Conf = Northeast Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katrina SilvaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.7550125 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 80.8) 4- 5 2o 217 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 5-12, 81.3) 10- 9 223 A Radford Big South ( 6-11, 79.3) 15-11 225 A Liberty Big South (13- 5, 86.1) 9-14 303 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 82.5) 7- 9 305 A California Pacific 12 ( 6-12, 86.1) 7-12 308 A UC Davis MPSF ( 8- 6, 86.7) 8-11 318 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 0-17, 74.8) 11- 6 324 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 88.4) 13-12 328 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 5-10, 86.7) 3- 7 406 H Wagner Northeast (14- 6, 85.6) 9-12 408 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast (10- 7, 83.8) 14- 4 413 A Saint Francis Northeast ( 7-10, 77.3) 18-12 420 A Bryant Northeast (12- 6, 87.5) 9-15 422 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 2-14, 74.2) 12- 5 427 H Sacred Heart Northeast ( 2-14, 76.7) 21- 5 429 H LIU Brooklyn Northeast ( 3-13, 75.2) 18- 8 503 A Wagner Northeast (14- 6, 85.6) 9-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Bucknell 4- 5 2o -1 3 -- -4.88 217 A Duquesne 10- 9 1 1 -0.53 223 A Radford 15-11 4 3 0.48 225 A Liberty 9-14 -5 -3 -1.70 303 H George Washington 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.15 305 A California 7-12 -5 -3 -1.76 308 A UC Davis 8-11 -3 -3 0.91 318 H St. Bonaventure 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.87 324 H Louisville 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.74 328 A Ohio State 3- 7 -4 -3 -0.08 406 H Wagner 9-12 -3 0 - -2.10 408 H Mount St. Mary's 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.05 413 A Saint Francis 18-12 6 5 0.46 420 A Bryant 9-15 -6 -4 -1.30 422 A Central Connecticut 12- 5 7 8 -1.59 427 H Sacred Heart 21- 5 16 7 + 2.02 429 H LIU Brooklyn 18- 8 10 9 0.50 503 A Wagner 9-13 -4 -2 -1.22UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Bucknell 4- 5 2o -1 3 -- -4.88 303 H George Washington 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.15 318 H St. Bonaventure 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.87 406 H Wagner 9-12 -3 0 - -2.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Mount St. Mary's 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.05 324 H Louisville 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.74 427 H Sacred Heart 21- 5 16 7 + 2.02/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.76 Local Power Rank........... 73 Local SOS Rating......... 61.54 Local SOS Rank............. 91 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 83 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 92 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 75 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.3