Conf = North Coast                Region = Mid-South              
   Nickname = A Gators           A   Coach  = hley Hughes             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.6405792    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 H Thiel                  President's   ( 8- 8, 60.4)    19- 2   
 301 H Wash & Jeff            President's   ( 8- 7, 67.5)    19- 9   
 309 A Buffalo St             SUNYAC        ( 7- 9, 74.2)     2-13   
 315 A Baldwin-Wallace        Ohio          ( 9- 6, 73.3)     8- 9   
 318 A Centre                 SAA           (13- 3, 74.2)     7-17   
 320 A Hope                   MIAA          (11- 4, 71.2)     4-12   
 327 A John Carroll           Ohio          (10- 6, 75.9)     1-16   
 330 A Kenyon                 North Coast   (13- 4, 77.5)     6-18   
 403 H D'Youville             NEAC          ( 7-10, 66.7)    12-11   
 406 H DePauw                 North Coast   ( 5-11, 69.5)     8- 6   
 407 A Denison                North Coast   (13- 3, 83.3)     0-20   
 410 A Oberlin                North Coast   ( 6- 8, 72.2)    10-18   
 413 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   ( 9- 8, 66.7)     7- 9   
 416 A Wooster                North Coast   (15- 1, 79.8)     5-21   
 420 A Wittenberg             North Coast   ( 8- 8, 71.8)    13-19   
 423 H SUNY Fredonia          SUNYAC        ( 4-13, 66.1)    17-10   
 425 H Hiram                  North Coast   ( 2-15, 58.6)    18- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Thiel                  19- 2      17    11           0.00
   301 H Wash & Jeff            19- 9      10     4    ++     5.88
   309 A Buffalo St              2-13     -11    -8          -1.42
   315 A Baldwin-Wallace         8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.68
   318 A Centre                  7-17     -10    -8          -1.45
   320 A Hope                    4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.44
   327 A John Carroll            1-16     -15   -10           0.00
   330 A Kenyon                  6-18     -12   -11           0.00
   403 H D'Youville             12-11       1     4    -     -3.95
   406 H DePauw                  8- 6       2     2          -0.12
   407 A Denison                 0-20     -20   -17           0.00
   410 A Oberlin                10-18      -8    -6          -1.44
   413 A Ohio Wesleyan           7- 9      -2    -1          -0.99
   416 A Wooster                 5-21     -16   -14           0.00
   420 A Wittenberg             13-19      -6    -6           0.11
   423 H SUNY Fredonia          17-10       7     5           1.49
   425 H Hiram                  18- 3      15    13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Hope                    4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.44
   403 H D'Youville             12-11       1     4    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Baldwin-Wallace         8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.68
   301 H Wash & Jeff            19- 9      10     4    ++     5.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.64 Local Power Rank...........   159
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.26 Local SOS Rank.............   129
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............   162
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   243
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/