Conf = Patriot League Region = Mid-Atlantic Nickname = A Mountain Hawks J Coach = ll RedfernGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.7609558 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Liberty Atlantic Sun (14- 5, 86.5) 5-15 216 A Penn State Big Ten ( 8- 9, 91.5) 5-15 223 H Saint Francis Northeast ( 5-10, 73.1) 19- 4 302 H UMBC America East ( 6-12, 81.4) 15- 7 305 H Columbia Ivy League ( 4-11, 81.8) 13-10 310 A San Diego State MPSF (11- 7, 84.8) 6-13 312 N UC Davis MPSF ( 9- 8, 82.8) 14- 5 316 H Boston University Patriot Leagu (11- 7, 87.1) 8-16 323 A Loyola Patriot Leagu (15- 4, 94.5) 6-13 327 H Navy Patriot Leagu (15- 4, 92.0) 6-23 330 H Army Patriot Leagu (14- 5, 84.4) 13-15 406 A Colgate Patriot Leagu ( 8-10, 82.6) 4-16 413 H Holy Cross Patriot Leagu ( 4-12, 79.0) 12- 8 417 A Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 80.8) 16-14 420 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 78.2) 13-10 426 H AAC Patriot Leagu ( 7-10, 79.4) 20- 3 428 A Army Patriot Leagu (14- 5, 84.4) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Liberty 5-15 -10 -2 --- -7.45 216 A Penn State 5-15 -10 -9 -0.10 223 H Saint Francis 19- 4 15 10 0.00 302 H UMBC 15- 7 8 2 ++ 5.48 305 H Columbia 13-10 3 2 0.90 310 A San Diego State 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.77 312 N UC Davis 14- 5 9 0 +++ 9.07 316 H Boston University 8-16 -8 -3 -- -4.86 323 A Loyola 6-13 -7 -12 + 3.00 327 H Navy 6-23 -17 -8 -1.91 330 H Army 13-15 -2 0 -1.56 406 A Colgate 4-16 -12 -1 --- -8.97 413 H Holy Cross 12- 8 4 4 -0.96 417 A Lafayette 16-14 2 0 1.19 420 A Bucknell 13-10 3 3 -0.37 426 H AAC 20- 3 17 4 ++ 5.48 428 A Army 9-12 -3 -2 -0.24UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Liberty 5-15 -10 -2 --- -7.45 406 A Colgate 4-16 -12 -1 --- -8.97 316 H Boston University 8-16 -8 -3 -- -4.86 310 A San Diego State 6-13 -7 -3 - -3.77OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 N UC Davis 14- 5 9 0 +++ 9.07 302 H UMBC 15- 7 8 2 ++ 5.48 426 H AAC 20- 3 17 4 ++ 5.48 323 A Loyola 6-13 -7 -12 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.76 Local Power Rank........... 64 Local SOS Rating......... 64.72 Local SOS Rank............. 59 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 54 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 68 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 62 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7