State          23- 2      21    18           0.00
   506 H Oneonta                21- 2      19    11           0.00
   507 H Geneseo                16-14       2     2          -0.30
   514 H Western Connecticut    18- 8      10     7    +      2.20
   515 H Roger Williams         14-11       3    -1    ++     4.39
   521 A TCNJ                    6-13      -7    -6          -0.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Clarkson               10-11      -1     5    ---   -6.15
   420 A Nazareth               18-15       3     7    --    -4.69
   316 A Messiah                 8-12      -4     0    -     -3.88
   319 A Salisbury               6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Geneseo                14- 6       8     2    ++     5.70
   515 H Roger Williams         14-11       3    -1    ++     4.39
   406 A St John Fisher         12- 8       4     1    +      2.10
   514 H Western Connecticut    18- 8      10     7    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.23 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.48 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    72
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/