Conf = Gulf South                 Region = South        State = TN
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Derrel Martin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.5557327    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 A Wingate                South Atlanti (11- 3, 73.9)     6-17   
 213 H McKendree              GLVC          ( 7- 3, 72.1)    10-11  o
 220 A UVA Wise               Mountain East ( 8- 6, 66.9)    13-10   
 228 H Lincoln Mem            South Atlanti ( 2- 5, 63.7)    18- 2   
 303 H Tusculum               South Atlanti ( 1- 6, 61.0)   
 308 A Converse               Carolinas     ( 0- 9, 47.2)    17- 2   
 314 H Lewis                  GLVC          ( 5- 8, 65.5)    15-10   
 321 H Montevallo             Gulf South    ( 8- 4, 66.8)    15-10   
 327 H Presbyterian           Big South     ( 4-10, 67.1)     7-14   
 401 A Young Harris           Gulf South    ( 4- 8, 68.5)    15-14   
 403 A Lander                 Gulf South    ( 3- 7, 66.0)    20- 8   
 411 H UAH                    Gulf South    (12- 3, 75.9)    13-12   
 417 H S Wesleyan             Carolinas     ( 4- 8, 58.2)    17- 7   
 421 H Young Harris           Gulf South    ( 4- 8, 68.5)    13-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Wingate                 6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.93
   213 H McKendree              10-11  o   -1    -1           0.77
   220 A UVA Wise               13-10       3     1           1.09
   228 H Lincoln Mem            18- 2      16     6    +      3.44
   308 A Converse               17- 2      15    21           0.00
   314 H Lewis                  15-10       5     4           0.22
   321 H Montevallo             15-10       5     3           1.53
   327 H Presbyterian            7-14      -7     3          n/a  
   401 A Young Harris           15-14       1     0           0.63
   403 A Lander                 20- 8      12     2    +++    7.19
   411 H UAH                    13-12       1    -5    +++    6.58
   417 H S Wesleyan             17- 7      10    12           0.00
   421 H Young Harris           13-15      -2     1    -     -3.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Presbyterian            7-14   
   206 A Wingate                 6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.93
   327 H Presbyterian            7-14   
   327 H Presbyterian            7-14   
   421 H Young Harris           13-15      -2     1    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Presbyterian            7-14   
   403 A Lander                 20- 8      12     2    +++    7.19
   411 H UAH                    13-12       1    -5    +++    6.58
   327 H Presbyterian            7-14   
   228 H Lincoln Mem            18- 2      16     6    +      3.44
   327 H Presbyterian            7-14   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.56 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 36.34 Local SOS Rank.............    66
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    55
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
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