Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = Mid-Atlantic State = DC Nickname = Colonials Coach = Tracy CoyneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.5496674 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 A East Carolina ( 2-14, 75.6) 18- 7 217 H Longwood Big South ( 7-11, 76.7) 16- 8 224 A Monmouth Metro Atlanti ( 8-10, 82.5) 8-14 303 A Robert Morris Northeast ( 9- 9, 83.8) 9- 7 310 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 80.8) 16- 9 314 A American Patriot Leagu ( 3-14, 77.8) 14-11 317 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast (10- 7, 83.8) 10- 7 320 A Radford Big South ( 6-11, 79.3) 13- 7 329 H George Mason Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 87.4) 11-25 331 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 0-17, 74.8) 14- 3 406 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 16-13 408 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (16- 4, 91.0) 3-14 413 A Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 7-11, 81.4) 12-13 415 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (14- 5, 92.3) 8-21 420 H Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 (12- 7, 88.5) 10-11 422 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 5-12, 81.3) 13-20 428 H Davidson Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 85.8) 10-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A East Carolina 18- 7 11 5 ++ 4.01 217 H Longwood 16- 8 8 6 1.19 224 A Monmouth 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.13 303 A Robert Morris 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.15 310 H Bucknell 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.33 314 A American 14-11 3 3 -0.79 317 H Mount St. Mary's 10- 7 3 0 + 3.26 320 A Radford 13- 7 6 2 + 3.68 329 H George Mason 11-25 -14 -3 --- -6.10 331 A St. Bonaventure 14- 3 11 6 + 3.22 406 H La Salle 16-13 3 0 + 3.07 408 A Richmond 3-14 -11 -9 -0.59 413 A Virginia Commonwealth 12-13 -1 0 -1.19 415 H Massachusetts 8-21 -13 -8 -1.16 420 H Saint Joseph's 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.04 422 A Duquesne 13-20 -7 0 --- -7.33 428 H Davidson 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.66UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H George Mason 11-25 -14 -3 --- -6.10 422 A Duquesne 13-20 -7 0 --- -7.33 224 A Monmouth 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.13 428 H Davidson 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A East Carolina 18- 7 11 5 ++ 4.01 303 A Robert Morris 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.15 310 H Bucknell 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.33 420 H Saint Joseph's 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.04 317 H Mount St. Mary's 10- 7 3 0 + 3.26 320 A Radford 13- 7 6 2 + 3.68 331 A St. Bonaventure 14- 3 11 6 + 3.22 406 H La Salle 16-13 3 0 + 3.07/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.55 Local Power Rank........... 81 Local SOS Rating......... 62.68 Local SOS Rank............. 85 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 75 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 52 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 64 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3