Conf = Appalachian                                      State = TN
   Nickname = Bulldogs               Coach  = Derrel Martin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.7543335    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 H Tusculum               South Atlanti ( 3- 3, 64.1)     6-20   
 223 H Montevallo             Gulf South    ( 4- 4, 59.0)     9-19   
 226 A Montreat               Appalachian   ( 1- 4, 59.5)    17- 8   
 229 A Shorter                Gulf South    ( 0- 5, 67.2)    16- 7   
 305 A Savannah Art & Design  Independent   ( 7- 0, 84.4)     3-32   
 307 H Reinhardt              Appalachian   ( 6- 2, 76.1)     5-16   
 309 H Missouri Valley        KCAC          ( 1- 3, 70.7)     7-21   
 312 A Asbury                 Appalachian   ( 2- 4, 61.7)    19-16   
 314 A Point                  Appalachian   ( 4- 3, 69.8)   
 318 A St. Andrews            Appalachian   ( 2- 5, 59.9)   
 321 H Keiser                 Mid-South     ( 4- 2, 81.1)   
 325 H Columbia (SC)          Appalachian   ( 0- 6, 54.6)   
 328 A Brenau                 Appalachian   ( 1- 4, 58.9)   
 403 H Cumberlands            Mid-South     ( 8- 0, 84.9)   
 406 H Life                   Mid-South     ( 7- 1, 77.8)   
 411 H Truett-McConnell       Appalachian   ( 4- 2, 69.2)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Tusculum                6-20     -14     1          n/a  
   223 H Montevallo              9-19     -10     6          n/a  
   226 A Montreat               17- 8       9     4    ++     4.71
   229 A Shorter                16- 7       9    -4          n/a  
   305 A Savannah Art & Design   3-32     -29   -20           0.00
   307 H Reinhardt               5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   309 H Missouri Valley         7-21     -14    -5    --    -4.06
   312 A Asbury                 19-16       3     2           0.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Tusculum                6-20   
   223 H Montevallo              9-19   
   229 A Shorter                16- 7   
   217 H Tusculum                6-20   
   223 H Montevallo              9-19   
   229 A Shorter                16- 7   
   309 H Missouri Valley         7-21     -14    -5    --    -4.06
   217 H Tusculum                6-20   
   223 H Montevallo              9-19   
   229 A Shorter                16- 7   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Tusculum                6-20   
   223 H Montevallo              9-19   
   229 A Shorter                16- 7   
   217 H Tusculum                6-20   
   223 H Montevallo              9-19   
   226 A Montreat               17- 8       9     4    ++     4.71
   229 A Shorter                16- 7   
   217 H Tusculum                6-20   
   223 H Montevallo              9-19   
   229 A Shorter                16- 7   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.31 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 38.98 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   17.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/