Conf = Southern Region = South Nickname = A Bears S Coach = mantha EustaceGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.8355713 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Oregon Pacific 12 ( 3-15, 81.6) 6-13 217 H UC Davis MPSF ( 9- 8, 82.8) 13-16 223 A Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2) 2-20 303 H Campbell Big South ( 6-11, 79.3) 10-13 307 H Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 83.6) 7-10 310 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 1-16, 70.8) 19- 6 312 H Colgate Patriot Leagu ( 8-10, 82.6) 16-10 319 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 8-10, 77.7) 20- 9 323 A Winthrop Big South ( 8-11, 77.6) 12-14 329 H Detroit Mercy Southern ( 8-10, 76.4) 21-11 331 H Central Michigan Southern ( 7-11, 79.2) 19-12 405 A Wofford Southern ( 4-13, 68.0) 20- 6 407 A Furman Southern (11- 8, 79.9) 11-13 412 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (12- 6, 84.5) 5-17 418 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-13, 74.8) 20-13 420 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (16- 3, 89.5) 6-21 427 H Delaware State Southern ( 1-11, 57.9) 23- 2 502 N Central Michigan Southern ( 7-11, 79.2) 13- 9 504 N Furman Southern (11- 8, 79.9) 15-14 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Oregon 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.10 217 H UC Davis 13-16 -3 -1 -1.16 223 A Louisville 2-20 -18 -9 -0.51 303 H Campbell 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.68 307 H Davidson 7-10 -3 -2 -0.39 310 H St. Bonaventure 19- 6 13 10 0.00 312 H Colgate 16-10 6 -1 +++ 7.64 319 H Kennesaw State 20- 9 11 3 +++ 6.73 323 A Winthrop 12-14 -2 1 - -3.06 329 H Detroit Mercy 21-11 10 4 ++ 5.37 331 H Central Michigan 19-12 7 1 ++ 5.26 405 A Wofford 20- 6 14 10 0.00 407 A Furman 11-13 -2 -1 -0.76 412 A Coastal Carolina 5-17 -12 -5 -- -4.22 418 H Stetson 20-13 7 6 0.85 420 H Jacksonville 6-21 -15 -8 -1.51 427 H Delaware State 23- 2 21 23 0.00 502 N Central Michigan 13- 9 4 0 + 3.41 504 N Furman 15-14 o 1 0 1.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Oregon 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.10 303 H Campbell 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.68 412 A Coastal Carolina 5-17 -12 -5 -- -4.22 323 A Winthrop 12-14 -2 1 - -3.06OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Colgate 16-10 6 -1 +++ 7.64 319 H Kennesaw State 20- 9 11 3 +++ 6.73 329 H Detroit Mercy 21-11 10 4 ++ 5.37 331 H Central Michigan 19-12 7 1 ++ 5.26 502 N Central Michigan 13- 9 4 0 + 3.41/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.84 Local Power Rank........... 83 Local SOS Rating......... 55.60 Local SOS Rank............. 101 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 82 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 78 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 66 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.7