Conf = Liberty League             Region = East         State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Anne Phillips           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.6130829    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (13- 4, 80.6)     9-12   
 303 A Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 2-14, 62.9)   
 307 H Hamilton               NESCAC        ( 5-11, 79.6)    14- 5   
 310 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  (11- 6, 77.3)    11- 3   
 311 N Colby                  NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 84.6)     3-12   
 316 A Bard                   Liberty Leagu ( 3-11, 65.1)    18- 0   
 319 N Salisbury              Capital       (21- 2, 85.7)     8-12   
 323 H Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu ( 9- 6, 78.2)     7- 2   
 324 H Union                  Liberty Leagu ( 3-11, 74.8)    10- 4   
 328 H RIT                    Liberty Leagu ( 8-10, 76.9)    14- 9   
 331 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 7-11, 72.3)    21- 2   
 406 A Clarkson               Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 78.9)     4- 9   
 407 A St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 4-11, 76.0)    11- 7   
 411 A Ithaca                 Liberty Leagu (14- 5, 84.9)     9- 8   
 414 H Vassar                 Liberty Leagu ( 5-10, 74.5)    16- 3   
 421 A Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 5-10, 76.0)    11- 5   
 428 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu (11- 8, 79.0)    15- 4   
 505 H Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu ( 9- 6, 78.2)    14- 7   
 506 H Ithaca                 Liberty Leagu (14- 5, 84.9)    15-10   
 512 N Endicott               Comm. Coast   (14- 4, 77.6)    18- 8   
 513 A College of New Jersey  NJAC          (20- 3, 88.2)     2- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Geneseo                 9-12      -3     1    --    -4.98
   307 H Hamilton               14- 5       9     5    +      3.94
   310 H Nazareth               11- 3       8     7           0.63
   311 N Colby                   3-12      -9     0    ---   -8.03
   316 A Bard                   18- 0      18    17           0.00
   319 N Salisbury               8-12      -4    -2          -1.89
   323 H Rensselaer              7- 2       5     6          -1.51
   324 H Union                  10- 4       6     9    -     -3.84
   328 H RIT                    14- 9       5     7    -     -2.76
   331 A Buffalo State          21- 2      19    10           0.00
   406 A Clarkson                4- 9      -5     3    ---   -8.61
   407 A St. Lawrence           11- 7       4     6    -     -2.56
   411 A Ithaca                  9- 8       1    -2    +      3.38
   414 H Vassar                 16- 3      13    10           0.00
   421 A Rochester              11- 5       6     6          -0.57
   428 H Skidmore               15- 4      11     5    ++     4.32
   505 H Rensselaer             14- 7       7     6           0.49
   506 H Ithaca                 15-10       5     0    ++     5.22
   512 N Endicott               18- 8      10     5    ++     4.01
   513 A College of New Jersey   2- 8      -6    -5          -0.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 N Colby                   3-12      -9     0    ---   -8.03
   406 A Clarkson                4- 9      -5     3    ---   -8.61
   228 A Geneseo                 9-12      -3     1    --    -4.98
   324 H Union                  10- 4       6     9    -     -3.84
   328 H RIT                    14- 9       5     7    -     -2.76
   407 A St. Lawrence           11- 7       4     6    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Skidmore               15- 4      11     5    ++     4.32
   506 H Ithaca                 15-10       5     0    ++     5.22
   512 N Endicott               18- 8      10     5    ++     4.01
   307 H Hamilton               14- 5       9     5    +      3.94
   411 A Ithaca                  9- 8       1    -2    +      3.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.61 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.33 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   281
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   18.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/