Conf = AAC Region = Mid-Atlantic Nickname = N Commodores B Coach = th HewittGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.9643707 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Wagner Northeast (15- 3, 84.1) 16- 7 216 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 8-10, 77.7) 20-11 224 A Furman Southern (11- 8, 79.9) 18- 5 227 A Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2) 9- 8 o 305 A Arizona State Pacific 12 ( 6-12, 82.2) 15-14 308 A San Diego State MPSF (11- 7, 84.8) 14-15 2o 313 H New Hampshire America East (10- 7, 82.7) 19- 7 316 H Winthrop Big South ( 8-11, 77.6) 17- 3 320 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (13- 4, 95.5) 6-18 324 H Butler Big East ( 3-14, 73.1) 19- 2 331 A East Carolina AAC ( 5-12, 76.8) 14-10 406 A Florida AAC (13- 6, 94.4) 9-18 414 H Connecticut AAC ( 3-14, 82.2) 22-15 420 A Cincinnati AAC (12- 7, 83.9) 15-18 427 H Temple AAC ( 6-11, 84.7) 6-11 502 N Florida AAC (13- 6, 94.4) 10-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Wagner 16- 7 9 3 ++ 5.02 216 H Kennesaw State 20-11 9 10 -1.00 224 A Furman 18- 5 13 5 ++ 4.11 227 A Louisville 9- 8 o 1 -2 + 3.36 305 A Arizona State 15-14 1 3 - -2.62 308 A San Diego State 14-15 2o -1 0 -1.97 313 H New Hampshire 19- 7 12 5 ++ 4.58 316 H Winthrop 17- 3 14 10 0.00 320 A Notre Dame 6-18 -12 -9 -0.32 324 H Butler 19- 2 17 15 0.00 331 A East Carolina 14-10 4 9 -- -5.00 406 A Florida 9-18 -9 -8 -0.42 414 H Connecticut 22-15 7 5 1.12 420 A Cincinnati 15-18 -3 1 -- -4.90 427 H Temple 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.47 502 N Florida 10-19 -9 -7 -1.57UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 H Temple 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.47 331 A East Carolina 14-10 4 9 -- -5.00 420 A Cincinnati 15-18 -3 1 -- -4.90 305 A Arizona State 15-14 1 3 - -2.62OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Wagner 16- 7 9 3 ++ 5.02 224 A Furman 18- 5 13 5 ++ 4.11 313 H New Hampshire 19- 7 12 5 ++ 4.58 227 A Louisville 9- 8 o 1 -2 + 3.36/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.96 Local Power Rank........... 38 Local SOS Rating......... 65.15 Local SOS Rank............. 56 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 41 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 107 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 36 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7