Conf = SAA                        Region = Mid-South              
   Nickname = A Stormy Petrels   S   Coach  = awna Block              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.4489136    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 213 A Truett-McConnell       Appalachian   ( 0- 0,     )    14- 3   
 222 H Montreat               Appalachian   ( 0- 0,     )    21- 1   
 320 H Brenau                 Appalachian   ( 0- 0,     )    23- 2   
 327 H Point                  Appalachian   ( 0- 0,     )    12-14   
 209 H S Wesleyan             Carolinas     ( 5-11, 62.2)     9- 6   
 216 A Sewanee                SAA           ( 9- 7, 76.5)     0-19   
 224 H Dallas Univ            Independent   ( 2- 8, 59.3)    20-12   
 226 A Piedmont               USA South Atl ( 9- 7, 66.3)     8-16   
 302 A Hendrix                SAA           ( 7- 6, 65.9)    12-13   
 311 A Palm Beach Atl         Sunshine      ( 5- 9, 70.5)     1-18   
 330 A Birmingham So          SAA           ( 6- 9, 68.9)     3-13   
 406 A Rhodes                 SAA           (11- 3, 78.7)     3-26   
 409 H Berry                  SAA           ( 1-14, 60.7)    12-11   
 419 A Centre                 SAA           (13- 3, 74.2)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Truett-McConnell       14- 3      11    61          n/a  
   222 H Montreat               21- 1      20    64          n/a  
   320 H Brenau                 23- 2      21    64          n/a  
   327 H Point                  12-14      -2    64          n/a  
   209 H S Wesleyan              9- 6       3     4          n/a  
   216 A Sewanee                 0-19     -19   -16           0.00
   224 H Dallas Univ            20-12       8     7           0.89
   226 A Piedmont                8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.16
   302 A Hendrix                12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.44
   311 A Palm Beach Atl          1-18     -17   -10          n/a  
   330 A Birmingham So           3-13     -10    -8          -1.51
   406 A Rhodes                  3-26     -23   -18           0.00
   409 H Berry                  12-11       1     5    --    -4.74
   419 A Centre                  8-11      -3   -13    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Truett-McConnell       14- 3   
   222 H Montreat               21- 1   
   320 H Brenau                 23- 2   
   327 H Point                  12-14   
   209 H S Wesleyan              9- 6   
   311 A Palm Beach Atl          1-18   
   213 A Truett-McConnell       14- 3   
   222 H Montreat               21- 1   
   320 H Brenau                 23- 2   
   327 H Point                  12-14   
   209 H S Wesleyan              9- 6   
   311 A Palm Beach Atl          1-18   
   409 H Berry                  12-11       1     5    --    -4.74
   213 A Truett-McConnell       14- 3   
   222 H Montreat               21- 1   
   320 H Brenau                 23- 2   
   327 H Point                  12-14   
   209 H S Wesleyan              9- 6   
   226 A Piedmont                8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.16
   311 A Palm Beach Atl          1-18   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Truett-McConnell       14- 3   
   222 H Montreat               21- 1   
   320 H Brenau                 23- 2   
   327 H Point                  12-14   
   209 H S Wesleyan              9- 6   
   311 A Palm Beach Atl          1-18   
   419 A Centre                  8-11      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   213 A Truett-McConnell       14- 3   
   222 H Montreat               21- 1   
   320 H Brenau                 23- 2   
   327 H Point                  12-14   
   209 H S Wesleyan              9- 6   
   302 A Hendrix                12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.44
   311 A Palm Beach Atl          1-18   
   213 A Truett-McConnell       14- 3   
   222 H Montreat               21- 1   
   320 H Brenau                 23- 2   
   327 H Point                  12-14   
   209 H S Wesleyan              9- 6   
   311 A Palm Beach Atl          1-18   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.45 Local Power Rank...........   220
 Local SOS Rating......... 39.21 Local SOS Rank.............   173
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   208
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   193
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   163
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/