Conf = Colonial                   Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Tribe            H   Coach  = llary Fratzke           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.3213806    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H George Mason           Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 84.1)    10- 6   
 220 A Old Dominion           Big East      ( 4-13, 77.1)    17-10   
 226 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 6, 94.8)     8-16   
 301 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.5)     3-19   
 306 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (17- 3, 88.3)     9-12   
 309 A Longwood               Big South     ( 8- 9, 77.3)    13- 5   
 314 A Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 83.6)     9- 8   
 317 A Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 80.9)    17-13   
 324 A Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (12- 6, 84.5)    11-12  o
 405 A Hofstra                Colonial      (12- 7, 89.4)    11-14   
 407 H Drexel                 Colonial      ( 6-10, 84.3)    13-15   
 412 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 7-10, 85.8)    12-11  o
 414 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 7-10, 89.3)    12-22   
 421 A James Madison          Colonial      (16- 3, 92.4)     9-16   
 426 H Elon                   Colonial      ( 6-12, 84.9)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H George Mason           10- 6       4     1    +      2.66
   220 A Old Dominion           17-10       7     6           0.96
   226 H Virginia                8-16      -8    -9           1.32
   301 A Duke                    3-19     -16    -9          -0.62
   306 H Richmond                9-12      -3    -2          -0.15
   309 A Longwood               13- 5       8     5    +      2.16
   314 A Davidson                9- 8       1     0           1.44
   317 A Virginia Commonwealth  17-13       4     2           1.71
   324 A Coastal Carolina       11-12  o   -1    -1           0.29
   405 A Hofstra                11-14      -3    -6    +      3.28
   407 H Drexel                 13-15      -2     1    -     -3.21
   412 H Delaware               12-11  o    1     0           1.36
   414 A Towson                 12-22     -10    -6    -     -3.90
   421 A James Madison           9-16      -7    -9    +      2.27
   426 H Elon                    9-12      -3     0    -     -3.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Drexel                 13-15      -2     1    -     -3.21
   414 A Towson                 12-22     -10    -6    -     -3.90
   426 H Elon                    9-12      -3     0    -     -3.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H George Mason           10- 6       4     1    +      2.66
   309 A Longwood               13- 5       8     5    +      2.16
   405 A Hofstra                11-14      -3    -6    +      3.28
   421 A James Madison           9-16      -7    -9    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.32 Local Power Rank...........    52
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.95 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    58
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   113
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    64
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/