Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Lancers Coach = Elaine JonesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.6831970 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 80.8) 13-12 217 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 82.5) 8-16 220 A William & Mary Colonial ( 4-12, 82.7) 9-15 224 A George Mason Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 87.4) 5-22 228 H Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 7-11, 81.4) 8-15 303 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast (10- 7, 83.8) 11-10 310 H Howard Atlantic Sun ( 1-12, 65.2) 19- 5 317 H UMBC America East (11- 6, 85.4) 10-13 320 A East Carolina ( 2-14, 75.6) 17-13 325 H Saint Francis Northeast ( 7-10, 77.3) 12-10 331 A Winthrop Big South (14- 6, 86.0) 13-20 404 H Radford Big South ( 6-11, 79.3) 10-15 407 H Gardner-Webb Big South ( 3-14, 73.5) 15- 8 411 A Liberty Big South (13- 5, 86.1) 7-22 414 H Presbyterian Big South ( 2-15, 68.4) 18- 6 418 A Campbell Big South ( 9-10, 83.4) 8-20 421 H High Point Big South (17- 3, 92.5) 2-22 428 A Winthrop Big South (14- 6, 86.0) 6-22PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Lafayette 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.13 217 A George Washington 8-16 -8 -6 -1.19 220 A William & Mary 9-15 -6 -6 0.96 224 A George Mason 5-22 -17 -11 0.00 228 H Virginia Commonwealth 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.21 303 H Mount St. Mary's 11-10 1 -6 +++ 7.13 310 H Howard 19- 5 14 12 0.00 317 H UMBC 10-13 -3 -7 ++ 4.77 320 A East Carolina 17-13 4 0 + 3.88 325 H Saint Francis 12-10 2 0 1.65 331 A Winthrop 13-20 -7 -10 + 3.00 404 H Radford 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.34 407 H Gardner-Webb 15- 8 7 4 + 2.87 411 A Liberty 7-22 -15 -10 0.00 414 H Presbyterian 18- 6 12 9 0.77 418 A Campbell 8-20 -12 -7 - -2.32 421 H High Point 2-22 -20 -14 0.00 428 A Winthrop 6-22 -16 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Virginia Commonwealth 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.21 404 H Radford 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.34 418 A Campbell 8-20 -12 -7 - -2.32OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Mount St. Mary's 11-10 1 -6 +++ 7.13 211 H Lafayette 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.13 317 H UMBC 10-13 -3 -7 ++ 4.77 320 A East Carolina 17-13 4 0 + 3.88 331 A Winthrop 13-20 -7 -10 + 3.00 407 H Gardner-Webb 15- 8 7 4 + 2.87/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.68 Local Power Rank........... 104 Local SOS Rating......... 59.70 Local SOS Rank............. 103 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 90 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 69 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 91 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -16.0