Conf = MASCAC                     Region = New England  State = MA
   Nickname = Lancers                Coach  = Kelly Downs             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.9713898    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Roger Williams         Comm. Coast   (13- 4, 76.1)     4-14   
 301 A Gordon                 Comm. Coast   ( 7-11, 62.2)    12-14   
 316 H Castleton              North Atlanti (11- 7, 64.4)    12-10   
 319 N Western New England    Comm. Coast   ( 7-11, 61.7)    16-14   
 321 N Calvin                 MIAA          (12- 6, 68.6)    13-10   
 324 A Western Connecticut    Little East   ( 4-13, 61.6)     8- 9   
 329 H Curry                  Comm. Coast   ( 4-10, 59.4)     9- 7   
 331 H Framingham State       MASCAC        (15- 2, 72.0)    10-18   
 403 H Eastern Connecticut    Little East   (11- 7, 68.9)    10-11   
 407 H Mass. Maritime         MASCAC        ( 6- 9, 56.2)    15- 6   
 410 H Mass.-Dartmouth        Little East   (11- 7, 66.8)    10- 6   
 414 A Bridgewater State      MASCAC        (12- 7, 69.1)     8-20   
 417 H MCLA                   MASCAC        ( 1- 9, 48.1)    14- 4   
 419 H Colby-Sawyer           North Atlanti (10- 6, 64.3)    10- 7   
 421 H Westfield State        MASCAC        (18- 3, 73.8)     4-16   
 425 A Fitchburg State        MASCAC        ( 8- 9, 63.6)     9- 7   
 428 A Salem State            MASCAC        ( 3-14, 58.7)    13- 6   
 501 H Fitchburg State        MASCAC        ( 8- 9, 63.6)     8- 4   
 503 A Westfield State        MASCAC        (18- 3, 73.8)     0-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Roger Williams          4-14     -10   -13           0.00
   301 A Gordon                 12-14      -2     0    -     -2.73
   316 H Castleton              12-10       2     0           1.33
   319 N Western New England    16-14       2     2          -0.31
   321 N Calvin                 13-10       3    -4    +++    7.60
   324 A Western Connecticut     8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.32
   329 H Curry                   9- 7       2     5    -     -3.66
   331 H Framingham State       10-18      -8    -6          -1.03
   403 H Eastern Connecticut    10-11      -1    -3    +      2.83
   407 H Mass. Maritime         15- 6       9     8           0.16
   410 H Mass.-Dartmouth        10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.79
   414 A Bridgewater State       8-20     -12    -6    -     -3.84
   417 H MCLA                   14- 4      10    16           0.00
   419 H Colby-Sawyer           10- 7       3     0    +      2.29
   421 H Westfield State         4-16     -12    -8          -1.30
   425 A Fitchburg State         9- 7       2     0    +      2.70
   428 A Salem State            13- 6       7     4    +      2.85
   501 H Fitchburg State         8- 4       4     1    +      2.55
   503 A Westfield State         0-16     -16   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Gordon                 12-14      -2     0    -     -2.73
   324 A Western Connecticut     8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.32
   329 H Curry                   9- 7       2     5    -     -3.66
   414 A Bridgewater State       8-20     -12    -6    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Calvin                 13-10       3    -4    +++    7.60
   410 H Mass.-Dartmouth        10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.79
   403 H Eastern Connecticut    10-11      -1    -3    +      2.83
   419 H Colby-Sawyer           10- 7       3     0    +      2.29
   425 A Fitchburg State         9- 7       2     0    +      2.70
   428 A Salem State            13- 6       7     4    +      2.85
   501 H Fitchburg State         8- 4       4     1    +      2.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.97 Local Power Rank...........   156
 Local SOS Rating......... 34.57 Local SOS Rank.............   149
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    86
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   286
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   139
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
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