Messiah                       4 - 2


 
   Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Mid-Atlantic State = PA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Heather Greer           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.0662155    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Gettysburg             Centennial    ( 4- 1, 88.5)     5-19   
 222 H Scranton               Landmark      ( 2- 4, 74.8)    14-11   
 226 H Dickinson              Centennial    ( 3- 3, 80.2)    12-11   
 304 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 4- 0, 88.2)     9-19   
 307 H Christopher Newport    Capital       ( 3- 4, 77.7)    14- 7   
 311 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu ( 0- 5, 70.7)    15- 6   
 317 H Lasell                 Great Northea ( 2- 0, 63.2)   
 318 A St. Mary's (MD)        Capital       ( 5- 2, 83.2)   
 325 A Hood                   Commonwealth  ( 3- 4, 60.5)   
 328 H Albright               Commonwealth  ( 4- 3, 69.9)   
 401 H Arcadia                Commonwealth  ( 3- 3, 67.1)   
 404 A Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  ( 0- 3, 71.3)   
 407 A Alvernia               Commonwealth  ( 2- 3, 63.6)   
 409 A York                   Capital       ( 4- 1, 87.7)   
 415 A Lycoming               Commonwealth  ( 1- 3, 60.2)   
 418 H Stevenson              Commonwealth  ( 2- 2, 76.9)   
 422 A Widener                Commonwealth  ( 3- 2, 71.9)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Gettysburg              5-19     -14    -9          -0.87
   222 H Scranton               14-11       3     4          -1.59
   226 H Dickinson              12-11       1     0           1.81
   304 A Franklin & Marshall     9-19     -10    -9          -0.54
   307 H Christopher Newport    14- 7       7     1    ++     5.30
   311 H Skidmore               15- 6       9     8           0.31


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Christopher Newport    14- 7       7     1    ++     5.30




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.07 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.01 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    61
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   176
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0


  
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