Conf = Ohio                       Region = Mid-South    State = OH
   Nickname = Polar Bears            Coach  = Beth Hemminger          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   70.0746384    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Hiram                  North Coast   ( 6-10, 55.4)    16- 9   
 224 H Trine                  MIAA          ( 5-11, 53.6)    15- 8   
 305 H Carthage               CCIW          (12- 6, 66.9)    12-18   
 307 A Sewanee                SAA           (12- 6, 71.2)     1-15   
 310 H Cleary                 NAIA          ( 4-11, 50.0)    13- 7   
 315 H Siena Heights          NAIA          (13- 5, 64.5)     9-12   
 321 A Albion                 MIAA          (11- 5, 68.6)     5-15   
 330 A Mount Union            Ohio          (17- 1, 79.4)     2-25   
 404 H Wilmington (OH)        Ohio          ( 2-14, 48.9)    18- 4   
 407 A Muskingum              Ohio          ( 3-13, 52.6)    18- 2   
 411 H Heidelberg             Ohio          ( 6- 9, 58.7)    12- 7   
 414 H Baldwin Wallace        Ohio          ( 7- 9, 66.4)     9-18   
 418 A Wooster                North Coast   (12- 4, 73.0)     9-19   
 421 A John Carroll           Ohio          (14- 3, 77.6)     2-26   
 425 A Otterbein              Ohio          ( 8- 9, 62.4)    15-20   
 428 H Capital                Ohio          (14- 3, 77.2)     2-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Hiram                  16- 9       7     3    +      3.40
   224 H Trine                  15- 8       7     7          -0.58
   305 H Carthage               12-18      -6    -5          -0.24
   307 A Sewanee                 1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   310 H Cleary                 13- 7       6    11          n/a  
   315 H Siena Heights           9-12      -3    -3          n/a  
   321 A Albion                  5-15     -10    -9          -0.37
   330 A Mount Union             2-25     -23   -20           0.00
   404 H Wilmington (OH)        18- 4      14    12           0.00
   407 A Muskingum              18- 2      16     6    +      3.60
   411 H Heidelberg             12- 7       5     2    +      2.52
   414 H Baldwin Wallace         9-18      -9    -5    -     -3.80
   418 A Wooster                 9-19     -10   -14           0.00
   421 A John Carroll            2-26     -24   -18           0.00
   425 A Otterbein              15-20      -5    -3          -1.58
   428 H Capital                 2-23     -21   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Cleary                 13- 7   
   315 H Siena Heights           9-12   
   310 H Cleary                 13- 7   
   315 H Siena Heights           9-12   
   310 H Cleary                 13- 7   
   315 H Siena Heights           9-12   
   414 H Baldwin Wallace         9-18      -9    -5    -     -3.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Cleary                 13- 7   
   315 H Siena Heights           9-12   
   310 H Cleary                 13- 7   
   315 H Siena Heights           9-12   
   222 A Hiram                  16- 9       7     3    +      3.40
   310 H Cleary                 13- 7   
   315 H Siena Heights           9-12   
   407 A Muskingum              18- 2      16     6    +      3.60
   411 H Heidelberg             12- 7       5     2    +      2.52
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 60.07 Local Power Rank...........   184
 Local SOS Rating......... 34.39 Local SOS Rank.............   151
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............   145
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   188
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   192
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -16.7
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