Conf = Gulf South                 Region = South        State = TN
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Addie Wadley            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.5473328    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 H Point                  NAIA          ( 5- 9, 58.4)    14- 6   
 217 A Erskine                Carolinas     ( 2-12, 56.3)    12-11   
 221 A Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (13- 5, 69.2)     7-26   
 223 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 1-12, 57.6)    17- 5   
 228 A Young Harris           Gulf South    (14- 5, 70.8)    10-21   
 305 A Palm Beach Atlantic    Sunshine      ( 1-14, 61.3)    18-16   
 308 H Nyack                  CACC North    ( 3-13, 59.0)    18- 8   
 310 A Montevallo             Gulf South    ( 8- 9, 63.9)    16-24   
 314 A Reinhardt              NAIA          (11- 5, 64.2)    16-17   
 317 A Shorter                Gulf South    ( 0-10, 54.8)    20-11   
 321 H Montevallo             Gulf South    ( 8- 9, 63.9)    17-12   
 324 A Charleston             Mountain East ( 7- 9, 66.7)     6-13   
 328 H Young Harris           Gulf South    (14- 5, 70.8)     3-19   
 405 A Cumberlands            NAIA          (19- 2, 66.9)    16-21   
 407 H Truett-McConnell       NAIA          ( 1-12, 41.9)    26- 2   
 411 H Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (13- 5, 69.2)    12-20   
 413 H Shorter                Gulf South    ( 0-10, 54.8)    19- 2   
 427 N Alabama-Huntsville     Gulf South    (13- 5, 69.2)     6-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Point                  14- 6       8     6           1.40
   217 A Erskine                12-11       1     7    ---   -6.24
   221 A Alabama-Huntsville      7-26     -19    -5    --    -4.34
   223 H Lees-McRae             17- 5      12     7    +      2.63
   228 A Young Harris           10-21     -11    -7    -     -2.72
   305 A Palm Beach Atlantic    18-16       2     2          -0.25
   308 H Nyack                  18- 8      10     5    ++     4.01
   310 A Montevallo             16-24      -8     0    ---   -7.64
   314 A Reinhardt              16-17      -1     0          -0.28
   317 A Shorter                20-11       9     8           0.23
   321 H Montevallo             17-12       5     1    +      3.87
   324 A Charleston              6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.80
   328 H Young Harris            3-19     -16    -5    --    -4.20
   405 A Cumberlands            16-21      -5    -3          -1.58
   407 H Truett-McConnell       26- 2      24    23           0.00
   411 H Alabama-Huntsville     12-20      -8    -4    -     -3.82
   413 H Shorter                19- 2      17    10           0.00
   427 N Alabama-Huntsville      6-21     -15    -4    --    -5.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Erskine                12-11       1     7    ---   -6.24
   310 A Montevallo             16-24      -8     0    ---   -7.64
   221 A Alabama-Huntsville      7-26     -19    -5    --    -4.34
   328 H Young Harris            3-19     -16    -5    --    -4.20
   427 N Alabama-Huntsville      6-21     -15    -4    --    -5.08
   228 A Young Harris           10-21     -11    -7    -     -2.72
   324 A Charleston              6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.80
   411 H Alabama-Huntsville     12-20      -8    -4    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Nyack                  18- 8      10     5    ++     4.01
   223 H Lees-McRae             17- 5      12     7    +      2.63
   321 H Montevallo             17-12       5     1    +      3.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.26 Local Power Rank...........    93
 Local SOS Rating......... 31.22 Local SOS Rank.............   110
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    91
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    66
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    90
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/