Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = Mid-Atlantic State = VA Nickname = Patriots Coach = Jessy MorganGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.3909607 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Monmouth Metro Atlanti ( 8-10, 82.5) 17-14 224 H Longwood Big South ( 7-11, 76.7) 22- 5 228 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4) 8- 9 o 304 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (10- 9, 85.3) 10- 9 310 H William & Mary Colonial ( 4-12, 82.7) 13- 5 314 A Campbell Big South ( 9-10, 83.4) 11-14 318 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-13, 78.8) 17- 9 324 A Old Dominion Atlantic Sun ( 5-13, 78.6) 16- 5 329 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 82.5) 25-11 331 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 12-11 406 H Davidson Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 85.8) 6-10 408 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 5-12, 81.3) 14- 6 413 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (14- 5, 92.3) 8-15 415 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (16- 4, 91.0) 11-18 420 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 0-17, 74.8) 15- 8 422 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 (12- 7, 88.5) 9-16 428 H Virginia Commonwealth Atlantic 10 ( 7-11, 81.4) 23- 8 503 N Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 (12- 7, 88.5) 9-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Monmouth 17-14 3 3 -0.98 224 H Longwood 22- 5 17 11 0.00 228 A Virginia Tech 8- 9 o -1 -6 ++ 5.95 304 H Coastal Carolina 10- 9 1 3 - -2.06 310 H William & Mary 13- 5 8 5 + 2.36 314 A Campbell 11-14 -3 3 --- -6.03 318 A Stetson 17- 9 8 7 0.32 324 A Old Dominion 16- 5 11 7 + 2.17 329 A George Washington 25-11 14 3 +++ 6.10 331 A La Salle 12-11 1 2 -1.88 406 H Davidson 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.50 408 H Duquesne 14- 6 8 7 0.95 413 H Massachusetts 8-15 -7 -4 - -3.00 415 A Richmond 11-18 -7 -4 - -2.43 420 A St. Bonaventure 15- 8 7 11 - -3.00 422 A Saint Joseph's 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.92 428 H Virginia Commonwealth 23- 8 15 6 + 3.08 503 N Saint Joseph's 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.86UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Campbell 11-14 -3 3 --- -6.03 406 H Davidson 6-10 -4 2 --- -6.50 422 A Saint Joseph's 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.92 304 H Coastal Carolina 10- 9 1 3 - -2.06 413 H Massachusetts 8-15 -7 -4 - -3.00 415 A Richmond 11-18 -7 -4 - -2.43 420 A St. Bonaventure 15- 8 7 11 - -3.00 503 N Saint Joseph's 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.86OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A George Washington 25-11 14 3 +++ 6.10 228 A Virginia Tech 8- 9 o -1 -6 ++ 5.95 310 H William & Mary 13- 5 8 5 + 2.36 324 A Old Dominion 16- 5 11 7 + 2.17 428 H Virginia Commonwealth 23- 8 15 6 + 3.08/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.39 Local Power Rank........... 48 Local SOS Rating......... 65.03 Local SOS Rank............. 74 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 54 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 51 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 51 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0