2017 NCAA Women's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Gettysburg Centennial 21 3 1 11 1 2 1 1 4 18.00 2 College of New J NJAC 19 2 5 29 2 1 2 3 6 5.00 3 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 19 2 8 27 4 3 6 2 11 1.00 4 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 17 5 6 12 8 9 4 4 17 6.00 5 Middlebury NESCAC 16 5 2 3 3 10 3 6 19 21.00 6 York Capital 16 4 15 13 10 7 7 5 19 1.00 7 Salisbury Capital 16 6 16 14 14 8 5 10 23 2.00 8 Colby NESCAC 15 4 3 4 5 6 12 7 25 14.00 9 Trinity (CT) NESCAC 17 5 4 2 6 5 9 11 25 9.00 10 William Smith Liberty League 20 2 9 20 7 4 26 9 39 1.00 11 Hamilton NESCAC 12 6 11 1 13 15 10 17 42 1.00 12 Messiah Commonwealth 16 3 7 28 11 12 18 12 42 5.00 13 Catholic (DC) Landmark 14 5 20 32 26 11 13 19 43 1.00 14 Mary Washington Capital 15 6 21 34 34 19 8 20 47 0.10 15 Brockport SUNYAC 16 3 10 24 15 14 19 15 48 4.00 16 Denison North Coast 15 4 37 57 27 13 14 33 60 0.10 17 Cortland SUNYAC 14 5 14 17 23 21 16 25 62 3.00 18 Ithaca Empire Eight 14 5 18 18 17 18 20 27 65 2.00 19 Rhodes SAA 19 1 43 158 9 17 43 8 68 0.10 20 Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC 11 6 12 5 22 24 17 30 71 1.00 21 Claremont-Mudd-S SCIAC 16 2 23 68 16 16 40 16 72 0.10 22 Colorado College Independent 15 5 27 70 35 20 22 32 74 0.10 23 St. John Fisher Empire Eight 15 5 13 43 33 27 21 29 77 4.00 24 Bowdoin NESCAC 10 6 19 8 29 26 23 31 80 0.10 25 FDU-Florham Freedom 17 4 38 95 20 23 41 21 85 0.10 26 Stevens Empire Eight 13 5 24 45 32 22 31 37 90 0.10 27 Montclair State NJAC 12 6 39 35 42 30 15 48 93 0.10 28 Dickinson Centennial 10 8 26 19 50 36 11 52 99 0.10 29 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 18 2 69 126 12 25 63 13 101 0.10 30 Tufts NESCAC 10 6 17 9 28 32 32 38 102 1.00 31 Muhlenberg Centennial 13 4 25 42 19 33 51 23 107 0.10 32 Rowan NJAC 11 6 42 48 63 31 27 49 107 0.10 33 Springfield NEWMAC 13 5 48 56 40 34 45 39 118 0.10 34 Oberlin North Coast 14 2 51 128 24 29 79 18 126 0.10 35 Endicott Comm. Coast 14 5 45 92 41 35 48 46 129 0.10 36 Skidmore Liberty League 12 6 28 25 45 37 53 44 134 0.10 37 Meredith USA South Atl. 17 2 47 114 18 28 100 14 142 0.10 38 Cabrini CSAC 16 4 77 113 25 51 69 24 144 0.10 39 Johnson & Wales Great Northeas 16 5 99 169 51 41 54 54 149 0.10 40 Scranton Landmark 11 6 54 61 79 40 39 72 151 0.10 41 Chapman SCIAC 11 7 76 83 112 42 24 88 154 0.10 42 Christopher Newp Capital 11 8 30 36 90 58 34 66 158 0.10 43 Stevenson Commonwealth 10 8 33 37 89 54 30 79 163 0.10 44 Capital Ohio 11 4 81 145 49 48 65 51 164 0.10 45 Nazareth Empire Eight 10 7 34 40 68 52 37 81 170 0.10 46 Hamline Midwest 15 5 156 219 54 56 76 53 185 0.10 47 Babson NEWMAC 14 6 41 50 53 43 81 63 187 0.10 48 Kean NJAC 10 7 64 88 85 57 38 96 191 0.10 49 Stockton NJAC 9 7 79 67 83 60 49 82 191 0.10 50 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 14 6 108 162 74 45 78 69 192 0.10 51 Wittenberg North Coast 11 7 109 112 116 50 55 90 195 0.10 52 Oneonta SUNYAC 9 7 50 38 69 66 44 89 199 0.10 53 St. Mary's (MD) Capital 9 9 53 33 122 79 35 87 201 0.10 54 Redlands SCIAC 9 8 94 81 147 46 25 131 202 0.10 55 Marymount Capital 13 6 60 84 67 78 70 56 204 0.10 56 Amherst NESCAC 6 9 22 6 76 64 33 109 206 0.10 57 Misericordia Freedom 14 5 70 97 57 38 107 61 206 0.10 58 Centre SAA 12 6 126 146 82 73 60 74 207 0.10 59 Westfield State MASCAC 14 6 101 116 64 65 82 65 212 0.10 60 Washington Colle Centennial 10 7 32 30 80 55 86 73 214 0.10 61 Sewanee SAA 14 5 110 163 59 62 99 58 219 0.10 62 Bates NESCAC 7 8 29 15 70 74 56 91 221 0.10 63 Morrisville NEAC 13 6 114 154 71 76 73 75 224 0.10 64 Plymouth State Little East 11 4 72 103 39 53 131 40 224 0.10 65 Ursinus Centennial 7 9 59 31 132 71 28 127 226 0.10 66 Concordia-Wiscon Midwest 12 7 151 197 105 61 66 101 228 0.10 67 Drew Landmark 11 8 86 76 130 59 52 119 230 0.10 68 Allegheny North Coast 9 6 105 122 93 77 71 83 231 0.10 69 Baldwin Wallace Ohio 13 4 89 135 46 39 154 45 238 0.10 70 Lynchburg Old Dominion 9 8 68 66 118 90 46 105 241 0.10 71 Regis (MA) NECC 15 5 185 239 52 83 118 41 242 0.10 72 DePauw North Coast 7 6 125 119 106 67 84 94 245 0.10 73 George Fox Northwest 12 2 92 156 30 49 170 26 245 0.10 74 St. Lawrence Liberty League 8 9 35 23 129 69 50 126 245 0.10 75 Occidental SCIAC 11 6 74 101 88 47 121 78 246 0.10 76 Haverford Centennial 8 8 55 39 107 87 57 104 248 0.10 77 Geneseo SUNYAC 9 9 36 21 92 82 42 129 253 0.10 78 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 11 6 49 58 62 92 110 57 259 0.10 79 John Carroll Ohio 11 5 90 149 66 85 106 70 261 0.10 80 Eastern Connecti Little East 14 5 87 124 56 68 147 60 275 0.10 81 Illinois Tech Midwest 15 2 170 253 21 70 183 22 275 0.10 82 Albright Commonwealth 10 7 63 62 98 84 90 108 282 0.10 83 Roger Williams Comm. Coast 13 4 58 108 43 63 178 42 283 0.10 84 Rochester Liberty League 9 6 56 52 72 102 116 67 285 0.10 85 Clarkson Liberty League 10 7 40 53 91 89 112 93 294 0.10 86 Elizabethtown Landmark 11 5 62 96 61 88 144 64 296 0.10 87 Augustana CCIW 11 7 157 170 111 94 93 110 297 0.10 88 Carthage CCIW 11 6 142 190 84 98 120 84 302 0.10 89 Mount Union Ohio 14 4 82 129 38 44 227 34 305 0.10 90 Vassar Liberty League 8 7 61 46 115 86 104 115 305 0.10 91 Saint Joseph's ( Great Northeas 13 4 169 213 44 81 182 43 306 0.10 92 Berry SAA 9 9 138 130 174 109 36 162 307 0.10 93 U. of New Englan Comm. Coast 10 8 115 105 124 103 72 132 307 0.10 94 Washington & Jef Ohio River 13 5 175 223 60 108 142 59 309 0.10 95 Rensselaer Liberty League 6 9 52 26 155 106 58 146 310 0.10 96 RIT Liberty League 8 8 46 41 128 97 96 125 318 0.10 97 Hartwick Empire Eight 10 6 85 90 77 101 134 85 320 0.10 98 Lycoming Commonwealth 10 7 78 73 86 100 123 98 321 0.10 99 Penn State-Abing NEAC 12 2 127 225 31 91 203 28 322 0.10 100 Pomona-Pitzer SCIAC 7 10 104 75 208 72 59 193 324 0.10 101 Augsburg Midwest 12 6 183 242 81 117 129 80 326 0.10 102 Southwestern Independent 8 8 158 141 156 93 80 153 326 0.10 103 Piedmont USA South Atl. 10 8 134 137 144 107 85 140 332 0.10 104 Whitman Northwest 9 6 132 151 97 104 128 100 332 0.10 105 Wellesley NEWMAC 9 8 83 69 133 96 102 136 334 0.10 106 Wheaton NEWMAC 9 9 91 63 150 95 87 155 337 0.10 107 Medaille NEAC 12 4 167 222 47 112 180 47 339 0.10 108 Aurora Midwest 9 9 172 215 173 110 64 167 341 0.10 109 Utica Empire Eight 7 7 73 60 125 111 97 133 341 0.10 110 Mount Ida Great Northeas 14 5 173 237 58 122 172 62 356 0.10 111 Castleton North Atlantic 13 6 149 208 73 113 169 77 359 0.10 112 Williams NESCAC 4 10 31 7 136 128 74 160 362 0.10 113 Bridgewater Stat MASCAC 12 7 123 133 103 119 133 111 363 0.10 114 Marywood CSAC 12 7 97 148 108 118 132 113 363 0.10 115 Kenyon North Coast 7 9 116 104 176 115 77 175 367 0.10 116 Fitchburg State MASCAC 11 8 150 172 137 121 111 137 369 0.10 117 Wooster North Coast 11 5 103 140 75 75 223 71 369 0.10 118 Susquehanna Landmark 8 8 98 94 148 114 109 147 370 0.10 119 MIT NEWMAC 8 9 84 64 177 116 83 176 375 0.10 120 Manhattanville Freedom 11 6 122 138 87 124 166 86 376 0.10 121 Union Liberty League 5 9 44 22 149 127 92 158 377 0.10 122 Transylvania Ohio River 14 3 153 245 37 80 262 36 378 0.10 123 Swarthmore Centennial 8 8 71 71 123 144 117 123 384 0.10 124 Arcadia Commonwealth 9 9 102 91 157 120 105 161 386 0.10 125 New England Coll North Atlantic 11 7 164 231 114 143 135 117 395 0.10 126 Pacific (OR) Northwest 7 6 129 171 109 130 159 106 395 0.10 127 Fredonia SUNYAC 3 13 66 16 217 131 29 238 398 0.10 128 Oswego SUNYAC 7 8 65 47 127 125 138 135 398 0.10 129 Saint Vincent Ohio River 12 5 192 243 48 105 243 50 398 0.10 130 Bridgewater Old Dominion 10 7 67 102 99 142 165 92 399 0.10 131 Ramapo NJAC 6 9 139 106 170 140 89 172 401 0.10 132 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 3 12 57 10 188 149 47 210 406 0.10 133 St. Joseph's (NY Skyline 9 9 130 131 178 134 95 177 406 0.10 134 Alvernia Commonwealth 6 9 121 72 172 123 108 178 409 0.10 135 Guilford Old Dominion 6 10 119 89 195 155 68 188 411 0.10 136 Muskingum Ohio 7 10 200 181 206 154 61 200 415 0.10 137 Calvin MIAA 12 6 111 203 65 99 253 68 420 0.10 138 Cazenovia NEAC 10 9 154 160 165 126 127 168 421 0.10 139 Elms NECC 13 3 213 280 36 148 238 35 421 0.10 140 Buffalo State SUNYAC 6 11 75 44 186 157 67 202 426 0.10 141 Salve Regina Comm. Coast 9 6 131 152 96 137 193 99 429 0.10 142 Frostburg State Capital 6 11 93 54 218 146 94 195 435 0.10 143 Lasell Great Northeas 9 6 143 207 95 135 205 97 437 0.10 144 Roanoke Old Dominion 6 11 80 49 210 151 75 213 439 0.10 145 St. Mary's (IN) MIAA 10 7 179 216 121 147 171 122 440 0.10 146 Emerson NEWMAC 6 11 100 79 229 136 88 222 446 0.10 147 Whittier SCIAC 4 12 160 86 254 138 62 246 446 0.10 148 Emmanuel Great Northeas 6 9 188 185 189 145 115 187 447 0.10 149 Neumann CSAC 10 9 155 144 146 166 139 149 454 0.10 150 Maine-Farmington North Atlantic 10 4 219 267 55 160 244 55 459 0.10 151 Gordon Comm. Coast 9 9 163 150 175 167 119 174 460 0.10 152 Hanover Ohio River 9 8 225 233 145 168 151 142 461 0.10 153 King's Freedom 8 9 124 121 180 133 149 179 461 0.10 154 Hope MIAA 9 7 181 196 134 129 206 130 465 0.10 155 Keene State Little East 7 11 107 85 223 132 113 224 469 0.10 156 North Central CCIW 10 8 162 205 143 139 189 145 473 0.10 157 Western Connecti Little East 9 10 113 117 185 152 140 185 477 0.10 158 Benedictine Midwest 8 8 238 244 153 174 152 152 478 0.10 159 Methodist USA South Atl. 8 7 118 147 135 150 198 134 482 0.10 160 Otterbein Ohio 6 8 168 161 164 170 146 166 482 0.10 161 New Paltz SUNYAC 5 9 112 65 166 159 141 183 483 0.10 162 Greensboro USA South Atl. 7 8 145 134 158 171 157 156 484 0.10 163 SUNY Poly NEAC 7 6 184 195 110 158 213 114 485 0.10 164 McDaniel Centennial 5 11 95 51 205 183 98 206 487 0.10 165 Simmons Great Northeas 8 12 190 199 241 162 91 240 493 0.10 166 Smith NEWMAC 10 7 140 143 120 161 212 121 494 0.10 167 Colby-Sawyer North Atlantic 10 7 207 266 117 173 210 118 501 0.10 168 Western New Engl Comm. Coast 6 12 128 110 248 156 101 245 502 0.10 169 Beloit Midwest 8 8 229 247 152 179 173 151 503 0.10 170 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 7 8 182 166 159 164 184 157 505 0.10 171 Framingham State MASCAC 12 7 133 187 113 141 252 116 509 0.10 172 Moravian Landmark 7 9 117 120 154 153 209 148 510 0.10 173 Immaculata CSAC 10 8 148 179 141 176 192 143 511 0.10 174 Lebanon Valley Commonwealth 5 11 96 55 224 163 122 226 511 0.10 175 Mass.-Dartmouth Little East 8 9 144 142 181 165 168 180 513 0.10 176 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 4 11 180 127 238 172 114 230 516 0.10 177 Delaware Valley Freedom 8 6 141 180 100 189 230 102 521 0.10 178 Kalamazoo MIAA 4 10 206 189 221 180 125 218 523 0.10 179 Keuka NEAC 6 8 189 188 161 181 179 163 523 0.10 180 Shenandoah Old Dominion 7 11 88 80 215 191 126 208 525 0.10 181 Southern Vermont NECC 8 6 231 277 102 190 229 107 526 0.10 182 Northwestern (MN Independent 10 5 228 262 78 186 271 76 533 0.10 183 Rutgers-Camden NJAC 5 11 178 125 222 192 124 221 537 0.10 184 Wesley Capital 6 9 171 107 179 198 188 154 540 0.10 185 Houghton Empire Eight 5 10 135 100 198 188 153 211 552 0.10 186 Albion MIAA 5 10 187 191 213 187 150 216 553 0.10 187 Wheelock NECC 10 7 240 278 126 197 234 124 555 0.10 188 Eastern Freedom 5 11 137 109 233 177 145 234 556 0.10 189 Franciscan Independent 9 7 211 251 131 202 228 128 558 0.10 190 Hendrix SAA 4 10 198 175 219 200 143 217 560 0.10 191 Bryn Athyn NEAC 7 6 202 228 104 205 248 112 565 0.10 192 Widener Commonwealth 4 12 120 74 244 182 136 247 565 0.10 193 Curry Comm. Coast 7 10 174 165 202 178 186 203 567 0.10 194 Old Westbury Skyline 7 10 177 159 207 184 176 207 567 0.10 195 Southern Maine Little East 6 10 152 155 211 169 185 214 568 0.10 196 Dubuque CCIW 9 8 234 261 101 195 279 103 577 0.10 197 Canton Independent 6 9 147 123 187 203 190 186 579 0.10 198 Elmira Empire Eight 4 11 146 87 225 199 148 235 582 0.10 199 Bard Liberty League 4 10 161 77 201 194 191 198 583 0.10 200 Rivier Great Northeas 5 12 236 221 252 196 137 252 585 0.10 201 Husson North Atlantic 6 7 226 271 139 215 232 139 586 0.10 202 Norwich Great Northeas 6 9 223 249 190 209 194 189 592 0.10 203 Loras Midwest 7 10 235 265 203 216 177 204 597 0.10 204 Keystone CSAC 6 8 205 206 162 219 221 164 604 0.10 205 Linfield Northwest 1 14 227 132 279 225 103 276 604 0.10 206 Sage Skyline 7 9 193 200 184 207 215 184 606 0.10 207 Hiram North Coast 5 12 222 186 234 221 163 223 607 0.10 208 Puget Sound Northwest 5 8 232 210 168 210 231 170 611 0.10 209 Wartburg Midwest 8 9 224 268 160 185 267 159 611 0.10 210 Oglethorpe SAA 6 12 221 192 193 193 233 190 616 0.10 211 Mount St. Joseph Ohio River 5 8 243 255 119 218 280 120 618 0.10 212 Salem State MASCAC 4 12 194 178 253 204 161 254 619 0.10 213 Alma MIAA 8 8 241 250 151 227 245 150 622 0.10 214 Nichols Comm. Coast 5 11 197 174 236 206 181 236 623 0.10 215 Adrian MIAA 5 9 203 217 191 217 217 191 625 0.10 216 Ferrum USA South Atl. 6 6 209 238 94 250 281 95 626 0.10 217 Franklin Ohio River 6 8 237 260 138 213 275 138 626 0.10 218 Potsdam SUNYAC 3 12 106 59 240 201 174 251 626 0.10 219 Wentworth Tech Comm. Coast 2 14 242 176 277 220 130 278 628 0.10 220 Thomas More Ohio River 4 9 249 248 196 224 208 197 629 0.10 221 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 6 8 248 276 163 230 237 165 632 0.10 222 Birmingham-South SAA 6 10 165 168 214 175 251 209 635 0.10 223 Alfred Empire Eight 3 12 217 99 245 228 155 253 636 0.10 224 Worcester State MASCAC 5 13 186 167 268 208 164 268 640 0.10 225 Huntingdon USA South Atl. 3 11 214 173 199 211 236 196 643 0.10 226 Merchant Marine Skyline 5 7 191 214 142 235 266 144 645 0.10 227 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 3 13 136 93 271 212 162 271 645 0.10 228 Purchase Skyline 5 8 208 218 169 229 250 171 650 0.10 229 Bay Path NECC 5 7 271 281 140 241 269 141 651 0.10 230 Lancaster Bible NEAC 6 10 199 204 209 222 218 212 652 0.10 231 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 3 13 166 98 263 231 160 261 652 0.10 232 Wilkes Freedom 5 10 201 183 216 223 211 219 653 0.10 233 Concordia-Chicag Midwest 5 11 245 257 231 226 200 232 658 0.10 234 Hilbert NEAC 4 10 220 226 220 239 202 220 661 0.10 235 Goucher Landmark 1 14 195 78 276 232 156 275 663 0.10 236 Notre Dame (MD) CSAC 5 8 210 209 167 242 255 169 666 0.10 237 Albertus Magnus Great Northeas 4 9 246 258 194 238 235 194 667 0.10 238 Bryn Mawr Centennial 1 14 218 82 269 243 158 269 670 0.10 239 Hood Commonwealth 4 12 159 111 243 233 204 243 680 0.10 240 DeSales Freedom 5 12 196 157 250 236 197 249 682 0.10 241 Becker NECC 5 11 267 270 230 237 216 231 684 0.10 242 Thomas North Atlantic 3 9 266 256 200 246 240 201 687 0.10 243 Coast Guard NEWMAC 3 13 176 115 270 234 187 270 691 0.10 244 Saint Joseph Great Northeas 2 10 273 234 228 245 219 228 692 0.10 245 Monmouth (IL) Midwest 1 14 268 235 280 247 167 280 694 0.10 246 Southern Virgini Capital 3 14 204 118 267 244 201 255 700 0.10 247 Thiel Ohio River 2 12 252 229 259 249 196 260 705 0.10 248 Rhode Island Col Little East 2 13 244 177 273 240 195 273 708 0.10 249 Carroll CCIW 2 15 260 246 282 254 175 282 711 0.10 250 Mitchell NECC 3 8 276 279 182 261 272 181 714 0.10 251 Mass. Maritime MASCAC 2 10 212 193 227 248 241 227 716 0.10 252 Lyndon State North Atlantic 2 9 274 272 204 258 257 205 720 0.10 253 Ohio Northern Ohio 3 13 215 153 256 214 254 257 725 0.10 254 Heidelberg Ohio 0 12 259 164 265 253 207 266 726 0.10 255 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 0 7 265 136 171 280 273 173 726 0.10 256 Westminster (PA) Ohio River 1 9 269 259 212 257 258 215 730 0.10 257 Daniel Webster NECC 2 8 280 282 183 274 277 182 733 0.10 258 Gwynedd-Mercy CSAC 3 12 233 182 255 255 224 256 735 0.10 259 Centenary CSAC 2 12 250 198 257 260 220 258 738 0.10 260 Dallas Independent 4 11 257 269 197 265 278 199 742 0.10 261 Wells NEAC 2 12 216 201 260 256 226 262 744 0.10 262 Waynesburg Ohio River 0 14 270 241 281 267 199 281 747 0.10 263 Maritime Skyline 1 11 253 194 246 262 242 244 748 0.10 264 Northland Independent 0 13 275 254 237 264 249 237 750 0.10 265 Elmhurst CCIW 2 14 263 236 275 252 225 277 754 0.10 266 LaGrange USA South Atl. 3 10 247 220 226 266 263 225 754 0.10 267 Cornell (IA) Midwest 2 14 264 263 258 251 246 259 756 0.10 268 Hollins Independent 1 9 272 240 192 282 282 192 756 0.10 269 Wilmington (OH) Ohio 2 14 258 224 278 269 214 279 762 0.10 270 MCLA MASCAC 3 11 239 230 239 270 259 239 768 0.10 271 Millsaps SAA 0 11 262 202 235 271 268 229 768 0.10 272 Newbury NECC 0 13 281 275 274 272 222 274 768 0.10 273 Trine MIAA 3 12 254 252 242 263 270 241 774 0.10 274 Green Mountain North Atlantic 1 12 277 273 261 273 239 263 775 0.10 275 Randolph Old Dominion 3 13 230 139 247 259 276 242 777 0.10 276 Dean Independent 0 11 282 274 249 276 261 248 785 0.10 277 Mount Saint Vinc Skyline 2 13 251 227 272 268 247 272 787 0.10 278 D'Youville Independent 0 10 261 184 232 281 274 233 788 0.10 279 Johnson State North Atlantic 0 11 279 264 251 277 265 250 792 0.10 280 Olivet MIAA 0 13 278 232 266 275 256 267 798 0.10 281 Cedar Crest CSAC 0 12 255 212 264 279 260 265 804 0.10 282 Rosemont CSAC 1 12 256 211 262 278 264 264 806 0.10