Conf = SUNYAC Region = East Nickname = Y Red Dragons Coach = Kelly LickerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.2278748 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Ithaca Liberty Leagu (17- 4, 91.9) 6-11 305 H Clarkson Liberty Leagu (10- 6, 83.1) 10-11 311 H Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 5- 9, 77.2) 20- 9 316 A Messiah MAC Commonwea (13- 6, 86.3) 8-12 319 A Salisbury Coast to Coas (17- 3, 94.1) 6-19 326 H Plattsburgh SUNYAC ( 5- 9, 71.0) 15- 5 330 A Oneonta SUNYAC ( 8- 9, 77.3) 15- 3 402 H Geneseo SUNYAC (14- 4, 86.0) 14- 6 406 A St John Fisher Empire Eight (10- 9, 84.3) 12- 8 409 A Brockport SUNYAC (11- 6, 84.1) 12- 9 413 H New Paltz SUNYAC ( 6-10, 75.6) 17- 4 415 A Oswego SUNYAC ( 6-11, 77.0) 17- 4 420 A Nazareth Empire Eight ( 8-10, 78.5) 18-15 423 H Fredonia SUNYAC ( 1-15, 64.4) 21- 1 427 A Potsdam SUNYAC ( 7- 9, 68.4) 19- 1 430 A Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 6- 9, 67.2) 23- 2 506 H Oneonta SUNYAC ( 8- 9, 77.3) 21- 2 507 H Geneseo SUNYAC (14- 4, 86.0) 16-14 514 H Western Connecticut Little East (16- 4, 80.5) 18- 8 515 H Roger Williams Comm. Coast (16- 2, 89.7) 14-11 521 A TCNJ NJAC (18- 3, 93.1) 6-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Ithaca 6-11 -5 -3 -1.35 305 H Clarkson 10-11 -1 5 --- -6.15 311 H Rochester 20- 9 11 11 0.00 316 A Messiah 8-12 -4 0 - -3.88 319 A Salisbury 6-19 -13 -7 - -2.06 326 H Plattsburgh 15- 5 10 17 0.00 330 A Oneonta 15- 3 12 8 1.08 402 H Geneseo 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.70 406 A St John Fisher 12- 8 4 1 + 2.10 409 A Brockport 12- 9 3 2 0.90 413 H New Paltz 17- 4 13 12 0.00 415 A Oswego 17- 4 13 9 0.78 420 A Nazareth 18-15 3 7 -- -4.69 423 H Fredonia 21- 1 20 23 0.00 427 A Potsdam 19- 1 18 17 0.00 430 A Buffalo State 23- 2 21 18 0.00 506 H Oneonta 21- 2 19 11 0.00 507 H Geneseo 16-14 2 2 -0.30 514 H Western Connecticut 18- 8 10 7 + 2.20 515 H Roger Williams 14-11 3 -1 ++ 4.39 521 A TCNJ 6-13 -7 -6 -0.10UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Clarkson 10-11 -1 5 --- -6.15 420 A Nazareth 18-15 3 7 -- -4.69 316 A Messiah 8-12 -4 0 - -3.88 319 A Salisbury 6-19 -13 -7 - -2.06OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Geneseo 14- 6 8 2 ++ 5.70 515 H Roger Williams 14-11 3 -1 ++ 4.39 406 A St John Fisher 12- 8 4 1 + 2.10 514 H Western Connecticut 18- 8 10 7 + 2.20/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.23 Local Power Rank........... 23 Local SOS Rating......... 59.48 Local SOS Rank............. 44 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 21 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 72 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 27 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0