Conf = North Atlantic             Region = Mid-South              
   Nickname =    PA Gators           Coach  =       Ashley Hughe      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.7813416    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 A Baldwin Wallace        Ohio          ( 6-11, 70.8)    14- 7   
 302 A John Carroll           Ohio          (10- 6, 78.3)    12- 9   
 305 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 6- 9, 67.2)    17- 3   
 308 H Thiel                  Presidents    ( 6- 5, 68.0)    14- 4   
 316 H Mt Union               Ohio          (12- 5, 77.4)    16-15   
 323 A Transylvania           Heartland     (11-10, 70.2)    15- 8   
 326 H Kenyon                 North Atlanti (16- 2, 83.4)     5-16   
 330 A Washington & Jefferson Presidents    (12- 5, 71.8)    15-16   
 402 A Denison                North Coast   (12- 8, 84.6)     9-16   
 406 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 1-15, 64.4)    16- 5   
 409 A Eastern Michigan                     (36-17, 83.3)    13- 6   
 413 H Oberlin                North Coast   ( 5- 9, 72.3)    22-12   
 416 H Wittenberg             North Atlanti ( 4-12, 65.8)    18- 7   
 420 A Wooster                North Atlanti (13- 5, 76.8)    11-17   
 423 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Atlanti (11- 5, 73.8)    15-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Baldwin Wallace        14- 7       7     4    +      2.05
   302 A John Carroll           12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.52
   305 A Buffalo State          17- 3      14     8           1.51
   308 H Thiel                  14- 4      10     9           0.20
   316 H Mt Union               16-15       1     0           0.57
   323 A Transylvania           15- 8       7     5           1.48
   326 H Kenyon                  5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.48
   330 A Washington & Jefferson 15-16      -1     3    --    -4.94
   402 A Denison                 9-16      -7    -8           1.90
   406 H Fredonia               16- 5      11    13           0.00
   409 A Eastern Michigan       13- 6       7    -7          n/a  
   413 H Oberlin                22-12      10     5    ++     4.48
   416 H Wittenberg             18- 7      11    12           0.00
   420 A Wooster                11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.90
   423 A Ohio Wesleyan          15-16      -1     1    -     -2.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Eastern Michigan       13- 6   
   326 H Kenyon                  5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.48
   330 A Washington & Jefferson 15-16      -1     3    --    -4.94
   409 A Eastern Michigan       13- 6   
   420 A Wooster                11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.90
   409 A Eastern Michigan       13- 6   
   423 A Ohio Wesleyan          15-16      -1     1    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Eastern Michigan       13- 6   
   302 A John Carroll           12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.52
   409 A Eastern Michigan       13- 6   
   413 H Oberlin                22-12      10     5    ++     4.48
   226 A Baldwin Wallace        14- 7       7     4    +      2.05
   409 A Eastern Michigan       13- 6   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.78 Local Power Rank...........    97
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.55 Local SOS Rank.............   113
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    57
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    89
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
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