Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.2859039 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 A James Madison Colonial (22- 1, 98.4) 14-15 2o 216 A High Point Big South (17- 3, 92.5) 14-10 218 H Liberty Big South (13- 5, 86.1) 23- 4 224 H Maryland Big Ten (20- 2, 99.2) 16-15 o 303 H Florida Big East (17- 4, 98.1) 10-17 310 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (10-10, 95.5) 13- 9 313 A Elon Colonial ( 4-11, 89.2) 12- 1 317 A Northwestern Big Ten (15- 6, 97.1) 18-13 324 A Boston College Atlantic Coas (22- 2, 98.8) 11-17 328 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4) 13-12 331 H Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.7) 13-12 407 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 88.4) 16- 6 414 A Syracuse Atlantic Coas ( 9-10, 94.8) 20-11 415 N Canisius Metro Atlanti (11- 9, 85.2) 22- 3 421 H Duke Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 92.3) 20-10 426 N Syracuse Atlantic Coas ( 9-10, 94.8) 21-12 427 N Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4) 14- 8 429 N Boston College Atlantic Coas (22- 2, 98.8) 14-11 513 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4) 17- 8 519 H Northwestern Big Ten (15- 6, 97.1) 19-14 525 N James Madison Colonial (22- 1, 98.4) 12-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A James Madison 14-15 2o -1 0 -0.91 216 A High Point 14-10 4 5 -1.87 218 H Liberty 23- 4 19 14 0.00 224 H Maryland 16-15 o 1 0 0.02 303 H Florida 10-17 -7 2 --- -9.10 310 A Virginia 13- 9 4 2 1.19 313 A Elon 12- 1 11 9 0.83 317 A Northwestern 18-13 5 1 + 3.77 324 A Boston College 11-17 -6 0 -- -5.55 328 H Virginia Tech 13-12 1 6 -- -5.83 331 H Notre Dame 13-12 1 7 --- -6.53 407 H Louisville 16- 6 10 11 0.00 414 A Syracuse 20-11 9 3 ++ 5.49 415 N Canisius 22- 3 19 14 0.00 421 H Duke 20-10 10 7 + 2.07 426 N Syracuse 21-12 9 4 ++ 4.55 427 N Virginia Tech 14- 8 6 5 0.11 429 N Boston College 14-11 3 0 + 2.51 513 H Virginia Tech 17- 8 9 6 + 2.17 519 H Northwestern 19-14 5 3 1.89 525 N James Madison 12-15 -3 0 - -3.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Florida 10-17 -7 2 --- -9.10 331 H Notre Dame 13-12 1 7 --- -6.53 324 A Boston College 11-17 -6 0 -- -5.55 328 H Virginia Tech 13-12 1 6 -- -5.83 525 N James Madison 12-15 -3 0 - -3.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Syracuse 20-11 9 3 ++ 5.49 426 N Syracuse 21-12 9 4 ++ 4.55 317 A Northwestern 18-13 5 1 + 3.77 421 H Duke 20-10 10 7 + 2.07 429 N Boston College 14-11 3 0 + 2.51 513 H Virginia Tech 17- 8 9 6 + 2.17/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 99.29 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 86.40 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.71 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 18.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7