Conf = North Atlantic Region = Mid-South Nickname = PA Gators Coach = Ashley HugheGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.7813416 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Baldwin Wallace Ohio ( 6-11, 70.8) 14- 7 302 A John Carroll Ohio (10- 6, 78.3) 12- 9 305 A Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 6- 9, 67.2) 17- 3 308 H Thiel Presidents ( 6- 5, 68.0) 14- 4 316 H Mt Union Ohio (12- 5, 77.4) 16-15 323 A Transylvania Heartland (11-10, 70.2) 15- 8 326 H Kenyon North Atlanti (16- 2, 83.4) 5-16 330 A Washington & Jefferson Presidents (12- 5, 71.8) 15-16 402 A Denison North Coast (12- 8, 84.6) 9-16 406 H Fredonia SUNYAC ( 1-15, 64.4) 16- 5 409 A Eastern Michigan (36-17, 83.3) 13- 6 413 H Oberlin North Coast ( 5- 9, 72.3) 22-12 416 H Wittenberg North Atlanti ( 4-12, 65.8) 18- 7 420 A Wooster North Atlanti (13- 5, 76.8) 11-17 423 A Ohio Wesleyan North Atlanti (11- 5, 73.8) 15-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Baldwin Wallace 14- 7 7 4 + 2.05 302 A John Carroll 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 5.52 305 A Buffalo State 17- 3 14 8 1.51 308 H Thiel 14- 4 10 9 0.20 316 H Mt Union 16-15 1 0 0.57 323 A Transylvania 15- 8 7 5 1.48 326 H Kenyon 5-16 -11 -5 -- -4.48 330 A Washington & Jefferson 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.94 402 A Denison 9-16 -7 -8 1.90 406 H Fredonia 16- 5 11 13 0.00 409 A Eastern Michigan 13- 6 7 -7 n/a 413 H Oberlin 22-12 10 5 ++ 4.48 416 H Wittenberg 18- 7 11 12 0.00 420 A Wooster 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.90 423 A Ohio Wesleyan 15-16 -1 1 - -2.92UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Eastern Michigan 13- 6 326 H Kenyon 5-16 -11 -5 -- -4.48 330 A Washington & Jefferson 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.94 409 A Eastern Michigan 13- 6 420 A Wooster 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.90 409 A Eastern Michigan 13- 6 423 A Ohio Wesleyan 15-16 -1 1 - -2.92OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Eastern Michigan 13- 6 302 A John Carroll 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 5.52 409 A Eastern Michigan 13- 6 413 H Oberlin 22-12 10 5 ++ 4.48 226 A Baldwin Wallace 14- 7 7 4 + 2.05 409 A Eastern Michigan 13- 6/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.78 Local Power Rank........... 97 Local SOS Rating......... 47.55 Local SOS Rank............. 113 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 57 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 16 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 89 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3