Conf = Commonwealth Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Mustangs Coach = Kathy RaileyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.4339752 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Salisbury Capital (21- 2, 85.7) 10-11 o 221 H McDaniel Centennial ( 7- 9, 74.6) 11-12 224 A Gettysburg Centennial (21- 2, 89.9) 3-21 303 H Randolph-Macon Old Dominion (11- 7, 76.3) 12-11 307 A Washington College Centennial (13- 5, 80.0) 9-10 o 312 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps SCIAC (18- 2, 82.9) 4-12 315 A Chapman SCIAC ( 5-11, 71.2) 9-11 325 H Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 7-11, 72.3) 14-12 329 A Alvernia Commonwealth ( 0-15, 59.7) 14- 2 404 H Albright Commonwealth (11- 7, 75.5) 8- 7 411 H Lycoming Commonwealth ( 6-10, 69.1) 22-16 414 A Messiah Commonwealth (15- 4, 80.2) 7-10 418 H Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (13- 5, 76.7) 6-10 421 A Arcadia Commonwealth (10- 9, 73.0) 10-11 424 H Hood Commonwealth ( 6-10, 64.8) 14- 5 428 A Widener Commonwealth ( 5-12, 69.7) 18- 5 430 A Arcadia Commonwealth (10- 9, 73.0) 9- 7 502 A Messiah Commonwealth (15- 4, 80.2) 4-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Salisbury 10-11 o -1 -9 +++ 8.21 221 H McDaniel 11-12 -1 1 - -2.92 224 A Gettysburg 3-21 -18 -15 0.00 303 H Randolph-Macon 12-11 1 0 0.78 307 A Washington College 9-10 o -1 -5 ++ 4.61 312 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 4-12 -8 -8 0.55 315 A Chapman 9-11 -2 3 -- -5.13 325 H Buffalo State 14-12 2 4 - -2.26 329 A Alvernia 14- 2 12 14 0.00 404 H Albright 8- 7 1 1 -0.01 411 H Lycoming 22-16 6 7 -1.44 414 A Messiah 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.84 418 H Lebanon Valley 6-10 -4 0 - -3.79 421 A Arcadia 10-11 -1 1 - -2.37 424 H Hood 14- 5 9 11 -1.00 428 A Widener 18- 5 13 4 ++ 5.31 430 A Arcadia 9- 7 2 1 0.63 502 A Messiah 4-10 -6 -5 -0.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A Chapman 9-11 -2 3 -- -5.13 221 H McDaniel 11-12 -1 1 - -2.92 325 H Buffalo State 14-12 2 4 - -2.26 418 H Lebanon Valley 6-10 -4 0 - -3.79 421 A Arcadia 10-11 -1 1 - -2.37OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Salisbury 10-11 o -1 -9 +++ 8.21 307 A Washington College 9-10 o -1 -5 ++ 4.61 428 A Widener 18- 5 13 4 ++ 5.31 414 A Messiah 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.84/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.43 Local Power Rank........... 66 Local SOS Rating......... 49.96 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 94 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 243 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 162 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0