Conf = MAC                        Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Katrina Silva           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.2248077    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 H Liberty                Atlantic Sun  (10- 9, 83.6)     9- 8   
 223 H Fresno State           MPSF          ( 2-12, 77.7)    18-13   
 228 H GardWebb               Big South     ( 4- 9, 73.2)    12- 9   
 303 A Kent State             MAC           ( 5-10, 70.2)    20-11   
 306 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9)     2-16   
 307 A Butler                 Big East      ( 1-11, 74.6)    13- 7   
 310 A Cincinnati             American      ( 7-10, 82.6)     7-16   
 316 H Akron                  MAC           ( 7- 8, 71.5)    12- 9   
 320 A Detroit Mercy          MAC           ( 2- 8, 67.4)   
 327 A Central MI             MAC           ( 8- 6, 79.6)    12- 7   
 403 H Youngstown St          MAC           ( 2- 7, 67.7)    17- 7   
 409 H Kent State             MAC           ( 5-10, 70.2)    23- 4   
 417 A Akron                  MAC           ( 7- 8, 71.5)    18- 4   
 424 H Central MI             MAC           ( 8- 6, 79.6)    20-10   
 428 A Detroit Mercy          MAC           ( 2- 8, 67.4)    19- 5   
 501 A Youngstown St          MAC           ( 2- 7, 67.7)    23-12   
 506 H Detroit Mercy          MAC           ( 2- 8, 67.4)    21- 5   
 514 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9)     0-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Liberty                 9- 8       1     0           1.85
   223 H Fresno State           18-13       5     5          -0.07
   228 H GardWebb               12- 9       3     9    ---   -6.58
   303 A Kent State             20-11       9     9          -0.55
   306 A Notre Dame              2-16     -14   -14           0.00
   307 A Butler                 13- 7       6     5           0.91
   310 A Cincinnati              7-16      -9    -2    ---   -6.10
   316 H Akron                  12- 9       3    11    ---   -7.00
   327 A Central MI             12- 7       5     0    ++     4.90
   403 H Youngstown St          17- 7      10    14           0.00
   409 H Kent State             23- 4      19    12           0.00
   417 A Akron                  18- 4      14     8           1.78
   424 H Central MI             20-10      10     3    +++    6.86
   428 A Detroit Mercy          19- 5      14    12           0.00
   501 A Youngstown St          23-12      11    11           0.00
   506 H Detroit Mercy          21- 5      16    15           0.00
   514 A Notre Dame              0-16     -16   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H GardWebb               12- 9       3     9    ---   -6.58
   310 A Cincinnati              7-16      -9    -2    ---   -6.10
   316 H Akron                  12- 9       3    11    ---   -7.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Central MI             20-10      10     3    +++    6.86
   327 A Central MI             12- 7       5     0    ++     4.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.22 Local Power Rank...........    67
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.53 Local SOS Rank.............    99
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    88
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/