Conf = Big East Region = Mid-Atlantic State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.6154480 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 7-11, 80.2) 18-14 219 A Fresno State MPSF ( 9- 9, 83.0) 22-12 224 H Furman Southern ( 8-11, 78.6) 19- 7 227 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 88.4) 15-17 305 H William & Mary Colonial ( 4-12, 82.7) 19- 6 308 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 11-10 2o 311 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 (12- 7, 88.5) 10-12 318 H Florida Big East (17- 4, 98.1) 10-11 325 A Butler Big East ( 1-16, 75.0) 17- 8 328 H Oregon Pacific 12 ( 9- 9, 91.2) 12-17 331 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 7, 87.8) 15-11 404 H Cincinnati Big East ( 8- 9, 84.3) 17- 6 408 A Marquette Big East (10- 8, 88.7) 11-13 414 H Georgetown Big East (12- 7, 90.6) 9-15 418 A Temple Big East ( 9- 8, 85.9) 5-10 422 A Connecticut Big East ( 8- 9, 89.2) 19-20 o 428 H Denver Big East (13- 7, 92.5) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A Kennesaw State 18-14 4 7 - -3.45 219 A Fresno State 22-12 10 4 ++ 5.29 224 H Furman 19- 7 12 10 0.00 227 H Louisville 15-17 -2 1 - -3.12 305 H William & Mary 19- 6 13 6 + 3.14 308 A La Salle 11-10 2o 1 4 - -3.11 311 A Saint Joseph's 10-12 -2 0 -1.14 318 H Florida 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 7.57 325 A Butler 17- 8 9 12 -1.00 328 H Oregon 12-17 -5 -1 - -3.34 331 H Villanova 15-11 4 1 + 2.27 404 H Cincinnati 17- 6 11 5 ++ 4.76 408 A Marquette 11-13 -2 -1 -0.95 414 H Georgetown 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.95 418 A Temple 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.76 422 A Connecticut 19-20 o -1 -1 0.53 428 H Denver 10-11 -1 -2 1.91UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Temple 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.76 414 H Georgetown 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.95 211 A Kennesaw State 18-14 4 7 - -3.45 227 H Louisville 15-17 -2 1 - -3.12 308 A La Salle 11-10 2o 1 4 - -3.11 328 H Oregon 12-17 -5 -1 - -3.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Florida 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 7.57 219 A Fresno State 22-12 10 4 ++ 5.29 404 H Cincinnati 17- 6 11 5 ++ 4.76 305 H William & Mary 19- 6 13 6 + 3.14 331 H Villanova 15-11 4 1 + 2.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.62 Local Power Rank........... 38 Local SOS Rating......... 69.86 Local SOS Rank............. 54 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 64 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 105 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 72 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3