Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.9000015 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 213 H JMU Colonial (12- 5, 89.8) 214 H Stony Brook America East (16- 3, 93.3) 14- 7 219 H Florida American (18- 3, 94.2) 11- 5 221 H High Point Big South (10- 8, 85.5) 19- 5 226 H Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 93.1) 13- 6 228 H Vanderbilt American (12- 7, 85.3) 17- 6 306 H Boston C Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 97.3) 21- 9 311 A VA Tech Atlantic Coas ( 4-11, 88.3) 313 A VA Tech Atlantic Coas ( 4-11, 88.3) 22- 1 318 A Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 5-11, 88.4) 19- 7 321 H JMU Colonial (12- 5, 89.8) 15- 5 327 H Mercer Southern ( 7- 8, 80.9) 18- 3 403 H Syracuse Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 98.2) 17- 6 410 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9) 11-10 416 H Virginia Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 90.4) 20- 8 418 H Virginia Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 90.4) 15- 4 423 A Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 93.1) 12-11 428 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 5-11, 88.4) 19- 6 430 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9) 18- 4 502 H Syracuse Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 98.2) 9- 4 516 N JMU Colonial (12- 5, 89.8) 14- 9 522 N Stony Brook America East (16- 3, 93.3) 14-11 528 N Boston C Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 97.3) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Stony Brook 14- 7 7 8 -1.08 219 H Florida 11- 5 6 7 -1.17 221 H High Point 19- 5 14 15 0.00 226 H Duke 13- 6 7 8 -1.31 228 H Vanderbilt 17- 6 11 16 0.00 306 H Boston C 21- 9 12 4 ++ 5.85 313 A VA Tech 22- 1 21 10 0.00 318 A Louisville 19- 7 12 9 0.04 321 H JMU 15- 5 10 11 0.00 327 H Mercer 18- 3 15 20 0.00 403 H Syracuse 17- 6 11 3 +++ 6.80 410 A Notre Dame 11-10 1 4 - -3.50 416 H Virginia 20- 8 12 11 0.00 418 H Virginia 15- 4 11 11 0.00 423 A Duke 12-11 1 5 -- -4.28 428 H Louisville 19- 6 13 12 0.00 430 H Notre Dame 18- 4 14 7 + 2.47 502 H Syracuse 9- 4 5 3 1.80 516 N JMU 14- 9 5 10 -- -5.00 522 N Stony Brook 14-11 3 6 - -3.56 528 N Boston C 10-11 -1 2 - -3.64UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Duke 12-11 1 5 -- -4.28 516 N JMU 14- 9 5 10 -- -5.00 410 A Notre Dame 11-10 1 4 - -3.50 522 N Stony Brook 14-11 3 6 - -3.56 528 N Boston C 10-11 -1 2 - -3.64OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Syracuse 17- 6 11 3 +++ 6.80 306 H Boston C 21- 9 12 4 ++ 5.85 430 H Notre Dame 18- 4 14 7 + 2.47/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank........... 1 Local SOS Rating......... 80.60 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.74 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 34.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.285.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 1 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 1 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3