Conf = Atlantic Sun Region = South Nickname = A Flames K Coach = lly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.4703217 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Lehigh Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, 82.8) 15- 5 215 A Winthrop Big South ( 8-11, 77.6) 10- 5 217 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (13- 4, 95.5) 10-14 223 H Elon Colonial ( 6-12, 84.9) 10- 6 227 A Robert Morris Northeast (12- 5, 81.0) 10- 7 302 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (17- 3, 88.3) 9-10 306 H East Carolina AAC ( 5-12, 76.8) 18- 6 309 A Furman Southern (11- 8, 79.9) 14-10 316 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 8-10, 77.7) 16-12 322 H Old Dominion Big East ( 4-13, 77.1) 14- 8 324 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-13, 74.8) 21- 6 331 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (12- 6, 84.5) 11-10 412 H Arizona State Pacific 12 ( 6-12, 82.2) 14- 7 414 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (16- 3, 89.5) 6-19 417 A High Point Big South (15- 4, 90.7) 9-14 424 A Kent State Atlantic Sun ( 2-15, 70.0) 23- 6 426 H Howard Atlantic Sun ( 0-13, 58.3) 22- 0 502 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (12- 6, 84.5) 18- 8 504 N Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (16- 3, 89.5) 18-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Lehigh 15- 5 10 2 +++ 7.45 215 A Winthrop 10- 5 5 7 - -2.70 217 H Notre Dame 10-14 -4 -7 + 3.86 223 H Elon 10- 6 4 2 1.30 227 A Robert Morris 10- 7 3 4 -1.35 302 H Richmond 9-10 -1 0 -0.30 306 H East Carolina 18- 6 12 10 0.00 309 A Furman 14-10 4 5 -1.39 316 A Kennesaw State 16-12 4 7 - -3.59 322 H Old Dominion 14- 8 6 10 -- -4.00 324 H Stetson 21- 6 15 12 0.00 331 A Coastal Carolina 11-10 1 0 0.14 412 H Arizona State 14- 7 7 5 1.56 414 A Jacksonville 6-19 -13 -4 -- -5.83 417 A High Point 9-14 -5 -5 0.41 424 A Kent State 23- 6 17 15 0.00 426 H Howard 22- 0 22 29 0.00 502 A Coastal Carolina 18- 8 10 0 +++ 9.14 504 N Jacksonville 18-20 -2 -3 1.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Old Dominion 14- 8 6 10 -- -4.00 414 A Jacksonville 6-19 -13 -4 -- -5.83 215 A Winthrop 10- 5 5 7 - -2.70 316 A Kennesaw State 16-12 4 7 - -3.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Lehigh 15- 5 10 2 +++ 7.45 502 A Coastal Carolina 18- 8 10 0 +++ 9.14 217 H Notre Dame 10-14 -4 -7 + 3.86/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.47 Local Power Rank........... 41 Local SOS Rating......... 60.80 Local SOS Rank............. 79 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 30 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 69 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 29 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 10.0