Liberty                       3 - 3


 
   Conf = Atlantic Sun               Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Kelly Nangle            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   77.9987030    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 A Oregon                 Pacific 12    ( 2- 5, 78.3)    12-20   
 215 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 7- 3, 89.8)     5-20   
 219 H Furman                 Southern      ( 3- 4, 77.3)    16- 9   
 226 H Winthrop               Big South     ( 0- 7, 72.0)    17- 9   
 229 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 7- 0, 87.9)     9-18   
 305 H Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 5- 2, 78.8)    14-13   
 321 H High Point             Big South     ( 1- 4, 83.9)   
 323 A James Madison          Colonial      ( 5- 1, 91.9)   
 327 A Mercer                 Southern      ( 5- 2, 79.8)   
 329 A Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 3- 4, 75.7)   
 405 A Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  ( 2- 3, 78.6)   
 409 H Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 1- 4, 75.7)   
 411 H Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  ( 3- 1, 86.4)   
 414 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas ( 7- 0, 94.1)   
 419 H Howard                 Atlantic Sun  ( 0- 5, 57.7)   
 423 A Kent State             Atlantic Sun  ( 0- 6, 65.4)   
 425 A Akron                  Atlantic Sun  ( 0- 7, 64.0)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Oregon                 12-20      -8    -1    ---   -6.34
   215 A Virginia Tech           5-20     -15   -13           0.00
   219 H Furman                 16- 9       7     2    ++     4.86
   226 H Winthrop               17- 9       8     7           0.64
   229 A Richmond                9-18      -9   -11           1.00
   305 H Robert Morris          14-13       1     0           0.40


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Oregon                 12-20      -8    -1    ---   -6.34


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Furman                 16- 9       7     2    ++     4.86




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.00 Local Power Rank...........    74
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.09 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    58
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    71
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    57
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0


  
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