Conf = Great Midwest Region = North State = OH Nickname = Arrows Coach = Ed KarasekGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 71.3925018 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Wilmington (OH) Ohio ( 2-14, 48.9) 17- 4 304 A West Virginia Wesleyan Mountain East ( 5- 8, 65.3) 10-14 306 A Shepherd Mountain East ( 8- 7, 67.0) 12-23 318 A Walsh Great Lakes (11- 7, 66.8) 7-18 321 A Siena Heights NAIA (13- 5, 64.5) 17-21 324 A Findlay Great Lakes (15- 4, 71.7) 6-18 327 A Notre Dame (OH) Mountain East ( 3-11, 56.2) 19-10 406 H Davis & Elkins Great Midwest ( 3-13, 55.7) 21-12 408 H Alderson Broaddus Great Midwest ( 6-12, 61.9) 20- 9 411 A Lake Erie Great Midwest (15- 2, 71.0) 5-17 414 H Findlay Great Lakes (15- 4, 71.7) 2-18 420 A Alderson Broaddus Great Midwest ( 6-12, 61.9) 12-15 422 A Davis & Elkins Great Midwest ( 3-13, 55.7) 16- 7 424 H Lake Erie Great Midwest (15- 2, 71.0) 5-19 426 H Walsh Great Lakes (11- 7, 66.8) 9-17 428 H Ohio Valley Great Midwest ( 2-12, 57.3) 17-11 503 A Lake Erie Great Midwest (15- 2, 71.0) 3-24PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Wilmington (OH) 17- 4 13 13 n/a 304 A West Virginia Wesleyan 10-14 -4 -2 -1.09 306 A Shepherd 12-23 -11 -4 -- -5.37 318 A Walsh 7-18 -11 -4 -- -5.56 321 A Siena Heights 17-21 -4 -2 -1.88 324 A Findlay 6-18 -12 -9 -0.64 327 A Notre Dame (OH) 19-10 9 6 + 2.84 406 H Davis & Elkins 21-12 9 8 0.88 408 H Alderson Broaddus 20- 9 11 1 +++ 8.05 411 A Lake Erie 5-17 -12 -8 -1.32 414 H Findlay 2-18 -16 -7 - -2.12 420 A Alderson Broaddus 12-15 -3 0 - -3.47 422 A Davis & Elkins 16- 7 9 6 + 2.36 424 H Lake Erie 5-19 -14 -7 - -2.80 426 H Walsh 9-17 -8 -2 -- -5.04 428 H Ohio Valley 17-11 6 6 -0.57 503 A Lake Erie 3-24 -21 -8 -1.32UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Wilmington (OH) 17- 4 303 A Wilmington (OH) 17- 4 306 A Shepherd 12-23 -11 -4 -- -5.37 318 A Walsh 7-18 -11 -4 -- -5.56 426 H Walsh 9-17 -8 -2 -- -5.04 303 A Wilmington (OH) 17- 4 414 H Findlay 2-18 -16 -7 - -2.12 420 A Alderson Broaddus 12-15 -3 0 - -3.47 424 H Lake Erie 5-19 -14 -7 - -2.80OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Wilmington (OH) 17- 4 408 H Alderson Broaddus 20- 9 11 1 +++ 8.05 303 A Wilmington (OH) 17- 4 303 A Wilmington (OH) 17- 4 327 A Notre Dame (OH) 19-10 9 6 + 2.84 422 A Davis & Elkins 16- 7 9 6 + 2.36/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 63.11 Local Power Rank........... 99 Local SOS Rating......... 34.22 Local SOS Rank............. 92 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 92 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 133 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 115 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 15.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -7.7