Conf = North Coast                Region = Mid-South    State = PA
   Nickname = Gators                 Coach  = Ashley Hughes           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.1157837    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 307 H Washington & Jefferson Ohio River    (14- 4, 62.7)    12- 7   
 310 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 7-11, 72.3)    11-17   
 314 A Baldwin Wallace        Ohio          ( 7- 9, 66.4)    20-15   
 317 A DePauw                 North Coast   ( 2-14, 61.4)    16- 4   
 320 A Occidental             SCIAC         (12- 6, 76.7)     7-17   
 322 A Pomona-Pitzer          SCIAC         (11- 8, 74.7)     5-17   
 328 A John Carroll           Ohio          (14- 3, 77.6)    16-22   
 331 A Denison                North Coast   (17- 3, 80.9)     9-21   
 403 H D'Youville             Independent   ( 4- 9, 56.1)    19- 4   
 405 A Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 2-14, 62.9)    19-15   
 411 H Oberlin                North Coast   (10- 6, 74.6)    14-20   
 415 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   ( 6-10, 63.2)    18-10   
 417 H Kenyon                 North Coast   (10- 5, 73.8)    15- 8   
 421 H Wittenberg             North Coast   ( 5-11, 66.4)    18- 5   
 425 A Wooster                North Coast   (12- 4, 73.0)    14-19   
 428 H Hiram                  North Coast   ( 6-10, 55.4)    22- 8   
 502 A Denison                North Coast   (17- 3, 80.9)     8-24   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Washington & Jefferson 12- 7       5     8    -     -3.53
   310 H Buffalo State          11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.94
   314 A Baldwin Wallace        20-15       5     2    +      2.31
   317 A DePauw                 16- 4      12     7    +      2.39
   320 A Occidental              7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.37
   322 A Pomona-Pitzer           5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.37
   328 A John Carroll           16-22      -6    -8    +      2.58
   331 A Denison                 9-21     -12   -11           0.00
   403 H D'Youville             19- 4      15    15           0.00
   405 A Fredonia               19-15       4     6    -     -2.11
   411 H Oberlin                14-20      -6    -3    -     -2.62
   415 A Ohio Wesleyan          18-10       8     5    +      2.12
   417 H Kenyon                 15- 8       7    -2    +++    9.56
   421 H Wittenberg             18- 5      13     4    ++     5.23
   425 A Wooster                14-19      -5    -3          -1.04
   428 H Hiram                  22- 8      14    15           0.00
   502 A Denison                 8-24     -16   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Buffalo State          11-17      -6    -1    --    -4.94
   322 A Pomona-Pitzer           5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.37
   307 H Washington & Jefferson 12- 7       5     8    -     -3.53
   320 A Occidental              7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.37
   405 A Fredonia               19-15       4     6    -     -2.11
   411 H Oberlin                14-20      -6    -3    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Kenyon                 15- 8       7    -2    +++    9.56
   421 H Wittenberg             18- 5      13     4    ++     5.23
   314 A Baldwin Wallace        20-15       5     2    +      2.31
   317 A DePauw                 16- 4      12     7    +      2.39
   328 A John Carroll           16-22      -6    -8    +      2.58
   415 A Ohio Wesleyan          18-10       8     5    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.12 Local Power Rank...........   102
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.00 Local SOS Rank.............   102
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    89
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   145
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
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