Conf = Big South Region = South Nickname = A Lancers E Coach = aine JonesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.3239288 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 83.4) 9-22 216 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5-12, 80.1) 14-12 223 H George Mason Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 84.1) 9-16 227 A Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 7-11, 80.9) 13-18 303 A Wofford Southern ( 4-13, 68.0) 15- 7 309 H William & Mary Colonial ( 6- 9, 84.3) 5-13 313 A Saint Francis Northeast ( 5-10, 73.1) 9-10 317 A Old Dominion Big East ( 4-13, 77.1) 9-11 320 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast (16- 3, 85.2) 6-17 323 H East Carolina AAC ( 5-12, 76.8) 15- 8 330 A High Point Big South (15- 4, 90.7) 3-22 406 N Radford Big South ( 3-11, 77.6) 16-15 410 A Gardner-Webb Big South ( 6-10, 73.6) 13-12 413 H Winthrop Big South ( 8-11, 77.6) 14- 4 417 H Campbell Big South ( 6-11, 79.3) 13-10 420 A Presbyterian Big South ( 1-16, 65.5) 22- 9 426 N Winthrop Big South ( 8-11, 77.6) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Duquesne 9-22 -13 -7 - -2.80 216 H George Washington 14-12 2 -1 + 3.61 223 H George Mason 9-16 -7 -5 -1.34 227 A Virginia Commonwealth 13-18 -5 -4 -0.30 303 A Wofford 15- 7 8 8 -0.16 309 H William & Mary 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.16 313 A Saint Francis 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.06 317 A Old Dominion 9-11 -2 0 -1.04 320 A Mount St. Mary's 6-17 -11 -9 -0.93 323 H East Carolina 15- 8 7 1 ++ 5.32 330 A High Point 3-22 -19 -14 0.00 406 N Radford 16-15 1 0 1.28 410 A Gardner-Webb 13-12 1 2 -1.56 413 H Winthrop 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.13 417 H Campbell 13-10 3 0 + 3.83 420 A Presbyterian 22- 9 13 10 0.00 426 N Winthrop 9-12 -3 0 - -2.71UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Saint Francis 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.06 210 A Duquesne 9-22 -13 -7 - -2.80 309 H William & Mary 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.16 426 N Winthrop 9-12 -3 0 - -2.71OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 H Winthrop 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.13 323 H East Carolina 15- 8 7 1 ++ 5.32 216 H George Washington 14-12 2 -1 + 3.61 417 H Campbell 13-10 3 0 + 3.83/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.32 Local Power Rank........... 98 Local SOS Rating......... 55.27 Local SOS Rank............. 103 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 90 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 71 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 69 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3