Conf = Southern                   Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Bears            S   Coach  = mantha Eustace          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.8355713    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Oregon                 Pacific 12    ( 3-15, 81.6)     6-13   
 217 H UC Davis               MPSF          ( 9- 8, 82.8)    13-16   
 223 A Louisville             Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2)     2-20   
 303 H Campbell               Big South     ( 6-11, 79.3)    10-13   
 307 H Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 83.6)     7-10   
 310 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 1-16, 70.8)    19- 6   
 312 H Colgate                Patriot Leagu ( 8-10, 82.6)    16-10   
 319 H Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 8-10, 77.7)    20- 9   
 323 A Winthrop               Big South     ( 8-11, 77.6)    12-14   
 329 H Detroit Mercy          Southern      ( 8-10, 76.4)    21-11   
 331 H Central Michigan       Southern      ( 7-11, 79.2)    19-12   
 405 A Wofford                Southern      ( 4-13, 68.0)    20- 6   
 407 A Furman                 Southern      (11- 8, 79.9)    11-13   
 412 A Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (12- 6, 84.5)     5-17   
 418 H Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 4-13, 74.8)    20-13   
 420 H Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (16- 3, 89.5)     6-21   
 427 H Delaware State         Southern      ( 1-11, 57.9)    23- 2   
 502 N Central Michigan       Southern      ( 7-11, 79.2)    13- 9   
 504 N Furman                 Southern      (11- 8, 79.9)    15-14  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Oregon                  6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.10
   217 H UC Davis               13-16      -3    -1          -1.16
   223 A Louisville              2-20     -18    -9          -0.51
   303 H Campbell               10-13      -3     1    --    -4.68
   307 H Davidson                7-10      -3    -2          -0.39
   310 H St. Bonaventure        19- 6      13    10           0.00
   312 H Colgate                16-10       6    -1    +++    7.64
   319 H Kennesaw State         20- 9      11     3    +++    6.73
   323 A Winthrop               12-14      -2     1    -     -3.06
   329 H Detroit Mercy          21-11      10     4    ++     5.37
   331 H Central Michigan       19-12       7     1    ++     5.26
   405 A Wofford                20- 6      14    10           0.00
   407 A Furman                 11-13      -2    -1          -0.76
   412 A Coastal Carolina        5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.22
   418 H Stetson                20-13       7     6           0.85
   420 H Jacksonville            6-21     -15    -8          -1.51
   427 H Delaware State         23- 2      21    23           0.00
   502 N Central Michigan       13- 9       4     0    +      3.41
   504 N Furman                 15-14  o    1     0           1.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Oregon                  6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.10
   303 H Campbell               10-13      -3     1    --    -4.68
   412 A Coastal Carolina        5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.22
   323 A Winthrop               12-14      -2     1    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Colgate                16-10       6    -1    +++    7.64
   319 H Kennesaw State         20- 9      11     3    +++    6.73
   329 H Detroit Mercy          21-11      10     4    ++     5.37
   331 H Central Michigan       19-12       7     1    ++     5.26
   502 N Central Michigan       13- 9       4     0    +      3.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.84 Local Power Rank...........    83
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.60 Local SOS Rank.............   101
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    78
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    66
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.7
/