Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = Mid-Atlantic           
   Nickname = A Patriots         J   Coach  = ssy Morgan              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.1403580    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Maryland               Big Ten       (18- 1, 99.9)     5-16   
 216 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 6- 9, 84.3)     6-10   
 223 A Longwood               Big South     ( 8- 9, 77.3)    16- 9   
 227 A AAC                    Patriot Leagu ( 7-10, 79.4)    13-10   
 303 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 3-15, 77.8)    17-10   
 306 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 6, 94.8)     9-20   
 309 A Iona                   Metro Atlanti ( 1-16, 75.2)    17- 6   
 313 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 7-10, 85.8)     8-16   
 322 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (17- 3, 88.3)     9- 8  o
 324 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 80.0)    20- 6   
 329 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (15- 4, 89.4)     5-24   
 331 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 1-16, 70.8)    19- 5   
 405 A Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 83.6)    11- 7   
 407 A Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 83.4)    14-13   
 412 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 87.5)    16-11   
 414 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 5-12, 80.1)    15-10   
 420 A Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 80.9)    12-13   
 426 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (17- 3, 88.3)     4-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Maryland                5-16     -11   -16           0.00
   216 A William & Mary          6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.66
   223 A Longwood               16- 9       7     5           1.34
   227 A AAC                    13-10       3     3          -0.58
   303 H Canisius               17-10       7     7          -0.46
   306 A Virginia                9-20     -11   -11           0.00
   309 A Iona                   17- 6      11     7    +      2.20
   313 A Delaware                8-16      -8    -2    --    -5.15
   322 H Richmond                9- 8  o    1    -3    ++     4.03
   324 H La Salle               20- 6      14     5    ++     4.68
   329 A Massachusetts           5-24     -19    -6    -     -3.57
   331 H St. Bonaventure        19- 5      14    14           0.00
   405 A Davidson               11- 7       4     0    ++     4.62
   407 A Duquesne               14-13       1     0           1.38
   412 H Saint Joseph's         16-11       5    -2    +++    7.20
   414 H George Washington      15-10       5     5          -0.21
   420 A Virginia Commonwealth  12-13      -1     2    -     -3.11
   426 H Richmond                4-19     -15    -3    ---   -6.97

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Richmond                4-19     -15    -3    ---   -6.97
   313 A Delaware                8-16      -8    -2    --    -5.15
   216 A William & Mary          6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.66
   329 A Massachusetts           5-24     -19    -6    -     -3.57
   420 A Virginia Commonwealth  12-13      -1     2    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Saint Joseph's         16-11       5    -2    +++    7.20
   322 H Richmond                9- 8  o    1    -3    ++     4.03
   324 H La Salle               20- 6      14     5    ++     4.68
   405 A Davidson               11- 7       4     0    ++     4.62
   309 A Iona                   17- 6      11     7    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.14 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.94 Local SOS Rank.............    57
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    51
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    43
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/