Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.1153946 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Mercer Southern ( 9-11, 80.8) 14- 7 218 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 99.3) 4-23 221 A East Carolina ( 2-14, 75.6) 15- 4 225 H Robert Morris Northeast ( 9- 9, 83.8) 14- 9 228 A Old Dominion Atlantic Sun ( 5-13, 78.6) 14-12 303 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (16- 4, 91.0) 8-12 313 H Butler Big East ( 1-16, 75.0) 17- 8 320 A Arizona State Pacific 12 ( 6-12, 83.8) 15- 5 323 A San Diego State MPSF (11- 8, 87.0) 10-11 328 H William & Mary Colonial ( 4-12, 82.7) 11- 7 331 H Presbyterian Big South ( 2-15, 68.4) 19- 5 404 H Gardner-Webb Big South ( 3-14, 73.5) 19- 8 407 A High Point Big South (17- 3, 92.5) 4-13 411 H Longwood Big South ( 7-11, 76.7) 22- 7 414 H Winthrop Big South (14- 6, 86.0) 12-11 418 A Radford Big South ( 6-11, 79.3) 19- 9 421 A Campbell Big South ( 9-10, 83.4) 13- 9 504 N Winthrop Big South (14- 6, 86.0) 10-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Mercer 14- 7 7 4 + 2.61 218 A North Carolina 4-23 -19 -14 0.00 221 A East Carolina 15- 4 11 9 0.44 225 H Robert Morris 14- 9 5 3 1.70 228 A Old Dominion 14-12 2 6 -- -4.55 303 A Richmond 8-12 -4 -5 1.84 313 H Butler 17- 8 9 12 -1.00 320 A Arizona State 15- 5 10 1 +++ 8.61 323 A San Diego State 10-11 -1 -1 0.86 328 H William & Mary 11- 7 4 4 -0.36 331 H Presbyterian 19- 5 14 18 0.00 404 H Gardner-Webb 19- 8 11 13 0.00 407 A High Point 4-13 -9 -7 -1.70 411 H Longwood 22- 7 15 10 0.00 414 H Winthrop 12-11 1 1 -0.10 418 A Radford 19- 9 10 5 ++ 4.12 421 A Campbell 13- 9 4 1 + 2.25 504 N Winthrop 10-16 -6 0 --- -6.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 N Winthrop 10-16 -6 0 --- -6.16 228 A Old Dominion 14-12 2 6 -- -4.55OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Arizona State 15- 5 10 1 +++ 8.61 418 A Radford 19- 9 10 5 ++ 4.12 210 A Mercer 14- 7 7 4 + 2.61 421 A Campbell 13- 9 4 1 + 2.25/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.12 Local Power Rank........... 57 Local SOS Rating......... 62.54 Local SOS Rank............. 86 Local RPI Rating......... 0.52 Local RPI Rank............. 38 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 67 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 25 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7