Conf = MPSF Region = Central/West Nickname = A Aztecs K Coach = lee WhiteGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.8371506 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 215 N Oregon Pacific 12 ( 3-15, 81.6) 13- 8 217 N California Pacific 12 ( 7-12, 84.3) 13- 9 222 H Southern California Pacific 12 (16- 3, 93.8) 16-20 224 N Columbia Ivy League ( 4-11, 81.8) 16- 7 305 H Central Michigan Southern ( 7-11, 79.2) 16-10 308 H Vanderbilt AAC (10- 6, 87.0) 15-14 2o 310 H Lehigh Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, 82.8) 13- 6 313 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 78.2) 20- 8 316 H LIU Brooklyn Northeast ( 6-11, 75.8) 18-15 322 A Cincinnati AAC (12- 7, 83.9) 11-17 324 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 86.1) 10-16 330 A James Madison Colonial (16- 3, 92.4) 8-19 404 A Stanford Pacific 12 (13- 5, 91.0) 9-18 413 A UC Davis MPSF ( 9- 8, 82.8) 12-16 417 A Arizona State Pacific 12 ( 6-12, 82.2) 11-13 420 H Fresno State MPSF ( 7- 7, 82.1) 16-15 426 N Fresno State MPSF ( 7- 7, 82.1) 18-15 428 A UC Davis MPSF ( 9- 8, 82.8) 15- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 N Oregon 13- 8 5 3 1.74 217 N California 13- 9 4 0 + 3.43 222 H Southern California 16-20 -4 -7 + 3.80 224 N Columbia 16- 7 9 3 ++ 5.98 305 H Central Michigan 16-10 6 6 -0.75 308 H Vanderbilt 15-14 2o 1 0 1.97 310 H Lehigh 13- 6 7 3 + 3.77 313 H Bucknell 20- 8 12 7 + 2.24 316 H LIU Brooklyn 18-15 3 10 --- -7.00 322 A Cincinnati 11-17 -6 0 -- -5.78 324 A Ohio State 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.54 330 A James Madison 8-19 -11 -8 -1.25 404 A Stanford 9-18 -9 -7 -1.73 413 A UC Davis 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.85 417 A Arizona State 11-13 -2 1 - -3.49 420 H Fresno State 16-15 1 3 - -2.85 426 N Fresno State 18-15 3 2 0.31 428 A UC Davis 15- 7 8 0 +++ 7.15UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H LIU Brooklyn 18-15 3 10 --- -7.00 322 A Cincinnati 11-17 -6 0 -- -5.78 413 A UC Davis 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.85 324 A Ohio State 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.54 417 A Arizona State 11-13 -2 1 - -3.49 420 H Fresno State 16-15 1 3 - -2.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A UC Davis 15- 7 8 0 +++ 7.15 224 N Columbia 16- 7 9 3 ++ 5.98 217 N California 13- 9 4 0 + 3.43 222 H Southern California 16-20 -4 -7 + 3.80 310 H Lehigh 13- 6 7 3 + 3.77 313 H Bucknell 20- 8 12 7 + 2.24/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.84 Local Power Rank........... 47 Local SOS Rating......... 64.82 Local SOS Rank............. 58 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 43 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 98 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 48 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0