Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South Nickname = C Tar Heels J Coach = nny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.9667206 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 H James Madison Colonial (16- 3, 92.4) 18- 7 215 H High Point Big South (15- 4, 90.7) 13- 9 217 H East Carolina AAC ( 5-12, 76.8) 21- 3 224 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 1, 99.9) 12-13 o 302 H Northwestern Big Ten (14- 4, 96.8) 21-11 309 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (12- 6, 94.8) 13-12 312 A Elon Colonial ( 6-12, 84.9) 20- 2 316 A Florida AAC (13- 6, 94.4) 11- 9 319 H Campbell Big South ( 6-11, 79.3) 16- 5 323 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (19- 1, 98.8) 8-14 327 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 8-10, 90.8) 19- 5 331 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (13- 4, 95.5) 7- 9 406 A Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2) 17- 6 413 H Syracuse Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 95.3) 11- 5 420 A Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.5) 19- 5 424 N Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 8-10, 90.8) 19- 9 427 N Duke Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 92.5) 16-11 428 A Boston College Atlantic Coas (19- 1, 98.8) 15-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H James Madison 18- 7 11 7 + 2.31 215 H High Point 13- 9 4 9 -- -5.40 217 H East Carolina 21- 3 18 23 0.00 224 A Maryland 12-13 o -1 -2 1.09 302 H Northwestern 21-11 10 3 +++ 6.64 309 H Virginia 13-12 1 5 -- -4.33 312 A Elon 20- 2 18 12 0.00 316 A Florida 11- 9 2 3 -1.42 319 H Campbell 16- 5 11 20 0.00 323 H Boston College 8-14 -6 1 --- -7.33 327 A Virginia Tech 19- 5 14 6 + 3.03 331 A Notre Dame 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.33 406 A Louisville 17- 6 11 9 0.36 413 H Syracuse 11- 5 6 4 1.21 420 A Duke 19- 5 14 5 ++ 4.73 424 N Virginia Tech 19- 9 10 8 1.88 427 N Duke 16-11 5 6 -1.43 428 A Boston College 15-13 2 0 + 2.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Boston College 8-14 -6 1 --- -7.33 215 H High Point 13- 9 4 9 -- -5.40 309 H Virginia 13-12 1 5 -- -4.33 331 A Notre Dame 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.33OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Northwestern 21-11 10 3 +++ 6.64 420 A Duke 19- 5 14 5 ++ 4.73 209 H James Madison 18- 7 11 7 + 2.31 327 A Virginia Tech 19- 5 14 6 + 3.03 428 A Boston College 15-13 2 0 + 2.99/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.97 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 81.53 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.70 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 25.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7