Conf = Atlantic Sun               Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Flames           K   Coach  = lly Nangle              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4703217    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Lehigh                 Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, 82.8)    15- 5   
 215 A Winthrop               Big South     ( 8-11, 77.6)    10- 5   
 217 H Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (13- 4, 95.5)    10-14   
 223 H Elon                   Colonial      ( 6-12, 84.9)    10- 6   
 227 A Robert Morris          Northeast     (12- 5, 81.0)    10- 7   
 302 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (17- 3, 88.3)     9-10   
 306 H East Carolina          AAC           ( 5-12, 76.8)    18- 6   
 309 A Furman                 Southern      (11- 8, 79.9)    14-10   
 316 A Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 8-10, 77.7)    16-12   
 322 H Old Dominion           Big East      ( 4-13, 77.1)    14- 8   
 324 H Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 4-13, 74.8)    21- 6   
 331 A Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (12- 6, 84.5)    11-10   
 412 H Arizona State          Pacific 12    ( 6-12, 82.2)    14- 7   
 414 A Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (16- 3, 89.5)     6-19   
 417 A High Point             Big South     (15- 4, 90.7)     9-14   
 424 A Kent State             Atlantic Sun  ( 2-15, 70.0)    23- 6   
 426 H Howard                 Atlantic Sun  ( 0-13, 58.3)    22- 0   
 502 A Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (12- 6, 84.5)    18- 8   
 504 N Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (16- 3, 89.5)    18-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Lehigh                 15- 5      10     2    +++    7.45
   215 A Winthrop               10- 5       5     7    -     -2.70
   217 H Notre Dame             10-14      -4    -7    +      3.86
   223 H Elon                   10- 6       4     2           1.30
   227 A Robert Morris          10- 7       3     4          -1.35
   302 H Richmond                9-10      -1     0          -0.30
   306 H East Carolina          18- 6      12    10           0.00
   309 A Furman                 14-10       4     5          -1.39
   316 A Kennesaw State         16-12       4     7    -     -3.59
   322 H Old Dominion           14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   324 H Stetson                21- 6      15    12           0.00
   331 A Coastal Carolina       11-10       1     0           0.14
   412 H Arizona State          14- 7       7     5           1.56
   414 A Jacksonville            6-19     -13    -4    --    -5.83
   417 A High Point              9-14      -5    -5           0.41
   424 A Kent State             23- 6      17    15           0.00
   426 H Howard                 22- 0      22    29           0.00
   502 A Coastal Carolina       18- 8      10     0    +++    9.14
   504 N Jacksonville           18-20      -2    -3           1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Old Dominion           14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   414 A Jacksonville            6-19     -13    -4    --    -5.83
   215 A Winthrop               10- 5       5     7    -     -2.70
   316 A Kennesaw State         16-12       4     7    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Lehigh                 15- 5      10     2    +++    7.45
   502 A Coastal Carolina       18- 8      10     0    +++    9.14
   217 H Notre Dame             10-14      -4    -7    +      3.86
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.47 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.80 Local SOS Rank.............    79
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    69
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.0
/