Conf = Capital Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Sea Gulls Coach = Jim NestorGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.7200012 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Stevenson Commonwealth ( 8-10, 75.4) 11-10 o 224 H Catholic (DC) Landmark (15- 7, 82.1) 13- 9 303 H Washington & Lee Old Dominion (16- 5, 84.5) 12- 8 306 H Rowan NJAC (14- 4, 81.7) 13-10 310 A Washington College Centennial (13- 5, 80.0) 16- 4 316 H Brockport SUNYAC ( 9- 9, 80.0) 13-10 319 N William Smith Liberty Leagu (15- 5, 83.6) 12- 8 324 H York Capital (15- 5, 85.7) 8- 5 327 A Wesley Capital ( 6- 9, 64.3) 20- 4 328 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (18- 5, 84.1) 15- 4 331 H Southern Virginia Capital ( 6-11, 61.4) 20- 1 404 H Christopher Newport Capital (10- 9, 77.9) 18- 6 414 H Mary Washington Capital (17- 5, 83.4) 11-10 418 H Marymount Capital (10-10, 72.4) 21- 3 420 A College of New Jersey NJAC (20- 3, 88.2) 1-10 421 A Frostburg State Capital ( 5-10, 67.4) 16- 4 425 A St. Mary's (MD) Capital ( 8-10, 77.4) 20- 8 502 H Christopher Newport Capital (10- 9, 77.9) 18- 9 505 H Mary Washington Capital (17- 5, 83.4) 12- 7 513 H Meredith USA South Atl (16- 5, 76.3) 19-11 519 H Denison North Coast (17- 3, 80.9) 16- 4 520 H Trinity (CT) NESCAC (13- 7, 87.2) 9- 8 526 N Gettysburg Centennial (21- 2, 89.9) 7-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Stevenson 11-10 o 1 9 --- -8.21 224 H Catholic (DC) 13- 9 4 4 -0.67 303 H Washington & Lee 12- 8 4 2 1.72 306 H Rowan 13-10 3 5 - -2.07 310 A Washington College 16- 4 12 4 ++ 5.32 316 H Brockport 13-10 3 6 - -3.77 319 N William Smith 12- 8 4 2 1.89 324 H York 8- 5 3 1 1.89 327 A Wesley 20- 4 16 20 0.00 328 H Franklin & Marshall 15- 4 11 2 +++ 7.29 331 H Southern Virginia 20- 1 19 25 0.00 404 H Christopher Newport 18- 6 12 8 1.11 414 H Mary Washington 11-10 1 3 - -2.39 418 H Marymount 21- 3 18 14 0.00 420 A College of New Jersey 1-10 -9 -3 -- -5.43 421 A Frostburg State 16- 4 12 17 0.00 425 A St. Mary's (MD) 20- 8 12 7 + 2.77 502 H Christopher Newport 18- 9 9 8 0.11 505 H Mary Washington 12- 7 5 3 1.61 513 H Meredith 19-11 8 10 - -2.00 519 H Denison 16- 4 12 5 ++ 4.08 520 H Trinity (CT) 9- 8 1 0 1.38 526 N Gettysburg 7-12 -5 -4 -0.82UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Stevenson 11-10 o 1 9 --- -8.21 420 A College of New Jersey 1-10 -9 -3 -- -5.43 306 H Rowan 13-10 3 5 - -2.07 316 H Brockport 13-10 3 6 - -3.77 414 H Mary Washington 11-10 1 3 - -2.39 513 H Meredith 19-11 8 10 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Franklin & Marshall 15- 4 11 2 +++ 7.29 310 A Washington College 16- 4 12 4 ++ 5.32 519 H Denison 16- 4 12 5 ++ 4.08 425 A St. Mary's (MD) 20- 8 12 7 + 2.77/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.72 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 56.95 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.72 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 10 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 21- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7