Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = Mid-Atlantic Nickname = A Dukes C Coach = rrine DesrosiersGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.3670349 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Longwood Big South ( 8- 9, 77.3) 22- 9 214 A Butler Big East ( 3-14, 73.1) 16- 8 227 H Saint Francis Northeast ( 5-10, 73.1) 17- 2 303 H Detroit Mercy Southern ( 8-10, 76.4) 23- 9 306 A Robert Morris Northeast (12- 5, 81.0) 312 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.2) 13-23 315 H Central Michigan Southern ( 7-11, 79.2) 20-17 322 A Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 7-11, 80.9) 16-21 324 H Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 87.5) 6-21 329 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (17- 3, 88.3) 14-18 331 A Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 83.6) 20-16 405 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (15- 4, 89.4) 15-16 o 407 H George Mason Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 84.1) 13-14 412 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5-12, 80.1) 20- 9 414 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 1-16, 70.8) 18- 5 416 H Penn State Big Ten ( 8- 9, 91.5) 6-17 420 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, 80.0) 19-11 425 N Richmond Atlantic 10 (17- 3, 88.3) 8-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Longwood 22- 9 13 7 + 2.80 214 A Butler 16- 8 8 9 -1.11 227 H Saint Francis 17- 2 15 11 0.00 303 H Detroit Mercy 23- 9 14 8 1.84 312 H Louisville 13-23 -10 -3 --- -6.35 315 H Central Michigan 20-17 3 5 - -2.28 322 A Virginia Commonwealth 16-21 -5 1 --- -6.34 324 H Saint Joseph's 6-21 -15 -2 --- -7.03 329 A Richmond 14-18 -4 -6 + 2.11 331 A Davidson 20-16 4 -1 ++ 5.39 405 H Massachusetts 15-16 o -1 -4 + 3.89 407 H George Mason 13-14 -1 0 -1.38 412 A George Washington 20- 9 11 2 +++ 7.88 414 A St. Bonaventure 18- 5 13 11 0.00 416 H Penn State 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.03 420 H La Salle 19-11 8 4 + 3.46 425 N Richmond 8-20 -12 -4 -- -5.04UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Louisville 13-23 -10 -3 --- -6.35 322 A Virginia Commonwealth 16-21 -5 1 --- -6.34 324 H Saint Joseph's 6-21 -15 -2 --- -7.03 425 N Richmond 8-20 -12 -4 -- -5.04 315 H Central Michigan 20-17 3 5 - -2.28 416 H Penn State 6-17 -11 -6 - -3.03OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A George Washington 20- 9 11 2 +++ 7.88 331 A Davidson 20-16 4 -1 ++ 5.39 210 H Longwood 22- 9 13 7 + 2.80 329 A Richmond 14-18 -4 -6 + 2.11 405 H Massachusetts 15-16 o -1 -4 + 3.89 420 H La Salle 19-11 8 4 + 3.46/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.37 Local Power Rank........... 60 Local SOS Rating......... 61.31 Local SOS Rank............. 77 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 63 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 44 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 59 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0