Conf = MIAA                       Region = West                   
   Nickname = N Thunder          M   Coach  = deline Dugan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.3490906    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 A Concordia-Ann Arbor    WHAC          ( 0- 0,     )     8-11   
 305 N Siena Heights          WHAC          ( 0- 0,     )    13-12  o
 302 H Earlham                Heartland     (10- 6, 63.3)    16-12   
 312 H Anderson IN            Heartland     ( 2- 8, 55.8)    14- 8   
 316 A Heidelberg             Ohio          ( 8- 9, 64.9)     6-17   
 320 A Hanover                Heartland     ( 8- 7, 65.5)     5-10   
 323 H Elmhurst               CCIW          ( 1-11, 53.8)    16- 1   
 327 A Ohio Northern          Ohio          ( 7- 9, 67.3)     9-15   
 330 A Albion                 MIAA          (12- 4, 70.7)     5-18   
 406 A St Mary's IN           MIAA          (11- 6, 73.0)     7-16   
 410 A Adrian                 MIAA          ( 8- 7, 65.9)     6-16   
 413 H Alma                   MIAA          ( 4-10, 57.8)    17-16   
 416 H Olivet MI              MIAA          ( 0-11, 48.5)    22- 3   
 420 A Kalamazoo              MIAA          ( 6-10, 66.7)     7-14   
 424 A Calvin                 MIAA          (11- 6, 73.5)     1-20   
 427 A Hope                   MIAA          (11- 4, 71.2)     3-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Concordia-Ann Arbor     8-11      -3    59          n/a  
   305 N Siena Heights          13-12  o    1    61          n/a  
   302 H Earlham                16-12       4     1    +      2.96
   312 H Anderson IN            14- 8       6     8    -     -2.55
   316 A Heidelberg              6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.44
   320 A Hanover                 5-10      -5    -7    +      2.16
   323 H Elmhurst               16- 1      15    10           0.00
   327 A Ohio Northern           9-15      -6    -8    +      2.99
   330 A Albion                  5-18     -13   -12           0.00
   406 A St Mary's IN            7-16      -9   -14           1.00
   410 A Adrian                  6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.47
   413 H Alma                   17-16       1     6    --    -5.54
   416 H Olivet MI              22- 3      19    15           0.00
   420 A Kalamazoo               7-14      -7    -8           1.31
   424 A Calvin                  1-20     -19   -15           0.00
   427 A Hope                    3-19     -16   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Concordia-Ann Arbor     8-11   
   305 N Siena Heights          13-12  o
   226 A Concordia-Ann Arbor     8-11   
   305 N Siena Heights          13-12  o
   413 H Alma                   17-16       1     6    --    -5.54
   226 A Concordia-Ann Arbor     8-11   
   305 N Siena Heights          13-12  o
   312 H Anderson IN            14- 8       6     8    -     -2.55
   316 A Heidelberg              6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.44
   410 A Adrian                  6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Concordia-Ann Arbor     8-11   
   305 N Siena Heights          13-12  o
   226 A Concordia-Ann Arbor     8-11   
   305 N Siena Heights          13-12  o
   226 A Concordia-Ann Arbor     8-11   
   305 N Siena Heights          13-12  o
   302 H Earlham                16-12       4     1    +      2.96
   320 A Hanover                 5-10      -5    -7    +      2.16
   327 A Ohio Northern           9-15      -6    -8    +      2.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.35 Local Power Rank...........   231
 Local SOS Rating......... 33.73 Local SOS Rank.............   236
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............   214
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   260
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   217
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -14.0
/