Conf = Commonwealth Region = Mid-Atlantic State = PA Nickname = Falcons Coach = Heather GreerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.1965408 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 H Gettysburg Centennial (21- 2, 89.9) 3-15 228 H Dickinson Centennial ( 9- 9, 79.8) 11-10 303 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (18- 5, 84.1) 3-13 309 A York Capital (15- 5, 85.7) 12-11 o 314 N Nazareth Empire Eight (11- 6, 77.3) 10- 5 315 N Whitman Northwest ( 7- 5, 64.5) 16- 2 324 A Mary Washington Capital (17- 5, 83.4) 10-14 327 H Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 7-11, 72.3) 14- 6 329 H Arcadia Commonwealth (10- 9, 73.0) 16- 5 404 A Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (13- 5, 76.7) 10- 6 407 H Lycoming Commonwealth ( 6-10, 69.1) 17- 7 411 A Widener Commonwealth ( 5-12, 69.7) 21- 4 414 H Stevenson Commonwealth ( 8-10, 75.4) 10- 7 418 A Hood Commonwealth ( 6-10, 64.8) 18- 2 421 H Albright Commonwealth (11- 7, 75.5) 14- 7 424 A Alvernia Commonwealth ( 0-15, 59.7) 18- 0 502 H Stevenson Commonwealth ( 8-10, 75.4) 10- 4 505 H Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (13- 5, 76.7) 11- 6 512 N Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC (12- 7, 83.4) 10-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Gettysburg 3-15 -12 -8 -1.38 228 H Dickinson 11-10 1 1 -0.43 303 A Franklin & Marshall 3-13 -10 -4 -- -5.03 309 A York 12-11 o 1 -6 +++ 7.57 314 N Nazareth 10- 5 5 2 + 2.13 315 N Whitman 16- 2 14 15 0.00 324 A Mary Washington 10-14 -4 -4 0.29 327 H Buffalo State 14- 6 8 9 -1.02 329 H Arcadia 16- 5 11 8 1.71 404 A Lebanon Valley 10- 6 4 2 1.61 407 H Lycoming 17- 7 10 12 0.00 411 A Widener 21- 4 414 H Stevenson 10- 7 3 5 - -2.84 418 A Hood 18- 2 16 14 0.00 421 H Albright 14- 7 7 5 1.23 424 A Alvernia 18- 0 18 19 0.00 502 H Stevenson 10- 4 6 5 0.16 505 H Lebanon Valley 11- 6 5 4 0.45 512 N Wesleyan (CT) 10-13 -3 -3 0.25UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Widener 21- 4 303 A Franklin & Marshall 3-13 -10 -4 -- -5.03 411 A Widener 21- 4 411 A Widener 21- 4 414 H Stevenson 10- 7 3 5 - -2.84OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A York 12-11 o 1 -6 +++ 7.57 411 A Widener 21- 4 411 A Widener 21- 4 314 N Nazareth 10- 5 5 2 + 2.13 411 A Widener 21- 4/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.20 Local Power Rank........... 26 Local SOS Rating......... 50.65 Local SOS Rank............. 43 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 24 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 157 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 20 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 12.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7