2021 NCAA Women's Division II
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Lindenwood GLVC 16 0 3 8 1 1 2 1 4 7.00 2 Queens South Atlantic 14 2 6 14 3 2 3 2 7 6.00 3 Indianapolis GLVC 12 2 1 17 5 7 1 5 13 61.00 4 West Chester PSAC 13 1 2 7 2 6 10 4 20 18.00 5 Regis CO Rocky Mountain 12 2 4 13 7 4 8 12 24 5.00 6 Mercy East Coast 12 2 10 53 10 3 17 6 26 1.00 7 Limestone South Atlantic 12 3 11 26 9 9 14 7 30 0.10 8 Roberts Wes East Coast 14 2 9 33 4 5 25 3 33 1.00 9 Le Moyne Northeast 10 13 1 16 76 14 15 11 14 40 0.10 10 Notre Dame OH Mountain East 12 3 68 92 17 19 7 16 42 0.10 11 ESU PSAC 11 4 5 1 6 8 33 10 51 1.00 12 GVSU Great Lakes 11 2 7 31 8 10 38 13 61 0.10 13 Belmont Abbey Carolinas 11 4 21 81 38 25 5 34 64 0.10 14 Florida So Sunshine 7 1 17 82 21 17 30 17 64 0.10 15 Wingate South Atlantic 11 3 15 56 18 21 28 15 64 0.10 16 Tampa Sunshine 7 2 41 79 37 16 31 29 76 0.10 17 Rollins Sunshine 6 1 42 75 22 12 48 19 79 0.10 18 Bentley Northeast 10 11 1 25 58 12 13 58 9 80 0.10 19 McKendree GLVC 7 3 19 12 16 23 42 18 83 0.10 20 Bloomsburg PSAC 8 6 13 4 24 35 9 42 86 0.10 21 UAH Gulf South 12 3 8 55 23 20 47 21 88 0.10 22 Frostburg St Mountain East 10 4 64 104 50 28 13 49 90 0.10 23 Georgian Ct CACC North 12 2 40 87 13 18 67 11 96 0.10 24 Molloy East Coast 4 5 31 44 48 34 20 43 97 0.10 25 Adelphi Northeast 10 9 4 22 63 44 24 39 39 102 0.10 26 Lee Gulf South 9 4 30 66 29 30 36 40 106 0.10 27 Assumption Northeast 10 7 3 28 67 45 26 40 41 107 0.10 28 Seton Hill PSAC 11 3 12 16 15 11 79 20 110 0.10 29 Frank Pierce Northeast 10 6 3 32 71 47 48 19 48 115 0.10 30 Young Harris Gulf South 4 8 36 15 82 27 6 85 118 0.10 31 Mt Olive Carolinas 12 2 18 68 11 14 97 8 119 0.10 32 Colorado Mesa Rocky Mountain 8 5 14 6 19 22 64 35 121 0.10 33 Rockhurst GLVC 6 5 26 11 41 36 37 50 123 0.10 34 St Anselm Northeast 10 6 2 27 69 42 32 54 38 124 0.10 35 Walsh Great Midwest 9 5 45 80 55 46 26 56 128 0.10 36 Findlay Great Midwest 6 6 55 51 61 54 16 61 131 0.10 37 Shippensburg PSAC 5 8 35 2 57 56 12 67 135 0.10 38 Tiffin Great Midwest 5 9 57 43 93 44 4 95 143 0.10 39 Lenoir-Rhyne South Atlantic 5 7 61 50 76 53 21 72 146 0.10 40 St Leo Sunshine 5 5 52 74 67 47 35 64 146 0.10 41 Colorado-CS Rocky Mountain 8 3 23 24 20 31 84 37 152 0.10 42 Mercyhurst PSAC 10 4 24 41 40 33 83 36 152 0.10 43 UVA Wise Mountain East 8 6 44 48 54 41 59 52 152 0.10 44 MO Western GLVC 5 7 48 20 71 67 22 69 158 0.10 45 Pace Northeast 10 7 4 29 73 53 39 70 51 160 0.10 46 Concordia-SP Great Lakes 3 7 56 21 70 64 24 75 163 0.10 47 Davenport GLIAC 11 4 20 45 36 29 92 44 165 0.10 48 New Haven Northeast 10 6 7 54 52 83 40 56 70 166 0.10 49 TJU CACC South 10 3 53 100 39 37 100 30 167 0.10 50 Barton Carolinas 6 3 63 98 46 45 77 47 169 0.10 51 Indiana PA PSAC 6 6 33 22 64 38 72 62 172 0.10 52 St Thomas Aqui East Coast 4 5 59 54 49 49 80 46 175 0.10 53 Lincoln Mem South Atlantic 2 5 69 23 63 57 61 58 176 0.10 54 Davis&Elkins Mountain East 5 6 83 102 79 62 45 73 180 0.10 55 Lander Gulf South 3 7 62 49 75 59 50 74 183 0.10 56 Stonehill Northeast 10 3 5 38 61 73 60 55 68 183 0.10 57 N Greenville Carolinas 6 8 58 77 81 58 49 78 185 0.10 58 Florida Tech Sunshine 2 6 71 78 86 81 23 83 187 0.10 59 Millersville PSAC 3 8 47 5 72 65 41 87 193 0.10 60 Westminster UT Rocky Mountain 3 6 46 39 69 83 32 81 196 0.10 61 WilmingtonDE CACC South 6 5 66 99 60 52 87 57 196 0.10 62 Bridgeport East Coast 1 4 89 28 56 72 74 53 199 0.10 63 Montevallo Gulf South 8 4 49 36 51 42 103 54 199 0.10 64 N Michigan Great Lakes 7 6 50 37 52 51 89 59 199 0.10 65 Newberry South Atlantic 4 6 70 60 68 69 68 65 202 0.10 66 Shepherd PSAC 4 6 37 10 59 71 69 66 206 0.10 67 Slippery Rock PSAC 5 7 51 42 85 74 53 80 207 0.10 68 D'Youville East Coast 2 9 85 25 97 93 27 90 210 0.10 69 Kutztown PSAC 1 12 60 3 104 86 15 111 212 0.10 70 SNHU Northeast 10 2 10 74 40 111 84 18 110 212 0.10 71 Lynn Sunshine 2 7 80 70 98 85 34 97 216 0.10 72 CSU Pueblo Rocky Mountain 4 8 43 32 77 76 52 89 217 0.10 73 Post CACC North 6 4 84 103 58 61 102 55 218 0.10 74 Mars Hill South Atlantic 2 8 78 35 91 75 51 94 220 0.10 75 Catawba South Atlantic 0 5 75 59 74 107 43 71 221 0.10 76 Lock Haven PSAC 4 7 39 29 87 66 73 82 221 0.10 77 Tusculum South Atlantic 1 6 76 83 88 106 29 91 226 0.10 78 Fort Lewis Rocky Mountain 5 7 34 27 66 63 90 77 230 0.10 79 S Connecticut Northeast 10 2 6 81 57 84 77 75 79 231 0.10 80 Nyack CACC North 0 3 104 88 62 82 94 60 236 0.10 81 AldersonBroad Mountain East 4 7 96 105 95 80 66 92 238 0.10 82 PBAU Sunshine 1 8 79 72 103 89 46 104 239 0.10 83 Lees-McRae Carolinas 3 4 97 91 65 78 104 63 245 0.10 84 Edinboro PSAC 1 2 94 64 43 110 93 45 248 0.10 85 Lewis GLVC 5 8 65 34 78 70 96 84 250 0.10 86 Charleston Mountain East 5 9 87 101 106 73 76 103 252 0.10 87 St Rose Northeast 10 1 11 88 46 115 94 44 114 252 0.10 88 AIC Northeast 10 2 9 73 65 107 91 60 105 256 0.10 89 Maryville GLVC 1 10 72 19 105 95 57 106 258 0.10 90 Chestnut Hill CACC South 0 6 100 85 94 88 78 93 259 0.10 91 Quincy GLVC 1 9 82 9 92 90 71 98 259 0.10 92 Caldwell CACC North 2 8 92 86 101 79 91 100 270 0.10 93 Coker South Atlantic 3 8 91 62 96 87 88 96 271 0.10 94 Erskine Carolinas 1 6 101 89 90 100 85 86 271 0.10 95 Chowan Carolinas 2 6 99 96 89 102 82 88 272 0.10 96 St Michaels Northeast 10 1 10 77 47 112 98 62 112 272 0.10 97 Adams State Rocky Mountain 0 8 98 18 100 108 63 102 273 0.10 98 WV Wesleyan Mountain East 0 10 105 97 113 104 65 113 282 0.10 99 S Wesleyan Carolinas 4 8 86 90 102 96 86 101 283 0.10 100 Felician CACC North 0 5 103 94 80 103 105 76 284 0.10 101 Holy Family CACC South 2 7 93 95 99 97 95 99 291 0.10 102 Converse Carolinas 0 9 102 93 109 109 81 108 298 0.10 103 Gannon PSAC 1 10 67 30 110 99 98 107 304 0.10 104 Ursuline Great Midwest 2 9 95 84 108 105 99 109 313 0.10 105 Ashland Great Lakes 1 12 90 38 114 101 101 115 317 0.10 106 Dominican CACC North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 107 Emmanuel GA Carolinas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 108 ERAU Sunshine 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 109 Lake Erie Great Midwest 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 110 NYIT East Coast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 111 Oklahoma Bap Rocky Mountain 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 112 Shorter Gulf South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 113 UDC East Coast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 114 Upper Iowa Great Lakes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 115 Wheeling Mountain East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10