2020 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Loyola Patriot League 5 0 2 6 6 1 1 2 4 1.00 2 James Madison Colonial 5 1 7 4 11 7 5 5 17 0.10 3 Michigan Big Ten 5 1 8 13 13 2 2 17 21 0.10 4 Penn Ivy League 4 1 13 17 16 6 4 13 23 2.00 5 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 7 0 1 5 1 5 20 1 26 31.00 6 Southern Califor Pacific 12 6 0 9 14 4 3 16 7 26 1.00 7 Dartmouth Ivy League 5 0 14 30 10 4 17 8 29 1.00 8 Florida American 6 2 16 9 5 10 7 12 29 1.00 9 Stony Brook America East 4 1 6 7 14 9 12 11 32 1.00 10 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 7 0 4 24 3 8 23 3 34 7.00 11 Northwestern Big Ten 4 3 5 3 15 15 13 15 43 10.00 12 Penn State Big Ten 5 2 21 16 18 12 10 22 44 1.00 13 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 7 1 3 19 2 14 26 4 44 24.00 14 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 4 1 18 28 17 11 15 23 49 0.10 15 Maryland Big Ten 3 3 10 1 28 17 6 27 50 2.00 16 Boston College Atlantic Coast 4 3 17 12 26 13 3 39 55 0.10 17 Albany America East 3 2 20 23 21 23 24 19 66 0.10 18 Virginia Atlantic Coast 5 3 19 11 35 18 22 28 68 0.10 19 Louisville Atlantic Coast 5 4 28 21 33 21 21 31 73 0.10 20 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 4 3 27 20 39 16 14 46 76 0.10 21 Colorado Pacific 12 3 2 24 27 27 25 27 25 77 0.10 22 Vanderbilt American 4 5 35 15 67 20 9 49 78 0.10 23 Lehigh Patriot League 6 2 34 57 32 27 38 21 86 0.10 24 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 7 3 15 37 24 26 33 29 88 8.00 25 Brown Ivy League 4 3 31 29 43 19 19 51 89 2.00 26 Stanford Pacific 12 3 4 12 8 49 22 11 62 95 1.00 27 San Diego State MPSF 3 2 38 22 25 24 25 48 97 0.10 28 Denver Big East 7 1 11 39 12 30 62 14 106 2.00 29 Towson Colonial 2 4 26 10 66 33 18 57 108 0.10 30 Hofstra Colonial 4 3 25 25 31 32 32 45 109 0.10 31 George Mason Atlantic 10 4 3 44 33 47 35 34 42 111 0.10 32 High Point Big South 1 4 41 2 62 36 8 68 112 0.10 33 Duke Atlantic Coast 6 3 23 54 22 40 53 20 113 5.00 34 Ohio State Big Ten 5 4 53 35 48 31 30 56 117 0.10 35 Richmond Atlantic 10 7 0 22 96 7 28 83 6 117 0.10 36 Army Patriot League 7 0 37 100 9 29 85 10 124 0.10 37 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 6 2 49 79 34 37 64 24 125 0.10 38 Princeton Ivy League 3 2 33 36 29 42 51 34 127 0.10 39 Navy Patriot League 2 4 39 18 72 48 29 55 132 0.10 40 Yale Ivy League 3 2 50 41 36 39 45 50 134 0.10 41 Harvard Ivy League 3 3 32 40 55 41 35 59 135 0.10 42 Georgetown Big East 4 3 36 38 53 38 40 58 136 0.10 43 Davidson Atlantic 10 2 4 42 26 68 46 28 64 138 0.10 44 Rutgers Big Ten 5 4 47 52 59 34 31 74 139 0.10 45 Cornell Ivy League 4 2 46 63 46 49 76 26 151 0.10 46 Central Michigan Southern 2 3 78 62 51 57 43 53 153 0.10 47 Connecticut American 5 2 30 64 23 44 79 30 153 0.10 48 Drexel Colonial 5 2 48 74 37 43 78 32 153 0.10 49 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 3 1 29 78 19 51 88 16 155 0.10 50 Marquette Big East 6 4 52 66 58 45 61 54 160 0.10 51 Liberty Atlantic Sun 3 3 74 60 57 58 56 47 161 0.10 52 Colgate Patriot League 3 4 69 50 70 52 39 71 162 0.10 53 Delaware Colonial 2 3 43 47 71 54 36 72 162 0.10 54 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 4 3 45 32 65 47 54 61 162 0.10 55 Arizona State Pacific 12 5 3 40 43 30 53 70 43 166 0.10 56 Bryant Northeast 4 2 62 89 44 50 77 40 167 0.10 57 American Patriot League 7 0 82 117 8 56 115 9 180 0.10 58 East Carolina American 5 3 68 99 54 61 84 35 180 0.10 59 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 6 1 73 107 20 55 107 18 180 0.10 60 Boston Universit Patriot League 3 3 58 53 50 59 57 67 183 0.10 61 Siena Metro Atlantic 3 4 63 51 76 62 48 75 185 0.10 62 Marist Metro Atlantic 2 4 80 69 88 66 46 77 189 0.10 63 UMBC America East 2 4 77 70 89 65 37 89 191 0.10 64 Longwood Big South 3 5 84 83 98 60 42 90 192 0.10 65 UC Davis MPSF 3 3 51 31 60 63 63 69 195 0.10 66 Elon Colonial 3 2 54 61 38 70 93 33 196 0.10 67 Wagner Northeast 3 4 59 59 86 64 50 87 201 0.10 68 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 2 3 71 55 61 74 66 63 203 0.10 69 California Pacific 12 2 5 55 34 90 67 44 94 205 0.10 70 Binghamton America East 3 5 91 75 87 69 52 88 209 0.10 71 Furman Southern 3 4 79 58 78 68 65 79 212 0.10 72 Robert Morris Northeast 5 2 70 110 41 71 108 37 216 0.10 73 Duquesne Atlantic 10 3 3 66 82 69 79 87 52 218 0.10 74 Cincinnati American 3 4 81 67 73 76 73 70 219 0.10 75 Mercer Southern 5 2 60 94 40 75 111 36 222 0.10 76 William & Mary Colonial 2 5 93 46 96 83 60 82 225 0.10 77 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 3 4 87 80 75 77 74 76 227 0.10 78 Lafayette Patriot League 4 3 92 106 63 73 92 65 230 0.10 79 Villanova Big East 3 5 65 45 100 72 58 100 230 0.10 80 Gardner-Webb Big South 6 3 95 112 52 82 110 44 236 0.10 81 Long Island Northeast 1 5 104 81 103 86 47 103 236 0.10 82 Niagara Metro Atlantic 3 4 88 73 83 78 80 80 238 0.10 83 Canisius Metro Atlantic 1 5 75 49 91 91 59 93 243 0.10 84 Wofford Southern 0 6 113 91 111 96 41 108 245 0.10 85 Butler Big East 5 2 103 116 45 93 117 41 251 0.10 86 Oregon Pacific 12 2 5 72 44 95 87 68 97 252 0.10 87 Vermont America East 4 4 67 92 77 81 91 81 253 0.10 88 New Hampshire America East 1 4 90 56 82 94 69 91 254 0.10 89 Temple American 5 4 61 76 74 80 96 78 254 0.10 90 Holy Cross Patriot League 5 3 56 97 56 84 112 60 256 0.10 91 Iona Metro Atlantic 3 4 94 95 79 89 94 73 256 0.10 92 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 4 64 88 80 85 89 83 257 0.10 93 Massachusetts-Lo America East 2 5 86 72 99 88 71 99 258 0.10 94 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 2 5 57 48 93 90 75 95 260 0.10 95 Columbia Ivy League 0 7 97 42 115 101 49 114 264 0.10 96 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 5 2 109 118 42 109 118 38 265 0.10 97 George Washingto Atlantic 10 0 7 105 71 116 105 55 116 276 0.10 98 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 3 4 98 103 81 92 100 84 276 0.10 99 Saint Francis Northeast 4 3 108 115 64 100 116 66 282 0.10 100 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 3 4 96 98 84 95 103 85 283 0.10 101 Kent State Atlantic Sun 0 6 115 104 110 108 67 111 286 0.10 102 Virginia Commonw Atlantic 10 3 4 85 108 85 97 104 86 287 0.10 103 Campbell Big South 2 7 99 90 113 98 82 112 292 0.10 104 Bucknell Patriot League 3 5 76 87 97 99 99 98 296 0.10 105 Detroit Mercy Southern 1 7 110 65 109 103 81 113 297 0.10 106 Fresno State MPSF 2 5 83 68 94 104 97 96 297 0.10 107 Hartford America East 0 7 112 85 117 110 72 115 297 0.10 108 Radford Big South 2 7 106 86 112 102 90 107 299 0.10 109 Presbyterian Big South 2 5 114 113 101 106 101 101 308 0.10 110 Stetson Atlantic Sun 1 4 89 77 92 111 106 92 309 0.10 111 Akron Atlantic Sun 0 7 116 109 114 113 86 117 316 0.10 112 Merrimack Northeast 1 6 101 84 107 112 98 109 319 0.10 113 Central Connecti Northeast 0 6 111 101 108 116 95 110 321 0.10 114 Old Dominion Big East 3 6 102 93 106 107 109 106 322 0.10 115 Sacred Heart Northeast 1 5 100 105 104 114 105 104 323 0.10 116 Howard Atlantic Sun 0 5 118 114 105 117 102 105 324 0.10 117 Delaware State Southern 1 5 117 111 102 115 113 102 330 0.10 118 Winthrop Big South 0 7 107 102 118 118 114 118 350 0.10