Conf = American                   Region = Mid-Atlantic State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Beth Hewitt             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4346619    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Wagner                 Northeast     ( 3- 4, 80.2)    14-11   
 216 A Boston College         Atlantic Coas ( 4- 3, 89.0)    12-15   
 219 A Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 3- 4, 75.7)    21-11   
 222 H Lehigh                 Patriot Leagu ( 6- 2, 85.4)    13-12  o
 225 H Louisville             Atlantic Coas ( 5- 4, 86.4)    13-15   
 301 H Denver                 Big East      ( 7- 1, 90.3)    14-13   
 304 H Michigan               Big Ten       ( 5- 1, 91.7)    13-20   
 308 H Penn State             Big Ten       ( 5- 2, 88.3)    13-14   
 311 H Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas ( 7- 0, 94.1)     6-16   
 315 A Winthrop               Big South     ( 0- 7, 72.0)   
 318 H Colgate                Patriot Leagu ( 3- 4, 78.9)   
 322 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 7- 3, 89.8)   
 328 A Temple                 American      ( 5- 4, 79.7)   
 404 H Florida                American      ( 6- 2, 89.6)   
 411 H Cincinnati             American      ( 3- 4, 77.2)   
 419 A Connecticut            American      ( 5- 2, 86.3)   
 425 H East Carolina          American      ( 5- 3, 78.9)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Wagner                 14-11       3     3          -0.87
   216 A Boston College         12-15      -3    -4           1.98
   219 A Kennesaw State         21-11      10     8           1.66
   222 H Lehigh                 13-12  o    1     1          -0.39
   225 H Louisville             13-15      -2     0    -     -2.40
   301 H Denver                 14-13       1    -3    ++     4.46
   304 H Michigan               13-20      -7    -4    -     -2.17
   308 H Penn State             13-14      -1    -1           0.49
   311 H Notre Dame              6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Louisville             13-15      -2     0    -     -2.40
   304 H Michigan               13-20      -7    -4    -     -2.17
   311 H Notre Dame              6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Denver                 14-13       1    -3    ++     4.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.43 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.68 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   109
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    67
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/