Conf = North Coast Region = Mid-South State = PA Nickname = Gators Coach = Ashley HughesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.1157837 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Washington & Jefferson Ohio River (14- 4, 62.7) 12- 7 310 H Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 7-11, 72.3) 11-17 314 A Baldwin Wallace Ohio ( 7- 9, 66.4) 20-15 317 A DePauw North Coast ( 2-14, 61.4) 16- 4 320 A Occidental SCIAC (12- 6, 76.7) 7-17 322 A Pomona-Pitzer SCIAC (11- 8, 74.7) 5-17 328 A John Carroll Ohio (14- 3, 77.6) 16-22 331 A Denison North Coast (17- 3, 80.9) 9-21 403 H D'Youville Independent ( 4- 9, 56.1) 19- 4 405 A Fredonia SUNYAC ( 2-14, 62.9) 19-15 411 H Oberlin North Coast (10- 6, 74.6) 14-20 415 A Ohio Wesleyan North Coast ( 6-10, 63.2) 18-10 417 H Kenyon North Coast (10- 5, 73.8) 15- 8 421 H Wittenberg North Coast ( 5-11, 66.4) 18- 5 425 A Wooster North Coast (12- 4, 73.0) 14-19 428 H Hiram North Coast ( 6-10, 55.4) 22- 8 502 A Denison North Coast (17- 3, 80.9) 8-24PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Washington & Jefferson 12- 7 5 8 - -3.53 310 H Buffalo State 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.94 314 A Baldwin Wallace 20-15 5 2 + 2.31 317 A DePauw 16- 4 12 7 + 2.39 320 A Occidental 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.37 322 A Pomona-Pitzer 5-17 -12 -5 -- -4.37 328 A John Carroll 16-22 -6 -8 + 2.58 331 A Denison 9-21 -12 -11 0.00 403 H D'Youville 19- 4 15 15 0.00 405 A Fredonia 19-15 4 6 - -2.11 411 H Oberlin 14-20 -6 -3 - -2.62 415 A Ohio Wesleyan 18-10 8 5 + 2.12 417 H Kenyon 15- 8 7 -2 +++ 9.56 421 H Wittenberg 18- 5 13 4 ++ 5.23 425 A Wooster 14-19 -5 -3 -1.04 428 H Hiram 22- 8 14 15 0.00 502 A Denison 8-24 -16 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Buffalo State 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.94 322 A Pomona-Pitzer 5-17 -12 -5 -- -4.37 307 H Washington & Jefferson 12- 7 5 8 - -3.53 320 A Occidental 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.37 405 A Fredonia 19-15 4 6 - -2.11 411 H Oberlin 14-20 -6 -3 - -2.62OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Kenyon 15- 8 7 -2 +++ 9.56 421 H Wittenberg 18- 5 13 4 ++ 5.23 314 A Baldwin Wallace 20-15 5 2 + 2.31 317 A DePauw 16- 4 12 7 + 2.39 328 A John Carroll 16-22 -6 -8 + 2.58 415 A Ohio Wesleyan 18-10 8 5 + 2.12/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.12 Local Power Rank........... 102 Local SOS Rating......... 41.00 Local SOS Rank............. 102 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 89 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 19 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 145 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3