Conf = Atlantic Sun Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.5901184 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 H VA Tech Atlantic Coas ( 4-11, 88.3) 5-13 221 A Robert Morris MAC (14- 3, 81.2) 8- 9 224 H Cincinnati American ( 7-10, 82.6) 14-10 227 A Furman Southern (12- 4, 83.6) 8-10 303 H Radford Big South ( 6-12, 75.8) 18-10 310 A ODU American ( 3-14, 74.8) 14- 8 313 A W&M Colonial ( 3- 9, 79.1) 20-16 319 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9) 5-19 326 H Delaware St Southern ( 1- 9, 61.5) 24- 2 401 H JMU Colonial (12- 5, 89.8) 5- 8 410 H Cst Carolina Southern (10- 7, 82.9) 14-13 413 A Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 93.1) 6-18 416 H Kennesaw St Atlantic Sun ( 4-10, 76.6) 17- 6 418 A High Point Big South (10- 8, 85.5) 15-13 423 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 1- 8, 75.1) 18- 9 425 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (12- 2, 89.7) 11-22 428 A Florida American (18- 3, 94.2) 2-17 506 A Kennesaw St Atlantic Sun ( 4-10, 76.6) 23-11 508 N Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (12- 2, 89.7) 8-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H VA Tech 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.83 221 A Robert Morris 8- 9 -1 0 -1.85 224 H Cincinnati 14-10 4 2 1.50 227 A Furman 8-10 -2 -1 -0.46 303 H Radford 18-10 8 9 -1.27 310 A ODU 14- 8 6 7 -1.29 313 A W&M 20-16 4 2 1.05 319 A Notre Dame 5-19 -14 -11 0.00 326 H Delaware St 24- 2 22 23 0.00 401 H JMU 5- 8 -3 -4 1.73 410 H Cst Carolina 14-13 1 2 -1.17 413 A Duke 6-18 -12 -11 0.00 416 H Kennesaw St 17- 6 11 8 1.46 418 A High Point 15-13 2 -3 ++ 5.46 423 A Stetson 18- 9 9 6 + 2.04 425 A Jacksonville 11-22 -11 -7 - -2.40 428 A Florida 2-17 -15 -12 0.00 506 A Kennesaw St 23-11 12 5 ++ 4.50 508 N Jacksonville 8-13 -5 -6 1.08UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H VA Tech 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.83 425 A Jacksonville 11-22 -11 -7 - -2.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A High Point 15-13 2 -3 ++ 5.46 506 A Kennesaw St 23-11 12 5 ++ 4.50 423 A Stetson 18- 9 9 6 + 2.04/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.59 Local Power Rank........... 51 Local SOS Rating......... 63.60 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 49 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 62 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 66 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7