Conf = Great Midwest              Region = North        State = OH
   Nickname = Arrows                 Coach  = Ed Karasek              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.3925018    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Wilmington (OH)        Ohio          ( 2-14, 48.9)    17- 4   
 304 A West Virginia Wesleyan Mountain East ( 5- 8, 65.3)    10-14   
 306 A Shepherd               Mountain East ( 8- 7, 67.0)    12-23   
 318 A Walsh                  Great Lakes   (11- 7, 66.8)     7-18   
 321 A Siena Heights          NAIA          (13- 5, 64.5)    17-21   
 324 A Findlay                Great Lakes   (15- 4, 71.7)     6-18   
 327 A Notre Dame (OH)        Mountain East ( 3-11, 56.2)    19-10   
 406 H Davis & Elkins         Great Midwest ( 3-13, 55.7)    21-12   
 408 H Alderson Broaddus      Great Midwest ( 6-12, 61.9)    20- 9   
 411 A Lake Erie              Great Midwest (15- 2, 71.0)     5-17   
 414 H Findlay                Great Lakes   (15- 4, 71.7)     2-18   
 420 A Alderson Broaddus      Great Midwest ( 6-12, 61.9)    12-15   
 422 A Davis & Elkins         Great Midwest ( 3-13, 55.7)    16- 7   
 424 H Lake Erie              Great Midwest (15- 2, 71.0)     5-19   
 426 H Walsh                  Great Lakes   (11- 7, 66.8)     9-17   
 428 H Ohio Valley            Great Midwest ( 2-12, 57.3)    17-11   
 503 A Lake Erie              Great Midwest (15- 2, 71.0)     3-24   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Wilmington (OH)        17- 4      13    13          n/a  
   304 A West Virginia Wesleyan 10-14      -4    -2          -1.09
   306 A Shepherd               12-23     -11    -4    --    -5.37
   318 A Walsh                   7-18     -11    -4    --    -5.56
   321 A Siena Heights          17-21      -4    -2          -1.88
   324 A Findlay                 6-18     -12    -9          -0.64
   327 A Notre Dame (OH)        19-10       9     6    +      2.84
   406 H Davis & Elkins         21-12       9     8           0.88
   408 H Alderson Broaddus      20- 9      11     1    +++    8.05
   411 A Lake Erie               5-17     -12    -8          -1.32
   414 H Findlay                 2-18     -16    -7    -     -2.12
   420 A Alderson Broaddus      12-15      -3     0    -     -3.47
   422 A Davis & Elkins         16- 7       9     6    +      2.36
   424 H Lake Erie               5-19     -14    -7    -     -2.80
   426 H Walsh                   9-17      -8    -2    --    -5.04
   428 H Ohio Valley            17-11       6     6          -0.57
   503 A Lake Erie               3-24     -21    -8          -1.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Wilmington (OH)        17- 4   
   303 A Wilmington (OH)        17- 4   
   306 A Shepherd               12-23     -11    -4    --    -5.37
   318 A Walsh                   7-18     -11    -4    --    -5.56
   426 H Walsh                   9-17      -8    -2    --    -5.04
   303 A Wilmington (OH)        17- 4   
   414 H Findlay                 2-18     -16    -7    -     -2.12
   420 A Alderson Broaddus      12-15      -3     0    -     -3.47
   424 H Lake Erie               5-19     -14    -7    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Wilmington (OH)        17- 4   
   408 H Alderson Broaddus      20- 9      11     1    +++    8.05
   303 A Wilmington (OH)        17- 4   
   303 A Wilmington (OH)        17- 4   
   327 A Notre Dame (OH)        19-10       9     6    +      2.84
   422 A Davis & Elkins         16- 7       9     6    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.11 Local Power Rank...........    99
 Local SOS Rating......... 34.22 Local SOS Rank.............    92
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    92
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   133
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   115
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/