Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South                  
   Nickname = C Tar Heels        J   Coach  = nny Levy                

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.9667206    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 H James Madison          Colonial      (16- 3, 92.4)    18- 7   
 215 H High Point             Big South     (15- 4, 90.7)    13- 9   
 217 H East Carolina          AAC           ( 5-12, 76.8)    21- 3   
 224 A Maryland               Big Ten       (18- 1, 99.9)    12-13  o
 302 H Northwestern           Big Ten       (14- 4, 96.8)    21-11   
 309 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 6, 94.8)    13-12   
 312 A Elon                   Colonial      ( 6-12, 84.9)    20- 2   
 316 A Florida                AAC           (13- 6, 94.4)    11- 9   
 319 H Campbell               Big South     ( 6-11, 79.3)    16- 5   
 323 H Boston College         Atlantic Coas (19- 1, 98.8)     8-14   
 327 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 8-10, 90.8)    19- 5   
 331 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (13- 4, 95.5)     7- 9   
 406 A Louisville             Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2)    17- 6   
 413 H Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 95.3)    11- 5   
 420 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.5)    19- 5   
 424 N Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 8-10, 90.8)    19- 9   
 427 N Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.5)    16-11   
 428 A Boston College         Atlantic Coas (19- 1, 98.8)    15-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H James Madison          18- 7      11     7    +      2.31
   215 H High Point             13- 9       4     9    --    -5.40
   217 H East Carolina          21- 3      18    23           0.00
   224 A Maryland               12-13  o   -1    -2           1.09
   302 H Northwestern           21-11      10     3    +++    6.64
   309 H Virginia               13-12       1     5    --    -4.33
   312 A Elon                   20- 2      18    12           0.00
   316 A Florida                11- 9       2     3          -1.42
   319 H Campbell               16- 5      11    20           0.00
   323 H Boston College          8-14      -6     1    ---   -7.33
   327 A Virginia Tech          19- 5      14     6    +      3.03
   331 A Notre Dame              7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.33
   406 A Louisville             17- 6      11     9           0.36
   413 H Syracuse               11- 5       6     4           1.21
   420 A Duke                   19- 5      14     5    ++     4.73
   424 N Virginia Tech          19- 9      10     8           1.88
   427 N Duke                   16-11       5     6          -1.43
   428 A Boston College         15-13       2     0    +      2.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Boston College          8-14      -6     1    ---   -7.33
   215 H High Point             13- 9       4     9    --    -5.40
   309 H Virginia               13-12       1     5    --    -4.33
   331 A Notre Dame              7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Northwestern           21-11      10     3    +++    6.64
   420 A Duke                   19- 5      14     5    ++     4.73
   209 H James Madison          18- 7      11     7    +      2.31
   327 A Virginia Tech          19- 5      14     6    +      3.03
   428 A Boston College         15-13       2     0    +      2.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.97 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.53 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   25.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/