2018 NCAA Women's Division II/NAIA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Le Moyne Northeast 10 22 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 6 41.00 2 Adelphi Northeast 10 19 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 8 29.00 3 Florida Tech Sunshine 17 3 6 21 6 5 4 7 16 1.00 4 Florida Southern Sunshine 21 2 3 12 3 1 14 2 17 14.00 5 Regis (CO) Rocky Mountain 17 5 8 17 7 7 1 12 20 0.10 6 East Stroudsburg PSAC 15 4 11 8 8 9 9 9 27 1.00 7 West Chester PSAC 19 1 4 27 5 4 18 5 27 6.00 8 Lindenwood Rocky Mountain 19 1 5 33 4 8 16 4 28 2.00 9 Rollins Sunshine 14 4 15 24 14 10 8 11 29 1.00 10 Savannah Art & D NAIA 15 0 37 104 9 6 20 6 32 0.10 11 LIU Post East Coast 14 6 12 9 12 11 5 20 36 0.10 12 Mercyhurst PSAC 13 7 17 10 25 14 6 24 44 0.10 13 Limestone Carolinas 18 3 21 68 11 18 23 8 49 0.10 14 Pace Northeast 10 14 5 9 7 13 22 17 14 53 3.00 15 Young Harris Gulf South 14 5 38 61 26 21 11 25 57 0.10 16 Indianapolis Great Lakes 16 4 14 31 10 16 24 18 58 0.10 17 Mercy East Coast 14 4 13 37 15 17 25 16 58 0.10 18 Lock Haven PSAC 13 6 16 26 24 24 13 23 60 0.10 19 Tampa Sunshine 12 6 26 35 35 20 19 29 68 0.10 20 Slippery Rock PSAC 13 5 20 39 27 19 21 31 71 0.10 21 Grand Valley Sta Great Lakes 13 5 7 25 20 27 22 26 75 2.00 22 Merrimack Northeast 10 14 5 10 14 17 26 27 22 75 0.10 23 Tiffin Great Lakes 11 7 28 18 28 25 7 43 75 0.10 24 Queens South Atlantic 11 8 29 44 42 29 10 40 79 0.10 25 Lake Erie Great Midwest 15 2 36 84 18 23 45 15 83 0.10 26 Colorado Mesa Rocky Mountain 12 4 25 48 19 28 42 19 89 0.10 27 Saint Leo Sunshine 11 6 30 47 37 33 33 35 101 0.10 28 Mount Olive Carolinas 14 5 43 75 30 37 39 28 104 0.10 29 New Haven Northeast 10 12 6 18 19 22 31 37 37 105 0.10 30 Indiana Tech NAIA 18 4 70 113 23 12 81 13 106 0.10 31 Belmont Abbey Carolinas 14 6 58 71 40 38 32 39 109 0.10 32 Lawrence Tech NAIA 14 5 73 109 43 13 70 27 110 0.10 33 Bentley Northeast 10 9 7 24 4 34 34 29 51 114 0.10 34 NYIT East Coast 14 5 23 56 33 32 50 34 116 0.10 35 McKendree Great Lakes 9 10 32 13 46 42 12 68 122 0.10 36 Saint Anselm Northeast 10 8 10 27 3 55 43 15 66 124 0.10 37 Cumberlands NAIA 19 2 71 116 16 15 103 10 128 0.10 38 Findlay Great Lakes 15 4 33 94 32 40 56 32 128 0.10 39 Fort Lewis Rocky Mountain 7 7 41 34 44 45 40 52 137 0.10 40 Indiana (PA) PSAC 9 6 19 43 41 39 57 42 138 0.10 41 Assumption Northeast 10 9 8 22 16 39 53 34 55 142 0.10 42 UVa-Wise Mountain East 14 4 55 67 29 35 78 30 143 0.10 43 Bloomsburg PSAC 10 8 40 36 57 44 46 54 144 0.10 44 Lenoir-Rhyne South Atlantic 9 10 51 46 78 49 28 67 144 0.10 45 Georgetown (KY) NAIA 10 7 96 117 70 55 49 49 153 0.10 46 Keiser NAIA 10 5 82 112 45 54 72 33 159 0.10 47 Marian NAIA 9 5 109 125 49 48 71 45 164 0.10 48 Catawba South Atlantic 11 8 63 62 63 58 44 63 165 0.10 49 Siena Heights NAIA 13 5 92 114 48 36 93 36 165 0.10 50 Georgian Court CACC North 13 6 48 65 36 57 65 44 166 0.10 51 Seton Hill PSAC 5 11 39 15 85 59 26 81 166 0.10 52 Molloy East Coast 11 8 47 58 58 63 47 59 169 0.10 53 Millersville PSAC 10 7 31 50 47 56 68 50 174 0.10 54 Embry-Riddle 6 10 60 49 77 67 30 79 176 0.10 55 Stonehill Northeast 10 8 9 34 20 60 62 43 71 176 0.10 56 Mo. Baptist NAIA 7 6 124 124 64 52 69 56 177 0.10 57 Walsh Great Lakes 11 7 75 97 67 61 54 62 177 0.10 58 Benedictine (KS) NAIA 13 2 79 135 21 30 134 17 181 0.10 59 Shippensburg PSAC 7 10 46 42 82 64 48 84 196 0.10 60 Rockhurst Rocky Mountain 8 7 49 57 59 51 85 61 197 0.10 61 Aquinas NAIA 12 4 91 134 31 41 139 21 201 0.10 62 Westminster Rocky Mountain 6 7 44 45 56 60 84 57 201 0.10 63 North Greenville Carolinas 13 6 81 105 53 72 82 48 202 0.10 64 Reinhardt NAIA 11 5 94 115 50 47 116 41 204 0.10 65 Tennessee Wesley NAIA 10 5 90 119 51 46 112 46 204 0.10 66 Roberts Wesleyan East Coast 9 9 57 55 73 65 58 83 206 0.10 67 Kutztown PSAC 6 11 42 41 89 71 38 98 207 0.10 68 Chestnut Hill CACC South 12 7 76 89 61 69 83 58 210 0.10 69 Missouri Valley NAIA 8 5 121 138 52 68 95 47 210 0.10 70 Concordia-St. Pa Great Lakes 7 9 59 32 65 74 62 82 218 0.10 71 CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountain 4 11 50 30 96 66 61 91 218 0.10 72 Alabama-Huntsvil Gulf South 13 5 45 90 38 50 131 38 219 0.10 73 Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 6 9 35 22 66 76 67 77 220 0.10 74 Thomas Jefferson CACC South 9 8 61 69 69 75 76 69 220 0.10 75 S. New Hampshire Northeast 10 4 13 52 5 104 78 31 113 222 0.10 76 Ave Maria NAIA 2 12 113 93 129 79 35 110 224 0.10 77 Southern Connect Northeast 10 4 12 53 6 99 81 36 109 226 0.10 78 Charleston Mountain East 7 9 77 85 74 70 86 73 229 0.10 79 Wheeling Jesuit Mountain East 6 10 66 52 86 73 60 96 229 0.10 80 Wingate South Atlantic 6 13 72 60 128 77 41 120 238 0.10 81 Gannon PSAC 4 10 54 28 88 80 79 89 248 0.10 82 Lourdes NAIA 8 7 108 126 72 82 102 65 249 0.10 83 Lee Gulf South 9 9 93 110 90 91 75 86 252 0.10 84 Shepherd Mountain East 8 7 65 82 71 83 100 70 253 0.10 85 Chowan Carolinas 8 8 100 102 80 90 90 76 256 0.10 86 Tusculum South Atlantic 6 11 78 63 108 86 64 106 256 0.10 87 St. Thomas Aquin East Coast 6 10 69 51 92 84 73 100 257 0.10 88 Edinboro PSAC 3 13 67 40 119 89 52 117 258 0.10 89 Alderson Broaddu Great Midwest 6 12 102 77 113 94 55 111 260 0.10 90 Colo.-Colorado S Rocky Mountain 7 10 64 59 94 93 80 94 267 0.10 91 Lincoln Memorial South Atlantic 8 8 80 87 79 95 101 75 271 0.10 92 Point NAIA 5 9 114 118 91 88 107 78 273 0.10 93 St. Ambrose NAIA 9 5 127 141 54 87 133 53 273 0.10 94 Bridgeport East Coast 6 9 74 64 83 96 92 88 276 0.10 95 Ottawa NAIA 7 8 118 130 84 85 106 87 278 0.10 96 Saint Michael's Northeast 10 2 13 56 11 111 100 53 126 279 0.10 97 Oklahoma Baptist Rocky Mountain 5 11 101 73 106 98 77 105 280 0.10 98 Lindenwood-Belle NAIA 1 11 134 120 123 101 74 112 287 0.10 99 Montevallo Gulf South 8 9 95 106 97 97 98 95 290 0.10 100 American Interna Northeast 10 3 14 62 23 117 105 51 135 291 0.10 101 Clarke NAIA 4 7 128 140 62 99 136 60 295 0.10 102 Davenport GLIAC 3 13 68 38 118 102 59 136 297 0.10 103 Dominican CACC North 6 10 85 72 101 103 91 104 298 0.10 104 Cleary NAIA 4 11 132 131 76 106 119 74 299 0.10 105 Northern Michiga Great Lakes 2 13 83 29 112 107 63 133 303 0.10 106 Columbia (SC) NAIA 6 7 112 128 75 110 122 72 304 0.10 107 Queens (NY) East Coast 5 11 84 66 107 115 87 108 310 0.10 108 Bethel (IN) 0 8 140 122 100 121 97 93 311 0.10 109 Palm Beach Atlan Sunshine 1 14 105 53 137 119 66 130 315 0.10 110 Emmanuel (GA) Carolinas 7 8 98 107 87 108 124 85 317 0.10 111 Caldwell CACC North 6 9 86 96 98 111 110 97 318 0.10 112 St. Andrews NAIA 7 8 131 137 68 114 141 64 319 0.10 113 Adams State Rocky Mountain 3 10 97 54 102 112 108 101 321 0.10 114 Asbury NAIA 3 9 130 129 103 120 105 99 324 0.10 115 Ursuline Great Midwest 6 11 99 92 115 92 121 115 328 0.10 116 West Virginia We Mountain East 5 8 87 81 93 109 130 90 329 0.10 117 Wilmington CACC South 7 10 88 88 105 118 109 102 329 0.10 118 Coker South Atlantic 4 11 89 79 116 116 99 116 331 0.10 119 Midland NAIA 4 7 129 139 81 123 138 80 341 0.10 120 Erskine Carolinas 2 12 119 100 131 127 88 127 342 0.10 121 Saint Mary (KS) NAIA 4 9 126 133 95 122 128 92 342 0.10 122 Madonna NAIA 2 12 133 132 132 129 94 124 347 0.10 123 Lees-McRae Carolinas 1 12 116 95 135 130 89 129 348 0.10 124 Davis & Elkins Great Midwest 3 13 123 86 130 124 96 131 351 0.10 125 Converse Carolinas 7 12 106 103 122 104 127 122 353 0.10 126 Barton Carolinas 5 10 110 98 109 117 135 107 359 0.10 127 Shorter Gulf South 0 10 125 74 114 132 114 114 360 0.10 128 Holy Family CACC South 3 11 104 80 120 131 115 118 364 0.10 129 Newberry South Atlantic 3 15 107 78 140 113 113 139 365 0.10 130 Notre Dame (OH) Mountain East 3 11 120 101 121 128 117 123 368 0.10 131 Concordia-Ann Ar NAIA 2 13 137 136 110 126 140 103 369 0.10 132 Truett-McConnell NAIA 1 12 139 123 124 133 120 119 372 0.10 133 Ohio Valley Great Midwest 2 12 117 108 134 136 104 134 374 0.10 134 Brenau NAIA 0 13 141 121 125 135 126 121 382 0.10 135 University of DC East Coast 1 13 122 70 127 134 125 128 387 0.10 136 Mars Hill South Atlantic 3 12 103 76 133 125 132 132 389 0.10 137 Post CACC North 2 15 115 83 141 138 111 141 390 0.10 138 Johnson & Wales NAIA 0 13 138 127 126 139 129 125 393 0.10 139 Nyack CACC North 3 13 111 99 138 137 118 138 393 0.10 140 Southern Wesleya Carolinas 0 13 136 111 139 141 123 140 404 0.10 141 Felician CACC North 0 13 135 91 136 140 137 137 414 0.10