2019 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Maryland Big Ten 18 1 1 6 2 1 6 1 8 33.00 2 Boston College Atlantic Coast 19 1 3 3 1 2 5 2 9 15.00 3 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 15 3 2 5 3 3 4 3 10 25.00 4 Northwestern Big Ten 14 4 4 4 5 4 1 5 10 10.00 5 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 15 4 6 2 4 5 2 4 11 1.00 6 Virginia Atlantic Coast 12 6 9 1 8 6 3 10 19 1.00 7 Princeton Ivy League 14 3 7 8 6 7 13 6 26 1.00 8 Florida AAC 13 6 11 13 18 8 7 21 36 1.00 9 Loyola Patriot League 15 4 10 27 11 11 17 8 36 1.00 10 Michigan Big Ten 15 3 21 26 7 10 25 7 42 0.10 11 Southern Califor Pacific 12 16 3 14 25 13 9 19 15 43 2.00 12 Navy Patriot League 15 4 18 29 12 12 23 12 47 0.10 13 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 13 4 5 21 10 15 22 11 48 3.00 14 Dartmouth Ivy League 11 5 12 17 23 17 18 17 52 2.00 15 Penn Ivy League 12 5 15 9 14 13 21 19 53 0.10 16 James Madison Colonial 16 3 17 23 9 16 29 9 54 0.10 17 Penn State Big Ten 8 9 20 7 33 18 8 33 59 1.00 18 Colorado Pacific 12 10 7 22 16 34 21 10 29 60 0.10 19 Duke Atlantic Coast 11 8 16 15 19 26 11 24 61 2.00 20 Stony Brook America East 15 4 8 32 15 19 32 13 64 2.00 21 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 10 7 19 12 30 20 16 30 66 0.10 22 Georgetown Big East 11 8 26 22 32 25 14 32 71 0.10 23 Denver Big East 14 3 13 39 21 14 38 20 72 0.10 24 Hofstra Colonial 12 7 29 31 35 28 15 34 77 0.10 25 Richmond Atlantic 10 17 3 32 67 17 23 42 16 81 0.10 26 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 8 10 24 11 39 32 9 41 82 0.10 27 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 15 4 30 51 24 22 36 25 83 0.10 28 Stanford Pacific 12 13 5 23 35 27 24 34 27 85 0.10 29 High Point Big South 15 4 25 63 20 27 50 18 95 0.10 30 Liberty Atlantic Sun 14 5 41 79 29 30 35 31 96 0.10 31 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 16 3 28 90 16 29 57 14 100 0.10 32 Wagner Northeast 15 3 55 99 26 31 45 26 102 0.10 33 Army Patriot League 14 5 51 66 28 34 47 28 109 0.10 34 Albany America East 11 7 39 44 31 42 33 36 111 0.10 35 Villanova Big East 10 8 40 36 49 36 28 49 113 0.10 36 Boston Universit Patriot League 11 7 37 54 38 39 41 37 117 0.10 37 Harvard Ivy League 6 9 34 18 52 44 24 50 118 0.10 38 Ohio State Big Ten 9 8 42 28 44 38 37 43 118 0.10 39 Louisville Atlantic Coast 5 13 33 10 60 45 12 63 120 0.10 40 Cornell Ivy League 8 8 27 20 41 40 40 44 124 0.10 41 Towson Colonial 7 10 31 14 63 37 26 62 125 0.10 42 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 15 3 72 80 22 33 75 22 130 0.10 43 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 16 3 44 104 25 35 77 23 135 0.10 44 George Mason Atlantic 10 11 7 56 57 43 47 46 45 138 0.10 45 California Pacific 12 7 12 53 30 84 50 20 72 142 0.10 46 Vanderbilt AAC 10 6 38 56 36 41 71 35 147 0.10 47 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 11 8 35 48 55 46 49 54 149 0.10 48 Brown Ivy League 8 7 36 41 42 48 60 42 150 0.10 49 Rutgers Big Ten 5 11 50 24 70 56 31 64 151 0.10 50 Elon Colonial 6 12 46 19 75 49 27 76 152 0.10 51 San Diego State MPSF 11 7 47 58 48 43 68 48 159 0.10 52 Marquette Big East 9 9 57 49 54 55 52 57 164 0.10 53 Siena Metro Atlantic 12 7 63 95 53 57 58 51 166 0.10 54 UC Davis MPSF 9 8 62 60 61 51 59 58 168 0.10 55 Cincinnati AAC 12 7 58 65 46 52 78 39 169 0.10 56 Colgate Patriot League 8 10 67 53 65 59 43 67 169 0.10 57 Lehigh Patriot League 8 9 64 59 62 54 54 61 169 0.10 58 Bryant Northeast 8 9 88 84 68 65 56 68 189 0.10 59 Temple AAC 6 11 48 43 79 66 44 80 190 0.10 60 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 12 6 49 88 40 53 98 40 191 0.10 61 Marist Metro Atlantic 8 10 78 75 78 62 53 79 194 0.10 62 William & Mary Colonial 6 9 52 42 64 58 70 66 194 0.10 63 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 12 6 61 100 45 60 97 46 203 0.10 64 Campbell Big South 6 11 86 69 82 75 48 81 204 0.10 65 Yale Ivy League 6 9 45 37 58 74 74 59 207 0.10 66 Connecticut AAC 3 14 68 38 101 77 30 101 208 0.10 67 Furman Southern 11 8 82 108 57 70 82 56 208 0.10 68 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 71 34 83 68 61 83 212 0.10 69 Robert Morris Northeast 12 5 75 110 37 61 115 38 214 0.10 70 Fresno State MPSF 7 7 70 64 56 67 93 55 215 0.10 71 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 11 6 84 96 47 64 105 47 216 0.10 72 Arizona State Pacific 12 6 12 69 46 90 80 51 88 219 0.10 73 Virginia Commonw Atlantic 10 7 11 76 61 81 71 63 85 219 0.10 74 New Hampshire America East 10 7 65 81 50 73 100 52 225 0.10 75 Oregon Pacific 12 3 15 73 33 110 81 39 108 228 0.10 76 Delaware Colonial 7 10 43 40 72 72 83 74 229 0.10 77 Duquesne Atlantic 10 9 8 60 77 59 63 106 60 229 0.10 78 UMBC America East 6 12 74 50 80 79 66 86 231 0.10 79 Davidson Atlantic 10 8 9 59 74 67 69 94 69 232 0.10 80 Vermont America East 8 7 66 87 51 78 103 53 234 0.10 81 AAC Patriot League 7 10 85 85 71 85 79 71 235 0.10 82 Drexel Colonial 6 10 54 45 73 76 91 75 242 0.10 83 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 8 10 95 97 77 83 81 78 242 0.10 84 George Washingto Atlantic 10 5 12 79 68 98 84 64 98 246 0.10 85 Holy Cross Patriot League 4 12 90 71 94 92 62 94 248 0.10 86 Canisius Metro Atlantic 3 15 94 62 106 93 55 106 254 0.10 87 Old Dominion Big East 4 13 99 55 102 87 67 102 256 0.10 88 Bucknell Patriot League 3 13 93 47 100 88 69 100 257 0.10 89 Mercer Southern 10 9 83 101 66 82 110 65 257 0.10 90 Detroit Mercy Southern 8 10 101 111 74 91 96 73 260 0.10 91 La Salle Atlantic 10 5 11 80 70 91 89 80 91 260 0.10 92 Winthrop Big South 8 11 96 92 86 86 90 87 263 0.10 93 Central Michigan Southern 7 11 87 109 87 94 92 82 268 0.10 94 Longwood Big South 8 9 98 103 69 90 108 70 268 0.10 95 Niagara Metro Atlantic 5 12 81 86 99 97 76 95 268 0.10 96 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 5 11 92 91 92 96 86 92 274 0.10 97 Sacred Heart Northeast 2 14 106 89 111 100 65 112 277 0.10 98 Lafayette Patriot League 5 12 77 72 93 99 89 93 281 0.10 99 East Carolina AAC 5 12 100 73 88 95 99 89 283 0.10 100 LIU Brooklyn Northeast 6 11 102 106 89 98 101 90 289 0.10 101 Saint Francis Northeast 5 10 107 112 85 101 107 84 292 0.10 102 Kent State Atlantic Sun 2 15 111 102 112 109 73 111 293 0.10 103 Gardner-Webb Big South 6 10 105 114 76 106 111 77 294 0.10 104 Iona Metro Atlantic 1 16 103 83 115 108 72 114 294 0.10 105 Butler Big East 3 14 108 76 103 105 85 105 295 0.10 106 Binghamton America East 2 15 91 52 107 107 84 109 300 0.10 107 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 13 104 107 104 104 95 103 302 0.10 108 Radford Big South 3 11 97 94 95 102 109 96 307 0.10 109 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 1 16 110 82 116 110 87 116 313 0.10 110 Massachusetts-Lo America East 5 12 89 78 96 103 113 99 315 0.10 111 Presbyterian Big South 1 16 114 98 114 112 88 115 315 0.10 112 Central Connecti Northeast 2 14 109 105 109 111 102 110 323 0.10 113 Delaware State Southern 1 11 116 116 97 116 116 97 329 0.10 114 Hartford America East 1 16 112 93 113 114 104 113 331 0.10 115 Wofford Southern 4 13 113 115 105 113 114 104 331 0.10 116 Howard Atlantic Sun 0 13 115 113 108 115 112 107 334 0.10