Conf = Sunshine                   Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3773193    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A Tampa                  Sunshine      (12- 6, 74.1)     6-10   
 218 H Lincoln Memorial       South Atlanti ( 8- 8, 66.6)    16- 3   
 220 H Adelphi                Northeast 10  (19- 3, 84.5)    11-15   
 223 A Catawba                South Atlanti (11- 8, 67.1)    16- 5   
 225 A Wingate                South Atlanti ( 6-13, 66.9)    19- 8   
 306 H Queens                 South Atlanti (11- 8, 73.2)    15- 4   
 309 H Seton Hill             PSAC          ( 5-11, 70.6)    14- 8   
 312 H Lock Haven             PSAC          (13- 6, 75.6)    16- 9   
 315 N Young Harris           Gulf South    (14- 5, 70.8)    20-14   
 317 N Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (13- 5, 69.2)    19-12   
 323 A Limestone              Carolinas     (18- 3, 74.7)     9- 7   
 325 A Lenoir-Rhyne           South Atlanti ( 9-10, 68.2)    15- 6   
 331 H Palm Beach Atlantic    Sunshine      ( 1-14, 61.3)    19- 2   
 404 H Florida Southern       Sunshine      (21- 2, 82.3)    11-10   
 407 A Florida Tech           Sunshine      (17- 3, 80.0)    12-21   
 414 H Saint Leo              Sunshine      (11- 6, 73.2)    19- 8   
 418 A Embry-Riddle                         ( 6-10, 67.1)    21-13   
 427 A Florida Southern       Sunshine      (21- 2, 82.3)     6-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Tampa                   6-10      -4     1    --    -5.56
   218 H Lincoln Memorial       16- 3      13    10           0.00
   220 H Adelphi                11-15      -4    -7    +      3.38
   223 A Catawba                16- 5      11     8           1.44
   225 A Wingate                19- 8      11     8           1.29
   306 H Queens                 15- 4      11     3    +++    6.12
   309 H Seton Hill             14- 8       6     6          -0.51
   312 H Lock Haven             16- 9       7     1    ++     5.45
   315 N Young Harris           20-14       6     5           0.42
   317 N Alabama-Huntsville     19-12       7     7          -0.20
   323 A Limestone               9- 7       2     0           1.03
   325 A Lenoir-Rhyne           15- 6       9     7           1.58
   331 H Palm Beach Atlantic    19- 2      17    15           0.00
   404 H Florida Southern       11-10       1    -5    +++    6.20
   407 A Florida Tech           12-21      -9    -4    --    -4.67
   414 H Saint Leo              19- 8      11     3    +++    6.11
   418 A Embry-Riddle           21-13       8     8          -0.54
   427 A Florida Southern        6-23     -17    -6    -     -3.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Tampa                   6-10      -4     1    --    -5.56
   407 A Florida Tech           12-21      -9    -4    --    -4.67
   427 A Florida Southern        6-23     -17    -6    -     -3.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Queens                 15- 4      11     3    +++    6.12
   404 H Florida Southern       11-10       1    -5    +++    6.20
   414 H Saint Leo              19- 8      11     3    +++    6.11
   312 H Lock Haven             16- 9       7     1    ++     5.45
   220 H Adelphi                11-15      -4    -7    +      3.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.38 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.61 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/