Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Mid-Atlantic           
   Nickname = D Mustangs         K   Coach  = thy Railey              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3369141    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Salisbury              Capital       (14- 3, 86.9)     6-14   
 223 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (15- 0, 89.4)     3-17   
 302 H Randolph Macon         Old Dominion  (11- 7, 79.0)    14-12   
 312 H Montclair St           NJAC          (10- 7, 81.7)    13-10   
 317 H Geneseo St             SUNYAC        (12- 4, 82.2)    15-12   
 320 A Mary Washington        Capital       (14- 3, 86.3)     6- 8   
 323 H Misericordia           Freedom       (12- 5, 79.6)    12-11   
 327 H Elizabethtown          Landmark      ( 6-10, 73.6)    21- 7   
 403 H Alvernia               Commonwealth  ( 4-12, 70.3)    15- 5   
 406 H Lycoming               Commonwealth  ( 5-11, 71.1)    19- 7   
 410 H Hood                   Commonwealth  ( 8- 8, 72.9)    14- 5   
 411 H Washington MD          Centennial    (12- 5, 82.1)    16-14   
 417 H Albright               Commonwealth  (11- 6, 78.4)    14- 7   
 420 H Arcadia                Commonwealth  ( 1-14, 70.6)    22- 4   
 424 H Messiah                Commonwealth  ( 5-11, 79.2)    14- 3   
 501 H Widener                Commonwealth  ( 8- 8, 78.1)    10- 5   
 504 A Lebanon Val            Commonwealth  (11- 5, 80.2)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Salisbury               6-14      -8    -8           0.59
   223 A Gettysburg              3-17     -14   -11           0.00
   302 H Randolph Macon         14-12       2     5    -     -3.33
   312 H Montclair St           13-10       3     2           0.39
   317 H Geneseo St             15-12       3     2           0.83
   320 A Mary Washington         6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.95
   323 H Misericordia           12-11       1     4    -     -3.69
   327 H Elizabethtown          21- 7      14    10           0.00
   403 H Alvernia               15- 5      10    14           0.00
   406 H Lycoming               19- 7      12    13           0.00
   410 H Hood                   14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   411 H Washington MD          16-14       2     2          -0.21
   417 H Albright               14- 7       7     5           1.07
   420 H Arcadia                22- 4      18    13           0.00
   424 H Messiah                14- 3      11     5    ++     4.90
   501 H Widener                10- 5       5     6          -1.23
   504 A Lebanon Val             5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Randolph Macon         14-12       2     5    -     -3.33
   323 H Misericordia           12-11       1     4    -     -3.69
   504 A Lebanon Val             5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Mary Washington         6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.95
   424 H Messiah                14- 3      11     5    ++     4.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.34 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.86 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   250
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   11.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/