Conf = Big South                  Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Lancers          E   Coach  = aine Jones              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.3239288    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 83.4)     9-22   
 216 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 5-12, 80.1)    14-12   
 223 H George Mason           Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 84.1)     9-16   
 227 A Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 80.9)    13-18   
 303 A Wofford                Southern      ( 4-13, 68.0)    15- 7   
 309 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 6- 9, 84.3)     5-13   
 313 A Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 5-10, 73.1)     9-10   
 317 A Old Dominion           Big East      ( 4-13, 77.1)     9-11   
 320 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     (16- 3, 85.2)     6-17   
 323 H East Carolina          AAC           ( 5-12, 76.8)    15- 8   
 330 A High Point             Big South     (15- 4, 90.7)     3-22   
 406 N Radford                Big South     ( 3-11, 77.6)    16-15   
 410 A Gardner-Webb           Big South     ( 6-10, 73.6)    13-12   
 413 H Winthrop               Big South     ( 8-11, 77.6)    14- 4   
 417 H Campbell               Big South     ( 6-11, 79.3)    13-10   
 420 A Presbyterian           Big South     ( 1-16, 65.5)    22- 9   
 426 N Winthrop               Big South     ( 8-11, 77.6)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Duquesne                9-22     -13    -7    -     -2.80
   216 H George Washington      14-12       2    -1    +      3.61
   223 H George Mason            9-16      -7    -5          -1.34
   227 A Virginia Commonwealth  13-18      -5    -4          -0.30
   303 A Wofford                15- 7       8     8          -0.16
   309 H William & Mary          5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.16
   313 A Saint Francis           9-10      -1     3    --    -4.06
   317 A Old Dominion            9-11      -2     0          -1.04
   320 A Mount St. Mary's        6-17     -11    -9          -0.93
   323 H East Carolina          15- 8       7     1    ++     5.32
   330 A High Point              3-22     -19   -14           0.00
   406 N Radford                16-15       1     0           1.28
   410 A Gardner-Webb           13-12       1     2          -1.56
   413 H Winthrop               14- 4      10     0    +++    9.13
   417 H Campbell               13-10       3     0    +      3.83
   420 A Presbyterian           22- 9      13    10           0.00
   426 N Winthrop                9-12      -3     0    -     -2.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Saint Francis           9-10      -1     3    --    -4.06
   210 A Duquesne                9-22     -13    -7    -     -2.80
   309 H William & Mary          5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.16
   426 N Winthrop                9-12      -3     0    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Winthrop               14- 4      10     0    +++    9.13
   323 H East Carolina          15- 8       7     1    ++     5.32
   216 H George Washington      14-12       2    -1    +      3.61
   417 H Campbell               13-10       3     0    +      3.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.32 Local Power Rank...........    98
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.27 Local SOS Rank.............   103
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    90
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    71
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    69
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/