Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Kathy Railey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4339752    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 H Salisbury              Capital       (21- 2, 85.7)    10-11  o
 221 H McDaniel               Centennial    ( 7- 9, 74.6)    11-12   
 224 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (21- 2, 89.9)     3-21   
 303 H Randolph-Macon         Old Dominion  (11- 7, 76.3)    12-11   
 307 A Washington College     Centennial    (13- 5, 80.0)     9-10  o
 312 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps SCIAC         (18- 2, 82.9)     4-12   
 315 A Chapman                SCIAC         ( 5-11, 71.2)     9-11   
 325 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 7-11, 72.3)    14-12   
 329 A Alvernia               Commonwealth  ( 0-15, 59.7)    14- 2   
 404 H Albright               Commonwealth  (11- 7, 75.5)     8- 7   
 411 H Lycoming               Commonwealth  ( 6-10, 69.1)    22-16   
 414 A Messiah                Commonwealth  (15- 4, 80.2)     7-10   
 418 H Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  (13- 5, 76.7)     6-10   
 421 A Arcadia                Commonwealth  (10- 9, 73.0)    10-11   
 424 H Hood                   Commonwealth  ( 6-10, 64.8)    14- 5   
 428 A Widener                Commonwealth  ( 5-12, 69.7)    18- 5   
 430 A Arcadia                Commonwealth  (10- 9, 73.0)     9- 7   
 502 A Messiah                Commonwealth  (15- 4, 80.2)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Salisbury              10-11  o   -1    -9    +++    8.21
   221 H McDaniel               11-12      -1     1    -     -2.92
   224 A Gettysburg              3-21     -18   -15           0.00
   303 H Randolph-Macon         12-11       1     0           0.78
   307 A Washington College      9-10  o   -1    -5    ++     4.61
   312 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps  4-12      -8    -8           0.55
   315 A Chapman                 9-11      -2     3    --    -5.13
   325 H Buffalo State          14-12       2     4    -     -2.26
   329 A Alvernia               14- 2      12    14           0.00
   404 H Albright                8- 7       1     1          -0.01
   411 H Lycoming               22-16       6     7          -1.44
   414 A Messiah                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.84
   418 H Lebanon Valley          6-10      -4     0    -     -3.79
   421 A Arcadia                10-11      -1     1    -     -2.37
   424 H Hood                   14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   428 A Widener                18- 5      13     4    ++     5.31
   430 A Arcadia                 9- 7       2     1           0.63
   502 A Messiah                 4-10      -6    -5          -0.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Chapman                 9-11      -2     3    --    -5.13
   221 H McDaniel               11-12      -1     1    -     -2.92
   325 H Buffalo State          14-12       2     4    -     -2.26
   418 H Lebanon Valley          6-10      -4     0    -     -3.79
   421 A Arcadia                10-11      -1     1    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Salisbury              10-11  o   -1    -9    +++    8.21
   307 A Washington College      9-10  o   -1    -5    ++     4.61
   428 A Widener                18- 5      13     4    ++     5.31
   414 A Messiah                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.43 Local Power Rank...........    66
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.96 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    94
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   243
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   162
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/