Conf = MAC Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katrina SilvaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.2248077 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 H Liberty Atlantic Sun (10- 9, 83.6) 9- 8 223 H Fresno State MPSF ( 2-12, 77.7) 18-13 228 H GardWebb Big South ( 4- 9, 73.2) 12- 9 303 A Kent State MAC ( 5-10, 70.2) 20-11 306 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9) 2-16 307 A Butler Big East ( 1-11, 74.6) 13- 7 310 A Cincinnati American ( 7-10, 82.6) 7-16 316 H Akron MAC ( 7- 8, 71.5) 12- 9 320 A Detroit Mercy MAC ( 2- 8, 67.4) 327 A Central MI MAC ( 8- 6, 79.6) 12- 7 403 H Youngstown St MAC ( 2- 7, 67.7) 17- 7 409 H Kent State MAC ( 5-10, 70.2) 23- 4 417 A Akron MAC ( 7- 8, 71.5) 18- 4 424 H Central MI MAC ( 8- 6, 79.6) 20-10 428 A Detroit Mercy MAC ( 2- 8, 67.4) 19- 5 501 A Youngstown St MAC ( 2- 7, 67.7) 23-12 506 H Detroit Mercy MAC ( 2- 8, 67.4) 21- 5 514 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9) 0-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Liberty 9- 8 1 0 1.85 223 H Fresno State 18-13 5 5 -0.07 228 H GardWebb 12- 9 3 9 --- -6.58 303 A Kent State 20-11 9 9 -0.55 306 A Notre Dame 2-16 -14 -14 0.00 307 A Butler 13- 7 6 5 0.91 310 A Cincinnati 7-16 -9 -2 --- -6.10 316 H Akron 12- 9 3 11 --- -7.00 327 A Central MI 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.90 403 H Youngstown St 17- 7 10 14 0.00 409 H Kent State 23- 4 19 12 0.00 417 A Akron 18- 4 14 8 1.78 424 H Central MI 20-10 10 3 +++ 6.86 428 A Detroit Mercy 19- 5 14 12 0.00 501 A Youngstown St 23-12 11 11 0.00 506 H Detroit Mercy 21- 5 16 15 0.00 514 A Notre Dame 0-16 -16 -14 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H GardWebb 12- 9 3 9 --- -6.58 310 A Cincinnati 7-16 -9 -2 --- -6.10 316 H Akron 12- 9 3 11 --- -7.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Central MI 20-10 10 3 +++ 6.86 327 A Central MI 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.90/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.22 Local Power Rank........... 67 Local SOS Rating......... 51.53 Local SOS Rank............. 99 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 39 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 88 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 8.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7