2018 NCAA Women's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Gettysburg Centennial 21 2 1 10 2 1 1 1 3 29.00 2 Salisbury Capital 21 2 7 15 3 2 4 2 8 2.00 3 College of New J NJAC 20 3 3 18 5 3 3 3 9 14.00 4 Middlebury NESCAC 20 3 2 3 1 5 5 4 14 21.00 5 Mary Washington Capital 17 5 17 23 8 6 2 7 15 1.00 6 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 18 5 13 13 6 7 6 6 19 2.00 7 York Capital 15 5 8 14 13 10 8 8 26 1.00 8 Amherst NESCAC 17 3 4 5 4 4 20 9 33 12.00 9 Colorado College Independent 15 5 37 42 45 9 7 18 34 0.10 10 Denison North Coast 17 3 23 77 14 15 17 11 43 1.00 11 Bowdoin NESCAC 14 6 9 6 7 17 12 16 45 2.00 12 Rowan NJAC 14 4 20 26 18 12 18 15 45 0.10 13 Rhodes SAA 15 4 39 86 35 11 16 19 46 0.10 14 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 16 5 12 36 16 14 21 13 48 0.10 15 Trinity (CT) NESCAC 13 7 5 2 12 13 9 31 53 5.00 16 Catholic (DC) Landmark 15 7 19 29 44 18 10 28 56 0.10 17 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 16 5 73 125 50 16 13 32 61 0.10 18 Tufts NESCAC 13 5 6 7 9 19 24 21 64 8.00 19 Messiah Commonwealth 15 4 26 43 20 24 33 14 71 0.10 20 Washington Colle Centennial 13 5 29 20 29 21 30 24 75 0.10 21 Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC 12 7 16 4 17 23 14 41 78 0.10 22 Cortland SUNYAC 16 5 15 24 21 20 26 34 80 0.10 23 Westfield State MASCAC 18 3 80 120 19 32 31 17 80 0.10 24 St. John Fisher Empire Eight 17 3 24 61 23 27 42 20 89 0.10 25 Montclair State NJAC 9 7 40 22 71 25 15 58 98 0.10 26 Mount Union Ohio 17 1 33 136 11 28 61 10 99 0.10 27 Kean NJAC 14 4 50 70 27 30 49 26 105 0.10 28 Meredith USA South Atl. 16 5 57 147 48 40 36 33 109 0.10 29 Stevens Empire Eight 14 6 34 49 43 35 27 48 110 0.10 30 Claremont-Mudd-S SCIAC 18 2 18 58 10 8 100 5 113 0.10 31 Capital Ohio 14 3 51 122 36 26 54 38 118 0.10 32 Haverford Centennial 12 5 27 33 47 36 50 40 126 0.10 33 Dickinson Centennial 9 9 30 16 98 39 11 77 127 0.10 34 Springfield NEWMAC 14 7 38 59 49 45 32 54 131 0.10 35 Transylvania Ohio River 18 2 106 251 15 49 73 12 134 0.10 36 Framingham State MASCAC 15 2 93 150 22 37 76 22 135 0.10 37 North Central CCIW 16 3 109 174 34 31 83 23 137 0.10 38 John Carroll Ohio 14 3 46 128 40 43 62 35 140 0.10 39 Occidental SCIAC 12 6 56 73 75 54 43 52 149 0.10 40 Pomona-Pitzer SCIAC 11 8 70 65 126 51 19 79 149 0.10 41 Christopher Newp Capital 10 9 44 37 101 42 22 89 153 0.10 42 Lasell Great Northeas 14 4 120 186 52 47 63 51 161 0.10 43 Plymouth State Little East 14 4 78 100 42 38 82 44 164 0.10 44 Colby NESCAC 9 7 11 12 38 61 46 60 167 0.10 45 Hamline Midwest 15 5 138 203 58 62 56 50 168 0.10 46 Oberlin North Coast 10 6 72 104 95 46 45 78 169 0.10 47 Ithaca Liberty League 14 5 10 21 39 41 74 57 172 2.00 48 Regis (MA) NECC 12 5 165 202 74 44 58 73 175 0.10 49 Babson NEWMAC 13 8 49 48 79 52 41 87 180 0.10 50 Bates NESCAC 7 8 21 11 62 64 34 88 186 0.10 51 FDU-Florham Freedom 15 5 53 82 46 56 84 47 187 0.10 52 Kenyon North Coast 10 5 79 111 80 48 71 70 189 0.10 53 Centre SAA 15 3 76 140 37 34 131 25 190 0.10 54 Geneseo SUNYAC 13 4 25 38 33 50 91 49 190 0.10 55 Endicott Comm. Coast 14 4 45 94 28 53 96 43 192 0.10 56 Nazareth Empire Eight 11 6 48 56 64 57 47 90 194 0.10 57 Sewanee SAA 12 6 99 157 84 67 48 80 195 0.10 58 Cabrini CSAC 12 8 91 93 97 78 39 83 200 0.10 59 Scranton Landmark 12 7 43 62 83 55 59 95 209 0.10 60 Brockport SUNYAC 9 9 28 25 100 60 28 122 210 0.10 61 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 11 7 58 57 90 58 67 85 210 0.10 62 Wooster North Coast 12 4 84 110 57 63 104 45 212 0.10 63 Oswego SUNYAC 11 6 31 50 65 70 80 75 225 0.10 64 Shenandoah Old Dominion 12 7 81 64 85 66 79 81 226 0.10 65 Carroll CCIW 13 4 157 228 54 74 109 46 229 0.10 66 Swarthmore Centennial 10 6 59 53 78 77 78 74 229 0.10 67 St. Mary's (MD) Capital 8 10 47 27 144 71 40 127 238 0.10 68 Stockton NJAC 11 7 89 76 91 69 81 92 242 0.10 69 Concordia-Wiscon Midwest 11 7 161 207 111 91 60 103 254 0.10 70 MIT NEWMAC 10 7 67 68 104 72 68 114 254 0.10 71 Eastern Connecti Little East 11 7 115 107 112 81 65 109 255 0.10 72 Carthage CCIW 12 6 128 167 69 29 162 65 256 0.10 73 Johnson & Wales Great Northeas 17 3 82 163 26 22 208 30 260 0.10 74 Albion MIAA 11 5 116 179 66 82 120 61 263 0.10 75 Merchant Marine Skyline 14 3 101 164 41 65 160 39 264 0.10 76 Hamilton NESCAC 5 11 32 1 94 76 29 160 265 0.10 77 Medaille NEAC 14 5 136 205 61 107 94 64 265 0.10 78 William Smith Liberty League 15 5 14 19 24 33 192 42 267 0.10 79 Washington & Jef Ohio River 14 4 166 261 53 83 130 55 268 0.10 80 Allegheny North Coast 9 8 102 102 145 89 57 129 275 0.10 81 Bridgewater Stat MASCAC 12 7 113 138 105 98 77 101 276 0.10 82 Marymount Capital 10 10 88 66 150 97 52 130 279 0.10 83 Stevenson Commonwealth 8 10 66 45 162 94 35 151 280 0.10 84 Worcester State MASCAC 11 8 156 149 139 86 55 142 283 0.10 85 Rensselaer Liberty League 9 6 41 31 76 95 98 91 284 0.10 86 Roger Williams Comm. Coast 13 4 60 123 51 59 172 53 284 0.10 87 Oneonta SUNYAC 9 7 52 47 117 79 87 119 285 0.10 88 Chapman SCIAC 5 11 98 46 228 90 25 171 286 0.10 89 Mount Ida Great Northeas 12 5 167 241 73 87 128 72 287 0.10 90 Lebanon Valley Commonwealth 13 5 55 74 63 75 147 66 288 0.10 91 Redlands SCIAC 7 10 87 71 201 93 37 166 296 0.10 92 Williams NESCAC 6 9 22 9 88 96 66 134 296 0.10 93 Saint Joseph's ( Great Northeas 11 5 139 208 77 84 139 76 299 0.10 94 Birmingham-South SAA 9 7 123 159 81 73 159 68 300 0.10 95 Lynchburg Old Dominion 9 8 74 63 132 88 88 124 300 0.10 96 St. Mary's (IN) 12 6 134 209 86 115 101 86 302 0.10 97 Keene State Little East 10 8 96 113 124 105 75 123 303 0.10 98 Calvin MIAA 12 6 117 143 68 68 174 63 305 0.10 99 Morrisville NEAC 12 8 114 144 133 103 72 136 311 0.10 100 Clarkson Liberty League 12 6 36 51 60 92 138 84 314 0.10 101 Utica Empire Eight 10 7 86 98 122 99 97 120 316 0.10 102 Pfeiffer USA South Atl. 11 2 122 233 31 80 202 36 318 0.10 103 Baldwin Wallace Ohio 7 9 137 124 175 111 38 170 319 0.10 104 Muhlenberg Centennial 7 8 42 39 129 108 92 126 326 0.10 105 Albright Commonwealth 11 7 64 72 109 104 127 106 337 0.10 106 Coast Guard NEWMAC 12 7 94 105 106 110 126 102 338 0.10 107 Bridgewater Old Dominion 11 6 97 114 82 109 150 82 341 0.10 108 Ramapo NJAC 6 9 119 80 160 118 69 156 343 0.10 109 Mass.-Dartmouth Little East 11 7 130 153 116 122 111 113 346 0.10 110 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 4 11 65 8 142 116 51 183 350 0.10 111 Skidmore Liberty League 11 8 35 30 96 114 106 133 353 0.10 112 Wittenberg North Coast 5 11 135 81 245 100 23 232 355 0.10 113 Wheaton NEWMAC 8 10 103 69 189 102 53 201 356 0.10 114 Saint Vincent Ohio River 12 4 206 274 56 112 190 59 361 0.10 115 Drew Landmark 10 7 95 95 107 117 141 104 362 0.10 116 Augsburg Midwest 12 5 155 222 67 120 176 67 363 0.10 117 Piedmont USA South Atl. 11 7 185 197 118 124 125 115 364 0.10 118 Castleton North Atlantic 11 7 150 190 110 101 157 107 365 0.10 119 George Fox Northwest 11 2 105 193 30 85 254 29 368 0.10 120 Keuka NEAC 14 2 127 243 25 113 228 27 368 0.10 121 Aurora Midwest 10 8 186 226 140 138 93 138 369 0.10 122 McDaniel Centennial 7 9 71 40 151 135 90 148 373 0.10 123 Simmons Great Northeas 8 9 172 191 173 126 70 177 373 0.10 124 Hartwick Empire Eight 8 6 110 112 102 125 151 99 375 0.10 125 Hanover Ohio River 11 7 207 267 113 137 129 110 376 0.10 126 Moravian Landmark 11 5 69 103 72 106 201 71 378 0.10 127 Marywood CSAC 13 8 92 130 128 132 134 131 397 0.10 128 Bryn Athyn NEAC 9 4 169 231 59 127 209 62 398 0.10 129 Norwich Great Northeas 7 8 194 215 156 130 115 155 400 0.10 130 Otterbein Ohio 8 9 168 155 172 139 86 176 401 0.10 131 Roanoke Old Dominion 8 8 77 90 137 133 137 132 402 0.10 132 Methodist USA South Atl. 9 9 159 185 169 134 108 162 404 0.10 133 Ursinus Centennial 3 12 83 32 226 147 44 216 407 0.10 134 Fitchburg State MASCAC 8 9 160 169 170 131 103 174 408 0.10 135 Misericordia Freedom 12 9 63 99 155 123 132 154 409 0.10 136 St. Joseph's (NY Skyline 8 9 111 131 174 121 110 178 409 0.10 137 Colby-Sawyer North Atlantic 10 6 152 245 93 129 189 97 415 0.10 138 Augustana CCIW 8 7 193 199 130 136 166 116 418 0.10 139 Arcadia Commonwealth 10 9 85 85 163 119 143 163 425 0.10 140 RIT Liberty League 8 10 54 28 161 128 99 198 425 0.10 141 Immaculata CSAC 13 4 142 177 55 141 229 56 426 0.10 142 Vassar Liberty League 5 10 75 35 188 142 64 221 427 0.10 143 Neumann CSAC 9 9 140 133 148 160 133 145 438 0.10 144 Elizabethtown Landmark 7 9 100 92 164 163 123 158 444 0.10 145 Whitman Northwest 7 5 148 201 87 148 205 93 446 0.10 146 Hope MIAA 8 7 144 181 135 143 168 139 450 0.10 147 Southern Maine Little East 9 8 151 158 138 144 156 150 450 0.10 148 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 7 7 126 126 127 158 177 128 463 0.10 149 Buffalo State SUNYAC 7 11 90 60 212 155 85 225 465 0.10 150 Greensboro USA South Atl. 10 8 195 217 147 149 181 147 477 0.10 151 Ohio Northern Ohio 6 10 184 151 192 145 142 190 477 0.10 152 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 6 10 162 129 219 156 114 207 477 0.10 153 Illinois Tech Midwest 8 7 210 235 103 157 225 100 482 0.10 154 Canton Independent 10 7 118 152 120 166 206 118 490 0.10 155 Salve Regina Comm. Coast 7 9 158 137 181 161 149 181 491 0.10 156 Eastern Freedom 6 9 146 108 185 153 154 185 492 0.10 157 Kalamazoo MIAA 7 8 163 219 89 168 230 94 492 0.10 158 Smith NEWMAC 8 8 131 117 152 162 178 153 493 0.10 159 Rochester Liberty League 5 10 62 41 193 164 113 219 496 0.10 160 Rivier Great Northeas 3 10 233 183 231 167 102 228 497 0.10 161 Franciscan Independent 7 6 216 260 70 172 257 69 498 0.10 162 Wesley Capital 6 9 154 115 154 191 169 141 501 0.10 163 Wells NEAC 6 5 205 224 92 165 242 96 503 0.10 164 Dubuque CCIW 6 7 211 225 121 152 244 108 504 0.10 165 Guilford Old Dominion 6 10 153 127 205 159 146 203 508 0.10 166 Hendrix SAA 6 8 188 161 158 177 179 152 508 0.10 167 New England Coll North Atlantic 9 8 191 218 149 150 212 149 511 0.10 168 Western New Engl Comm. Coast 7 11 174 134 235 154 122 236 512 0.10 169 St. Lawrence Liberty League 4 11 61 34 203 170 121 230 521 0.10 170 Lycoming Commonwealth 6 10 112 91 215 171 140 212 523 0.10 171 Sage Empire Eight 5 9 203 142 194 176 158 191 525 0.10 172 Union Liberty League 3 11 68 17 187 179 117 231 527 0.10 173 Houghton Empire Eight 5 10 198 141 221 194 119 218 531 0.10 174 U. of New Englan Comm. Coast 8 9 121 119 153 140 222 173 535 0.10 175 DePauw North Coast 2 14 176 101 270 178 95 264 537 0.10 176 Frostburg State Capital 5 10 125 75 178 146 231 164 541 0.10 177 Husson North Atlantic 6 8 214 246 159 189 191 161 541 0.10 178 Elmhurst CCIW 5 9 229 229 191 193 164 186 543 0.10 179 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 7 9 133 106 177 151 214 180 545 0.10 180 Averett USA South Atl. 10 8 221 259 141 205 198 143 546 0.10 181 Cornell (IA) Midwest 7 8 243 257 131 182 233 135 550 0.10 182 Ferrum Old Dominion 9 8 212 256 146 200 204 146 550 0.10 183 Susquehanna Landmark 4 9 108 88 195 183 175 192 550 0.10 184 King's Freedom 7 11 129 109 233 169 148 234 551 0.10 185 Brevard USA South Atl. 6 9 202 238 119 181 255 117 553 0.10 186 New Paltz SUNYAC 5 9 104 67 179 175 197 188 560 0.10 187 Wheelock NECC 9 6 238 280 99 188 275 98 561 0.10 188 Widener Commonwealth 5 12 107 83 252 174 135 252 561 0.10 189 Muskingum Ohio 3 13 248 175 266 206 89 267 562 0.10 190 Whittier SCIAC 3 13 180 89 262 201 105 257 563 0.10 191 Gordon Comm. Coast 7 11 170 154 232 173 163 233 569 0.10 192 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 3 13 147 87 265 196 112 261 569 0.10 193 Berry SAA 4 11 217 176 168 199 215 157 571 0.10 194 Rutgers-Camden NJAC 2 11 181 97 234 197 145 229 571 0.10 195 Chatham Ohio River 7 9 253 271 176 211 183 179 573 0.10 196 Mount St. Joseph Ohio River 6 10 247 263 218 198 165 215 578 0.10 197 Wentworth Tech Comm. Coast 7 9 208 182 183 184 213 182 579 0.10 198 Westminster (PA) Ohio River 5 9 252 254 166 195 223 168 586 0.10 199 Wellesley NEWMAC 2 14 141 54 272 202 107 278 587 0.10 200 Manhattanville Freedom 9 7 132 156 125 187 276 125 588 0.10 201 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 7 8 179 171 134 186 265 137 588 0.10 202 Mass. Maritime MASCAC 6 9 215 240 186 215 187 187 589 0.10 203 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 6 6 246 278 115 214 266 112 592 0.10 204 Potsdam SUNYAC 4 12 124 78 250 192 152 251 595 0.10 205 Bryn Mawr Centennial 1 10 171 44 208 226 173 202 601 0.10 206 Keystone CSAC 6 6 182 206 114 222 268 111 601 0.10 207 Elms NECC 11 9 236 262 157 180 263 159 602 0.10 208 Fredonia SUNYAC 2 14 164 52 276 185 144 274 603 0.10 209 Purchase Skyline 7 6 192 236 108 220 281 105 606 0.10 210 DeSales Freedom 5 10 149 121 220 204 186 217 607 0.10 211 Franklin Ohio River 3 8 255 269 171 218 217 175 610 0.10 212 Alma MIAA 5 8 228 230 167 225 220 169 614 0.10 213 Loras Midwest 7 10 237 255 209 213 193 208 614 0.10 214 Old Westbury Skyline 4 11 189 132 246 203 167 246 616 0.10 215 Saint Joseph Great Northeas 4 9 267 249 202 219 199 199 617 0.10 216 Salem State MASCAC 3 14 196 148 277 216 124 277 617 0.10 217 Emerson NEWMAC 0 14 173 79 283 221 116 283 620 0.10 218 Linfield Northwest 6 7 231 247 136 233 248 140 621 0.10 219 Adrian MIAA 2 13 220 170 268 236 118 269 623 0.10 220 Hood Commonwealth 6 10 145 118 214 217 195 211 623 0.10 221 Elmira Empire Eight 3 13 199 116 264 224 136 266 626 0.10 222 Southern Virgini Capital 6 11 177 139 182 208 251 167 626 0.10 223 Southwestern Independent 5 11 201 192 247 210 182 235 627 0.10 224 Western Connecti Little East 4 13 175 135 263 209 153 265 627 0.10 225 Heidelberg Ohio 6 9 197 195 165 207 271 165 643 0.10 226 Delaware Valley Freedom 5 9 178 145 190 223 232 189 644 0.10 227 Thiel Ohio River 5 9 263 276 204 229 218 200 647 0.10 228 Hiram North Coast 6 10 226 189 213 237 210 204 651 0.10 229 Northwestern (MN Independent 4 9 250 237 200 235 219 197 651 0.10 230 Huntingdon USA South Atl. 2 12 269 212 259 239 161 260 660 0.10 231 Oglethorpe SAA 3 9 239 204 180 231 258 172 661 0.10 232 Emmanuel Great Northeas 3 11 224 196 248 190 224 248 662 0.10 233 Earlham Ohio River 5 11 256 273 240 240 188 241 669 0.10 234 Lyndon State North Atlantic 5 7 270 279 143 254 272 144 670 0.10 235 Beloit Midwest 2 14 249 216 278 245 155 279 679 0.10 236 Nichols Comm. Coast 3 11 209 173 249 227 203 249 679 0.10 237 Penn State-Abing NEAC 3 12 222 165 257 243 180 258 681 0.10 238 Juniata Landmark 4 12 225 168 251 248 185 250 683 0.10 239 D'Youville Independent 4 9 219 200 197 253 238 194 685 0.10 240 Bard Liberty League 3 11 143 55 227 232 207 247 686 0.10 241 Westminster (MO) 0 10 276 252 123 285 280 121 686 0.10 242 SUNY Poly NEAC 4 10 223 211 225 246 221 224 691 0.10 243 Trine MIAA 5 11 240 234 244 238 211 245 694 0.10 244 Albertus Magnus Great Northeas 4 12 264 258 253 242 200 253 695 0.10 245 Puget Sound Northwest 2 9 254 198 210 251 236 209 696 0.10 246 Notre Dame (MD) CSAC 3 9 200 180 207 247 245 206 698 0.10 247 LaGrange USA South Atl. 6 10 232 253 224 230 247 223 700 0.10 248 Concordia-Chicag Midwest 6 11 242 248 239 212 250 240 702 0.10 249 Mount Saint Vinc Skyline 4 9 235 214 199 257 249 196 702 0.10 250 Monmouth (IL) Midwest 2 14 258 242 279 259 170 276 705 0.10 251 Maine-Farmington North Atlantic 6 10 244 266 216 234 259 213 706 0.10 252 Southern Vermont NECC 7 10 261 272 211 244 252 210 706 0.10 253 Curry Comm. Coast 4 10 190 172 229 228 253 226 707 0.10 254 Goucher Landmark 1 12 204 96 258 256 194 259 709 0.10 255 Wilmington (OH) Ohio 2 14 257 187 273 255 184 272 711 0.10 256 Alvernia Commonwealth 0 15 187 84 285 258 171 285 714 0.10 257 Benedictine Midwest 2 14 251 210 269 250 196 270 716 0.10 258 Rhode Island Col Little East 1 10 227 166 237 241 241 238 720 0.10 259 Gwynedd-Mercy CSAC 5 11 183 188 241 249 235 242 726 0.10 260 MCLA MASCAC 1 9 265 213 217 260 256 214 730 0.10 261 Maritime Skyline 3 9 213 221 206 262 267 205 734 0.10 262 Wartburg Midwest 6 10 230 270 223 252 264 222 738 0.10 263 Dallas Independent 2 9 268 265 184 278 278 184 740 0.10 264 Centenary CSAC 1 10 266 162 236 263 243 237 743 0.10 265 Thomas More Ohio River 1 10 282 277 238 267 237 239 743 0.10 266 Bay Path NECC 4 9 280 283 196 274 279 193 746 0.10 267 Lancaster Bible NEAC 4 12 234 220 255 265 226 255 746 0.10 268 Cazenovia NEAC 4 12 245 232 254 268 234 254 756 0.10 269 Mitchell NECC 4 9 279 284 198 277 285 195 757 0.10 270 Hilbert NEAC 1 14 260 227 280 272 216 280 768 0.10 271 Wilkes Freedom 3 13 218 178 267 261 239 268 768 0.10 272 Olivet MIAA 0 13 275 223 275 273 227 275 775 0.10 273 Pacific (OR) Northwest 0 11 262 184 243 271 260 244 775 0.10 274 Thomas North Atlantic 1 12 272 244 260 270 246 262 778 0.10 275 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 0 10 278 275 222 283 283 220 786 0.10 276 Alfred Empire Eight 0 15 259 146 282 269 240 282 791 0.10 277 Newbury NECC 3 10 277 285 230 280 284 227 791 0.10 278 Randolph Old Dominion 3 12 241 160 256 266 269 256 791 0.10 279 Salem 2 14 274 239 271 264 262 271 797 0.10 280 Hollins Independent 0 11 283 264 242 282 282 243 807 0.10 281 Cedar Crest CSAC 0 12 271 194 261 281 270 263 814 0.10 282 Waynesburg Ohio River 0 15 285 268 284 275 261 284 820 0.10 283 Becker NECC 1 13 281 281 274 279 277 273 829 0.10 284 No. Carolina Wes USA South Atl. 1 15 273 250 281 276 273 281 830 0.10 285 Dean NECC 0 15 284 282 286 284 274 286 844 0.10 286 Anna Maria Great Northeas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10