Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = East         State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Kelly Lickert-Orr       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5970001    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 H Clarkson               Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 78.9)    11-10  o
 306 A Union                  Liberty Leagu ( 3-11, 74.8)    16- 5   
 310 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (18- 5, 84.1)     8- 9  o
 314 N Catholic (DC)          Landmark      (15- 7, 82.1)    16- 8   
 317 N Roger Williams         Comm. Coast   (13- 4, 76.1)    18- 6   
 320 H Ithaca                 Liberty Leagu (14- 5, 84.9)    12-11   
 323 A St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  (17- 3, 80.6)     7- 8   
 326 A Nazareth               Empire Eight  (11- 6, 77.3)    14-15   
 329 N Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        (13- 7, 87.2)     8- 9   
 331 H New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 5- 9, 70.0)    15- 5   
 407 A Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 2-14, 62.9)    21- 3   
 410 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 4-12, 67.6)    17- 2   
 414 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (13- 4, 80.6)    15-10   
 417 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 9- 7, 77.0)    17-15   
 421 N Oswego                 SUNYAC        (11- 6, 79.7)    13-10   
 424 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 9- 9, 80.0)    16-13   
 428 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 7-11, 72.3)    18- 6   
 504 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        (11- 6, 79.7)    13-10   
 505 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 9- 9, 80.0)    19- 5   
 512 N Plymouth State         Little East   (14- 4, 74.1)    17- 8   
 513 A Amherst                NESCAC        (17- 3, 87.7)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Clarkson               11-10  o    1     5    --    -4.75
   306 A Union                  16- 5      11     7    +      2.33
   310 H Franklin & Marshall     8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.59
   314 N Catholic (DC)          16- 8       8     1    +++    6.53
   317 N Roger Williams         18- 6      12     7    +      2.50
   320 H Ithaca                 12-11       1     0           1.24
   323 A St. John Fisher         7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.90
   326 A Nazareth               14-15      -1     5    ---   -6.19
   329 N Trinity (CT)            8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.58
   331 H New Paltz              15- 5      10    14           0.00
   407 A Fredonia               21- 3      18    19           0.00
   410 H Potsdam                17- 2      15    17           0.00
   414 A Geneseo                15-10       5     1    +      3.04
   417 A Oneonta                17-15       2     5    -     -3.47
   421 N Oswego                 13-10       3     3          -0.92
   424 H Brockport              16-13       3     4          -1.65
   428 H Buffalo State          18- 6      12    12           0.00
   504 H Oswego                 13-10       3     5    -     -2.00
   505 H Brockport              19- 5      14     4    ++     5.35
   512 N Plymouth State         17- 8       9     9          -0.51
   513 A Amherst                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Nazareth               14-15      -1     5    ---   -6.19
   303 H Clarkson               11-10  o    1     5    --    -4.75
   323 A St. John Fisher         7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.90
   417 A Oneonta                17-15       2     5    -     -3.47
   504 H Oswego                 13-10       3     5    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 N Catholic (DC)          16- 8       8     1    +++    6.53
   505 H Brockport              19- 5      14     4    ++     5.35
   306 A Union                  16- 5      11     7    +      2.33
   317 N Roger Williams         18- 6      12     7    +      2.50
   329 N Trinity (CT)            8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.58
   414 A Geneseo                15-10       5     1    +      3.04
   513 A Amherst                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.60 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.31 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/