Conf = Gulf South                 Region = South        State = AL
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Frank Rogers            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.1608582    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 203 H Erskine                Carolinas     ( 2-12, 56.3)    19- 8   
 210 A Emmanuel (GA)          Carolinas     ( 7- 8, 63.2)    18-14   
 214 H Tennessee Wesleyan     NAIA          (10- 5, 64.8)    13-15   
 217 H Brenau                 NAIA          ( 0-13, 39.3)    23- 2   
 218 A Young Harris           Gulf South    (14- 5, 70.8)    11-22   
 224 H Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (13- 5, 69.2)     5-22   
 303 H Embry-Riddle                         ( 6-10, 67.1)    14-20   
 310 H Lee                    Gulf South    ( 9- 9, 64.3)    24-16   
 311 H Mars Hill              South Atlanti ( 3-12, 61.6)    14-15   
 318 A Shorter                Gulf South    ( 0-10, 54.8)    25-13   
 321 A Lee                    Gulf South    ( 9- 9, 64.3)    12-17   
 322 H Kalamazoo              MIAA          ( 7- 8, 63.1)    15-13   
 404 A Converse               Carolinas     ( 7-12, 60.8)    19-16   
 407 H Shorter                Gulf South    ( 0-10, 54.8)    18- 7   
 413 A Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (13- 5, 69.2)     6-19   
 422 H Young Harris           Gulf South    (14- 5, 70.8)    11-24   
 427 A Young Harris           Gulf South    (14- 5, 70.8)     6-25   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   203 H Erskine                19- 8      11     8           1.66
   210 A Emmanuel (GA)          18-14       4     0    ++     4.07
   214 H Tennessee Wesleyan     13-15      -2     0          -1.86
   217 H Brenau                 23- 2      21    25           0.00
   218 A Young Harris           11-22     -11    -7    -     -2.33
   224 H Alabama-Huntsville      5-22     -17    -4    --    -5.44
   303 H Embry-Riddle           14-20      -6    -2    -     -3.53
   310 H Lee                    24-16       8     0    +++    7.64
   311 H Mars Hill              14-15      -1     3    --    -4.06
   318 A Shorter                25-13      12     8           1.62
   321 A Lee                    12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.87
   322 H Kalamazoo              15-13       2     1          n/a  
   404 A Converse               19-16       3     2           0.70
   407 H Shorter                18- 7      11     9           0.13
   413 A Alabama-Huntsville      6-19     -13    -6    -     -3.95
   422 H Young Harris           11-24     -13    -6    -     -3.82
   427 A Young Harris            6-25     -19    -7    -     -2.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Kalamazoo              15-13   
   224 H Alabama-Huntsville      5-22     -17    -4    --    -5.44
   311 H Mars Hill              14-15      -1     3    --    -4.06
   322 H Kalamazoo              15-13   
   218 A Young Harris           11-22     -11    -7    -     -2.33
   303 H Embry-Riddle           14-20      -6    -2    -     -3.53
   321 A Lee                    12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.87
   322 H Kalamazoo              15-13   
   413 A Alabama-Huntsville      6-19     -13    -6    -     -3.95
   422 H Young Harris           11-24     -13    -6    -     -3.82
   427 A Young Harris            6-25     -19    -7    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Lee                    24-16       8     0    +++    7.64
   322 H Kalamazoo              15-13   
   210 A Emmanuel (GA)          18-14       4     0    ++     4.07
   322 H Kalamazoo              15-13   
   322 H Kalamazoo              15-13   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.87 Local Power Rank...........    95
 Local SOS Rating......... 31.95 Local SOS Rank.............   106
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    97
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    87
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    97
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -15.0
/