Conf = Atlantic Sun Region = South State = SC Nickname = Chanticleers Coach = Kristen SelvageGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.2709808 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 88.4) 7-16 228 A Campbell Big South ( 9-10, 83.4) 14- 9 304 A George Mason Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 87.4) 9-10 307 A UMBC America East (11- 6, 85.4) 10-13 310 A Towson Colonial (16- 5, 95.8) 3-15 313 H Winthrop Big South (14- 6, 86.0) 14-16 318 H Elon Colonial ( 4-11, 89.2) 6-14 324 H Gardner-Webb Big South ( 3-14, 73.5) 18- 8 329 A Delaware State Southern ( 0-14, 60.0) 26- 1 331 A Howard Atlantic Sun ( 1-12, 65.2) 20- 2 405 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-13, 78.8) 17-13 408 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (16- 4, 89.7) 11-13 413 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 7-11, 80.2) 18-12 415 A Mercer Southern ( 9-11, 80.8) 17- 7 419 H Detroit Mercy Southern (10- 8, 81.1) 14- 6 422 H Central Michigan Southern (11- 7, 79.9) 10-11 428 A Old Dominion Atlantic Sun ( 5-13, 78.6) 16- 5 503 N Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 7-11, 80.2) 18- 8 505 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (16- 4, 89.7) 19-25PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Louisville 7-16 -9 -4 -- -4.89 228 A Campbell 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.09 304 A George Mason 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.06 307 A UMBC 10-13 -3 -1 -1.93 310 A Towson 3-15 -12 -11 0.00 313 H Winthrop 14-16 -2 0 - -2.26 318 H Elon 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.04 324 H Gardner-Webb 18- 8 10 12 0.00 329 A Delaware State 26- 1 25 24 0.00 331 A Howard 20- 2 18 19 0.00 405 H Stetson 17-13 4 7 - -3.45 408 H Jacksonville 11-13 -2 -3 1.48 413 A Kennesaw State 18-12 6 4 1.90 415 A Mercer 17- 7 10 3 +++ 6.46 419 H Detroit Mercy 14- 6 8 5 + 2.91 422 H Central Michigan 10-11 -1 6 --- -7.28 428 A Old Dominion 16- 5 11 5 ++ 4.29 503 N Kennesaw State 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.96 505 A Jacksonville 19-25 -6 -5 -0.63UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Central Michigan 10-11 -1 6 --- -7.28 224 A Louisville 7-16 -9 -4 -- -4.89 318 H Elon 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.04 313 H Winthrop 14-16 -2 0 - -2.26 405 H Stetson 17-13 4 7 - -3.45OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Mercer 17- 7 10 3 +++ 6.46 228 A Campbell 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.09 428 A Old Dominion 16- 5 11 5 ++ 4.29 503 N Kennesaw State 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.96 304 A George Mason 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.06 419 H Detroit Mercy 14- 6 8 5 + 2.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.27 Local Power Rank........... 65 Local SOS Rating......... 61.60 Local SOS Rank............. 89 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 74 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 31 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 66 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0